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Giorgio Cafiero
Giorgio Cafiero is the CEO and founder of Gulf State Analytics, a geopolitical risk consultancy based in Washington, DC. His research interests include geopolitical and security trends in the Arabian Peninsula and the broader Middle East.
Mr. Cafiero is a regular contributor to the Middle East Institute, Al Monitor, LobeLog, Inside Arabia, and New Arab. He frequently appears on Al Jazeera, TRT World, BBC Persian, and other networks as a commentator. Mr. Cafiero has taken part in dozens of closed-door meetings with high-ranking government officials, ambassadors, and other diplomats in Bahrain, Kuwait, Iran, Iraq, Oman, Qatar, Turkey, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Throughout his career, he has spoken about Persian Gulf-related issues at conferences and delivered lectures on the region in Egypt, Slovenia, and the United States. From 2014-2015, Mr. Cafiero was an analyst at Kroll, an investigative due diligence consultancy. He received an M.A. in International Relations from the University of San Diego.
Recent Publications
US-Iran Scenario Analysis: Risk-off Ahead - An Update On The Conflict And Its Implications
By Nouriel Roubini and Giorgio Cafiero
8 January 2020
Tension Between US and Iran Increases After The Attack On Saudi Arabia’s Oil Facilities
by Giorgio Cafiero
17 September 2019
Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, Increasing Risk Of Escalation
by Giorgio Cafiero, Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa
14 August 2019
USA - Iran: Escalating Tensions, With High Risk Of Mis-Calculations
by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Giorgio Cafiero
23 May 2019