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Giorgio Cafiero
Giorgio Cafiero is the CEO and founder of Gulf State Analytics, a geopolitical risk consultancy based in Washington, DC and a strategic partner of R&R. His research interests include geopolitical and security trends in the Arabian Peninsula and the broader Middle East.
Mr. Cafiero is a regular contributor to the Middle East Institute, Al Monitor, LobeLog, Inside Arabia, and New Arab. He frequently appears on Al Jazeera, TRT World, BBC Persian, and other networks as a commentator. Mr. Cafiero has taken part in dozens of closed-door meetings with high-ranking government officials, ambassadors, and other diplomats in Bahrain, Kuwait, Iran, Iraq, Oman, Qatar, Turkey, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Throughout his career, he has spoken about Persian Gulf-related issues at conferences and delivered lectures on the region in Egypt, Slovenia, and the United States. From 2014-2015, Mr. Cafiero was an analyst at Kroll, an investigative due diligence consultancy. He received an M.A. in International Relations from the University of San Diego.
Recent Publications
Syria’s Post-Earthquake Diplomatic Standing In The Gulf
Iran and Saudi Arabia Keep Channels of Communications Open In Spite of Stalled Relations
Iran and Saudi Arabia Keep Channels of Communications Open In Spite of Stalled Relations
by Gulf State Analytics
2 March 2023
Iran and Saudi Arabia Keep Channels of Communications Open In Spite of Stalled Relations
Iran and Saudi Arabia Keep Channels of Communications Open In Spite of Stalled Relations
Iran and Saudi Arabia Keep Channels of Communications Open In Spite of Stalled Relations
by Gulf State Analytics
15 February 2023
The Growth of Sino-Saudi Relations in a More Multipolar World
Iran and Saudi Arabia Keep Channels of Communications Open In Spite of Stalled Relations
The Growth of Sino-Saudi Relations in a More Multipolar World
by Giorgio Cafiero
8 February 2022
The World Cup And A Rising Gulf
Iran Feels Domestic Protests Are Fomented By Foreign Media Outlets
The Growth of Sino-Saudi Relations in a More Multipolar World
by Gulf State Analytics
11 January 2023
The Ukraine War Requires Israel to Strike a Challenging Balance
Iran Feels Domestic Protests Are Fomented By Foreign Media Outlets
Iran Feels Domestic Protests Are Fomented By Foreign Media Outlets
by Giorgio Cafiero
22 December 2022
Iran Feels Domestic Protests Are Fomented By Foreign Media Outlets
Iran Feels Domestic Protests Are Fomented By Foreign Media Outlets
Iran Feels Domestic Protests Are Fomented By Foreign Media Outlets
by Gulf State Analytics
9 December 2022
U.S. - Saudi Relations At A Low Point Following OPEC+ Decisions On Oil Production
U.S. - Saudi Relations At A Low Point Following OPEC+ Decisions On Oil Production
U.S. - Saudi Relations At A Low Point Following OPEC+ Decisions On Oil Production
by Gulf State Analytics
10 November 2022
Balancing Economic Promotion and Cultural Challenges in the GCC
U.S. - Saudi Relations At A Low Point Following OPEC+ Decisions On Oil Production
U.S. - Saudi Relations At A Low Point Following OPEC+ Decisions On Oil Production
by Gulf State Analytics
6 October 2022
Saudi Arabia’s Re-Gains Centre Stage in a More Multipolar World
U.S. - Saudi Relations At A Low Point Following OPEC+ Decisions On Oil Production
Saudi Arabia’s Re-Gains Centre Stage in a More Multipolar World
by Giorgio Cafiero
29 September 2022
Qatar Prepares for a Historic World Cup
Economic Saudi-Israeli Relations Are Headed Towards Normalization
Saudi Arabia’s Re-Gains Centre Stage in a More Multipolar World
by Gulf State Analytics
2 September 2022
Economic Saudi-Israeli Relations Are Headed Towards Normalization
Economic Saudi-Israeli Relations Are Headed Towards Normalization
Economic Saudi-Israeli Relations Are Headed Towards Normalization
by Gulf State Analytics
3 August 2022
MAY 2019 - july 2022
Bold and Intriguing Reforms in Post-Qaboos Oman
Financial Warfare Against Russia: Stakes for Gulf Investors and Funds
Financial Warfare Against Russia: Stakes for Gulf Investors and Funds
by Gulf State Analytics
7 July 2022
Financial Warfare Against Russia: Stakes for Gulf Investors and Funds
Financial Warfare Against Russia: Stakes for Gulf Investors and Funds
Financial Warfare Against Russia: Stakes for Gulf Investors and Funds
by Gulf State Analytics
7 June 2022
Financial Warfare Against Russia: Stakes for Gulf Investors and Funds
Financial Warfare Against Russia: Stakes for Gulf Investors and Funds
Despite the War, Russia Can Still Count on Meaningful Relationships in the Middle East
by Gulf State Analytics
12 May 2022
Despite the War, Russia Can Still Count on Meaningful Relationships in the Middle East
Despite the War, Russia Can Still Count on Meaningful Relationships in the Middle East
Despite the War, Russia Can Still Count on Meaningful Relationships in the Middle East
by Giorgio Cafiero
6 April 2022
Macro Picture: China and Russia Increase Their Grip On The Middle-East:
Despite the War, Russia Can Still Count on Meaningful Relationships in the Middle East
Macro Picture: China and Russia Increase Their Grip On The Middle-East:
by Giorgio Cafiero
21 January 2022
Iran and Saudi Arabia’s Perspectives on Post-US Afghanistan
Despite the War, Russia Can Still Count on Meaningful Relationships in the Middle East
Macro Picture: China and Russia Increase Their Grip On The Middle-East:
by Giorgio Cafiero
29 September 2021
The US and Iran Aim to Restore the JCPOA, but Obstacles Remain
Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach
Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach
by Giorgio Cafiero
12 May 2021
Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach
Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach
Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach
By Giorgio Cafiero
17 June 2020
US-Iran Scenario Analysis: Risk-off Ahead - An Update On The Conflict And Its Implications
Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach
US-Iran Scenario Analysis: Risk-off Ahead - An Update On The Conflict And Its Implications
By Nouriel Roubini and Giorgio Cafiero
8 January 2020
Tension Between US and Iran Increases After The Attack On Saudi Arabia’s Oil Facilities
Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, Increasing Risk Of Escalation
US-Iran Scenario Analysis: Risk-off Ahead - An Update On The Conflict And Its Implications
by Giorgio Cafiero
17 September 2019
Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, Increasing Risk Of Escalation
Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, Increasing Risk Of Escalation
Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, Increasing Risk Of Escalation
by Giorgio Cafiero, Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa
14 August 2019
USA - Iran: Escalating Tensions, With High Risk Of Mis-Calculations
Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, Increasing Risk Of Escalation
Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, Increasing Risk Of Escalation
by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Giorgio Cafiero
23 May 2019