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Rosa & Roubini Associates

118 Pall Mall London SW1Y 5ED | +44(0)207 1010 718

  • Home
  • Online Store
  • Research
  • Advisory
  • FIN-TECH
  • Team
  • About
  • CORPORATE SOLUTIONS
  • Covid vs GFC
  • Videos
  • Contact

Giorgio Cafiero

Giorgio Cafiero is the CEO and founder of Gulf State Analytics, a geopolitical risk consultancy based in Washington, DC. His research interests include geopolitical and security trends in the Arabian Peninsula and the broader Middle East. 


Mr. Cafiero is a regular contributor to the Middle East Institute, Al Monitor, LobeLog, Inside Arabia, and New Arab. He frequently appears on Al Jazeera, TRT World, BBC Persian, and other networks as a commentator. Mr. Cafiero has taken part in dozens of closed-door meetings with high-ranking government officials, ambassadors, and other diplomats in Bahrain, Kuwait, Iran, Iraq, Oman, Qatar, Turkey, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Throughout his career, he has spoken about Persian Gulf-related issues at conferences and delivered lectures on the region in Egypt, Slovenia, and the United States. From 2014-2015, Mr. Cafiero was an analyst at Kroll, an investigative due diligence consultancy. He received an M.A. in International Relations from the University of San Diego. 

Recent Publications

Financial Warfare Against Russia: Stakes for Gulf Investors and Funds

Despite the War, Russia Can Still Count on Meaningful Relationships in the Middle East

Financial Warfare Against Russia: Stakes for Gulf Investors and Funds

by Gulf State Analytics

7 June 2022

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Financial Warfare Against Russia: Stakes for Gulf Investors and Funds

Despite the War, Russia Can Still Count on Meaningful Relationships in the Middle East

Financial Warfare Against Russia: Stakes for Gulf Investors and Funds

by Gulf State Analytics

12 May 2022

read paper

Despite the War, Russia Can Still Count on Meaningful Relationships in the Middle East

Despite the War, Russia Can Still Count on Meaningful Relationships in the Middle East

Despite the War, Russia Can Still Count on Meaningful Relationships in the Middle East

by Giorgio Cafiero

6 April 2022

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Macro Picture: China and Russia Increase Their Grip On The Middle-East:

Macro Picture: China and Russia Increase Their Grip On The Middle-East:

Despite the War, Russia Can Still Count on Meaningful Relationships in the Middle East

by Giorgio Cafiero

21 January 2022

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Iran and Saudi Arabia’s Perspectives on Post-US Afghanistan

Macro Picture: China and Russia Increase Their Grip On The Middle-East:

The US and Iran Aim to Restore the JCPOA, but Obstacles Remain

by Giorgio Cafiero

29 September 2021

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The US and Iran Aim to Restore the JCPOA, but Obstacles Remain

Macro Picture: China and Russia Increase Their Grip On The Middle-East:

The US and Iran Aim to Restore the JCPOA, but Obstacles Remain

by Giorgio Cafiero

12 May 2021

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Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach

Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach

Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach

By Giorgio Cafiero

17 June 2020

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US-Iran Scenario Analysis: Risk-off Ahead - An Update On The Conflict And Its Implications

Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach

Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach

By Nouriel Roubini and Giorgio Cafiero

8 January 2020

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Tension Between US and Iran Increases After The Attack On Saudi Arabia’s Oil Facilities

Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach

Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, Increasing Risk Of Escalation

by Giorgio Cafiero

17 September 2019

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Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, Increasing Risk Of Escalation

Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, Increasing Risk Of Escalation

Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, Increasing Risk Of Escalation

by Giorgio Cafiero, Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa

14 August 2019

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USA - Iran: Escalating Tensions, With High Risk Of Mis-Calculations

Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, Increasing Risk Of Escalation

USA - Iran: Escalating Tensions, With High Risk Of Mis-Calculations


by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Giorgio Cafiero

23 May 2019

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