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Giorgio Cafiero
Giorgio Cafiero is the CEO and founder of Gulf State Analytics, a geopolitical risk consultancy based in Washington, DC. His research interests include geopolitical and security trends in the Arabian Peninsula and the broader Middle East.
Mr. Cafiero is a regular contributor to the Middle East Institute, Al Monitor, LobeLog, Inside Arabia, and New Arab. He frequently appears on Al Jazeera, TRT World, BBC Persian, and other networks as a commentator. Mr. Cafiero has taken part in dozens of closed-door meetings with high-ranking government officials, ambassadors, and other diplomats in Bahrain, Kuwait, Iran, Iraq, Oman, Qatar, Turkey, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Throughout his career, he has spoken about Persian Gulf-related issues at conferences and delivered lectures on the region in Egypt, Slovenia, and the United States. From 2014-2015, Mr. Cafiero was an analyst at Kroll, an investigative due diligence consultancy. He received an M.A. in International Relations from the University of San Diego.
Recent Publications
The US and Iran Aim to Restore the JCPOA, but Obstacles Remain
Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach
Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach
by Giorgio Cafiero
12 May 2021
Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach
Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach
Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach
By Giorgio Cafiero
17 June 2020
US-Iran Scenario Analysis: Risk-off Ahead - An Update On The Conflict And Its Implications
Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach
US-Iran Scenario Analysis: Risk-off Ahead - An Update On The Conflict And Its Implications
By Nouriel Roubini and Giorgio Cafiero
8 January 2020
Tension Between US and Iran Increases After The Attack On Saudi Arabia’s Oil Facilities
Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, Increasing Risk Of Escalation
US-Iran Scenario Analysis: Risk-off Ahead - An Update On The Conflict And Its Implications
by Giorgio Cafiero
17 September 2019
Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, Increasing Risk Of Escalation
Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, Increasing Risk Of Escalation
Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, Increasing Risk Of Escalation
by Giorgio Cafiero, Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa
14 August 2019
USA - Iran: Escalating Tensions, With High Risk Of Mis-Calculations
Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, Increasing Risk Of Escalation
Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, Increasing Risk Of Escalation
by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Giorgio Cafiero
23 May 2019