Rosa & Roubini Associates

118 Pall Mall London SW1Y 5ED | +44(0)207 1010 718

Giorgio Cafiero


Giorgio Cafiero is the CEO and founder of Gulf State Analytics, a geopolitical risk consultancy based in Washington, DC. His research interests include geopolitical and security trends in the Arabian Peninsula and the broader Middle East. 

Mr. Cafiero is a regular contributor to the Middle East Institute, Al Monitor, LobeLog, Inside Arabia, and New Arab. He frequently appears on Al Jazeera, TRT World, BBC Persian, and other networks as a commentator. Mr. Cafiero has taken part in dozens of closed-door meetings with high-ranking government officials, ambassadors, and other diplomats in Bahrain, Kuwait, Iran, Iraq, Oman, Qatar, Turkey, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Throughout his career, he has spoken about Persian Gulf-related issues at conferences and delivered lectures on the region in Egypt, Slovenia, and the United States. From 2014-2015, Mr. Cafiero was an analyst at Kroll, an investigative due diligence consultancy. He received an M.A. in International Relations from the University of San Diego. 

RECENt Publications

Tension Between US and Iran Increases After The Attack On Saudi Arabia’s Oil Facilities



by Giorgio Cafiero

17 September 2019

Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, Increasing Risk Of Escalation


by Giorgio Cafiero, Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa

14 August 2019

USA - Iran: Escalating Tensions, With High Risk Of Mis-Calculations


by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Giorgio Cafiero

23 May 2019