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Rosa & Roubini Associates

118 Pall Mall London SW1Y 5ED | +44(0)207 1010 718

  • Home
  • Online Store
  • Research
  • Advisory
  • FIN-TECH
  • Team
  • About
  • CORPORATE SOLUTIONS
  • Covid vs GFC
  • Videos
  • Contact
  • Manas Chawla

Independent Research

Disruptive Ideas

Disruptive Ideas

Disruptive Ideas

Occasional papers with thought-provoking insights, challenging consensus views

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Policy Compass

Disruptive Ideas

Disruptive Ideas

Follow history in the making, with consistently updated views on global policy developments

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Monetary Affairs

Disruptive Ideas

Monetary Affairs

Our take on the actions and decisions of global central banks


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Travel Notes

Macro Picture

Monetary Affairs

Reports on our trips around the world. A deep dive into domestic and international affairs

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Market Views

Macro Picture

Macro Picture

Market and asset allocation implications of our macroeconomic, geopolitical and policy views

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Macro Picture

Macro Picture

Macro Picture

Our assessment, via our heuristic approach, of major economic, political and financial events

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RESEARCH BY REGION - COUNTRY - THEME

research by region
research by country
research by theme

RECENT PUBLICATIONS

In a Finely Balanced Decision, We Expect The BoE To Raise Rates In March

ECB Increases Rates and Confirms to Be Data Dependent, But “There’s More Ground To Cover”

ECB Increases Rates and Confirms to Be Data Dependent, But “There’s More Ground To Cover”

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


17 March 2023

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ECB Increases Rates and Confirms to Be Data Dependent, But “There’s More Ground To Cover”

ECB Increases Rates and Confirms to Be Data Dependent, But “There’s More Ground To Cover”

ECB Increases Rates and Confirms to Be Data Dependent, But “There’s More Ground To Cover”

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


16 March 2023

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ECB Preview Update: Uncertainty On ECB Decision Increases

ECB Increases Rates and Confirms to Be Data Dependent, But “There’s More Ground To Cover”

ECB To Increase Rates But Condition Timing and Size of Further Rate Hikes on Financial Conditions

by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini 


14 March 2023

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ECB To Increase Rates But Condition Timing and Size of Further Rate Hikes on Financial Conditions

ECB To Increase Rates But Condition Timing and Size of Further Rate Hikes on Financial Conditions

ECB To Increase Rates But Condition Timing and Size of Further Rate Hikes on Financial Conditions

by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze

13 March 2023

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The UK-EU Windsor Framework: A New Deal for Northern Ireland

ECB To Increase Rates But Condition Timing and Size of Further Rate Hikes on Financial Conditions

The UK-EU Windsor Framework: A New Deal for Northern Ireland


by London Politica

10 March 2023

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The Munich Security Conference and Wang Yi’s European Tour

ECB To Increase Rates But Condition Timing and Size of Further Rate Hikes on Financial Conditions

The UK-EU Windsor Framework: A New Deal for Northern Ireland


by London Politica

7 March 2023

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To Be Or Not To Be (In a Recession)? That Is The Question

To Be Or Not To Be (In a Recession)? That Is The Question

To Be Or Not To Be (In a Recession)? That Is The Question

by Filippo Ramigni
7 March 2023

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Syria’s Post-Earthquake Diplomatic Standing In The Gulf

To Be Or Not To Be (In a Recession)? That Is The Question

To Be Or Not To Be (In a Recession)? That Is The Question

by Gulf State Analytics

2 March 2023

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February 2023

Chinese Balloon in US Airspace: A Diplomatic Crisis and Escalation of US-China Relations?

Chinese Balloon in US Airspace: A Diplomatic Crisis and Escalation of US-China Relations?

Chinese Balloon in US Airspace: A Diplomatic Crisis and Escalation of US-China Relations?

by London Politica


23 February 2023

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Travel Notes Italy: Navigating Between Macroeconomic Resilience and Geopolitical Tensions

Chinese Balloon in US Airspace: A Diplomatic Crisis and Escalation of US-China Relations?

Chinese Balloon in US Airspace: A Diplomatic Crisis and Escalation of US-China Relations?

by Brunello Rosa


22 February 2023

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When The Going Gets Tough, The Tough Get Going

Chinese Balloon in US Airspace: A Diplomatic Crisis and Escalation of US-China Relations?

De-Dollarisation and New Global Supply Chains: An Assessment

by Filippo Ramigni


21 February 2023

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De-Dollarisation and New Global Supply Chains: An Assessment

Iran and Saudi Arabia Keep Channels of Communications Open In Spite of Stalled Relations

De-Dollarisation and New Global Supply Chains: An Assessment

by Mirko Giordani


16 February 2022

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Iran and Saudi Arabia Keep Channels of Communications Open In Spite of Stalled Relations

Iran and Saudi Arabia Keep Channels of Communications Open In Spite of Stalled Relations

Iran and Saudi Arabia Keep Channels of Communications Open In Spite of Stalled Relations

by Gulf State Analytics


15 February 2023

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China-Taiwan-US Relations and Their Regional Implications

Iran and Saudi Arabia Keep Channels of Communications Open In Spite of Stalled Relations

Iran and Saudi Arabia Keep Channels of Communications Open In Spite of Stalled Relations

by Mirko Giordani


14 February 2022

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The Challenging Political Environment of Brazil After the Failed Coup

The Challenging Political Environment of Brazil After the Failed Coup

The Challenging Political Environment of Brazil After the Failed Coup

by London Politica


9 February 2023

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The Growth of Sino-Saudi Relations in a More Multipolar World

The Challenging Political Environment of Brazil After the Failed Coup

The Challenging Political Environment of Brazil After the Failed Coup

by Giorgio Cafiero


8 February 2022

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Market Views: The Strange Case of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Powell

The Challenging Political Environment of Brazil After the Failed Coup

Review: ECB Hikes Rates In February and Signals a 50bps Increase in March But The Market Rallies

by Filippo Ramigni


7 February 2023

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Review: ECB Hikes Rates In February and Signals a 50bps Increase in March But The Market Rallies

Fed’s Powell Talks Tough But The Market Rallies, As It Sees The End of The Tightening Cycle In Sight

Review: ECB Hikes Rates In February and Signals a 50bps Increase in March But The Market Rallies

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


2 February 2023

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Flash Review: BOE Increase Rates Again, But Signal A Potential End To Its Tightening Cycle

Fed’s Powell Talks Tough But The Market Rallies, As It Sees The End of The Tightening Cycle In Sight

Fed’s Powell Talks Tough But The Market Rallies, As It Sees The End of The Tightening Cycle In Sight

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


2 February 2023

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Fed’s Powell Talks Tough But The Market Rallies, As It Sees The End of The Tightening Cycle In Sight

Fed’s Powell Talks Tough But The Market Rallies, As It Sees The End of The Tightening Cycle In Sight

Fed’s Powell Talks Tough But The Market Rallies, As It Sees The End of The Tightening Cycle In Sight

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


1 February 2023

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January 2023

Market Views: The Markets’ Big Gamble Of 2023

Preview: Fed To Further Reduce Its Pace of Tightening in February but Signal Further Rate Hikes

Preview: Fed To Further Reduce Its Pace of Tightening in February but Signal Further Rate Hikes

by Filippo Ramigni


31 January 2023

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Preview: Fed To Further Reduce Its Pace of Tightening in February but Signal Further Rate Hikes

Preview: Fed To Further Reduce Its Pace of Tightening in February but Signal Further Rate Hikes

Preview: Fed To Further Reduce Its Pace of Tightening in February but Signal Further Rate Hikes

by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze

30 January 2023

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Preview: ECB To Enter Into Persistent Tightening Territory in February

Preview: Fed To Further Reduce Its Pace of Tightening in February but Signal Further Rate Hikes

Preview: ECB To Enter Into Persistent Tightening Territory in February

by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze

30 January 2023

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Flash Preview: BoE To Deliver a 50bps Rate Increase in February

An Outlook On 2023’s Key Elections : What We Know So Far On This Year’s Most Significant Elections

Preview: ECB To Enter Into Persistent Tightening Territory in February

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


27 January 2023

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Top 3 Overlooked Political Risks For 2023

An Outlook On 2023’s Key Elections : What We Know So Far On This Year’s Most Significant Elections

An Outlook On 2023’s Key Elections : What We Know So Far On This Year’s Most Significant Elections

by London Politica


25 January 2023

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An Outlook On 2023’s Key Elections : What We Know So Far On This Year’s Most Significant Elections

An Outlook On 2023’s Key Elections : What We Know So Far On This Year’s Most Significant Elections

An Outlook On 2023’s Key Elections : What We Know So Far On This Year’s Most Significant Elections

by London Politica


20 January 2023

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Flash Review: BOJ Surprised The Market Again, And Left Its Policy Unchanged In January

Preview: BOJ To Continue Its Journey Out Of Ultra-Loose Policy As The Choice of a New Governor Looms

Flash Review: BOJ Surprised The Market Again, And Left Its Policy Unchanged In January

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


18 January 2023

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Market Views: Positive Start Of The Year, With Good News From China And Europe

Preview: BOJ To Continue Its Journey Out Of Ultra-Loose Policy As The Choice of a New Governor Looms

Flash Review: BOJ Surprised The Market Again, And Left Its Policy Unchanged In January

by Filippo Ramigni


17 January 2023

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Preview: BOJ To Continue Its Journey Out Of Ultra-Loose Policy As The Choice of a New Governor Looms

Preview: BOJ To Continue Its Journey Out Of Ultra-Loose Policy As The Choice of a New Governor Looms

Preview: BOJ To Continue Its Journey Out Of Ultra-Loose Policy As The Choice of a New Governor Looms

by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze

16 January 2023

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The World Cup And A Rising Gulf

The World Cup And A Rising Gulf

Preview: BOJ To Continue Its Journey Out Of Ultra-Loose Policy As The Choice of a New Governor Looms

by Gulf State Analytics


11 January 2023

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Policy Compass: Covid In China

The World Cup And A Rising Gulf

Policy Compass: Covid In China

by London Politica


5 January 2023

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The Age of Megathreats

The World Cup And A Rising Gulf

Policy Compass: Covid In China

by Nouriel Roubini


4 January 2023

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DECEMBER 2022

Market Views: Investors Hope For An “Ordinary” 2023

Market Views: Investors Hope For An “Ordinary” 2023

Market Views: Investors Hope For An “Ordinary” 2023

by Filippo Ramigni


30 December 2022

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Argentina: Political Crisis, Economic Uncertainty

Market Views: Investors Hope For An “Ordinary” 2023

Market Views: Investors Hope For An “Ordinary” 2023

by London Politica


29 December 2022

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Global Outlook 2023: A Year Of Stagflation

Market Views: Investors Hope For An “Ordinary” 2023

The Ukraine War Requires Israel to Strike a Challenging Balance

by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze
23 December 2022

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The Ukraine War Requires Israel to Strike a Challenging Balance

Travel Notes - France: Raising The Red Flag For A Possible Victory By Le Pen in 2027

The Ukraine War Requires Israel to Strike a Challenging Balance

by Giorgio Cafiero


22 December 2022

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Market Views: Central Bank Communications Drives Markets Down

Travel Notes - France: Raising The Red Flag For A Possible Victory By Le Pen in 2027

Travel Notes - France: Raising The Red Flag For A Possible Victory By Le Pen in 2027

by Filippo Ramigni


20 December 2022

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Travel Notes - France: Raising The Red Flag For A Possible Victory By Le Pen in 2027

Travel Notes - France: Raising The Red Flag For A Possible Victory By Le Pen in 2027

Travel Notes - France: Raising The Red Flag For A Possible Victory By Le Pen in 2027

by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini


19 December 2022

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Review: Norges Bank and SNB Are Approaching The End of Their Tightening Cycles

Flash Review: The BOE Increase Bank Rate by 50bps, With A Dovish Three-Way MPC Split

Review: ECB Reduces The Pace of Rate Increases, But Announces Early Beginning of QT

by Brunello Rosa 


15 December 2022

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Review: ECB Reduces The Pace of Rate Increases, But Announces Early Beginning of QT

Flash Review: The BOE Increase Bank Rate by 50bps, With A Dovish Three-Way MPC Split

Review: ECB Reduces The Pace of Rate Increases, But Announces Early Beginning of QT

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


15 December 2022

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Flash Review: The BOE Increase Bank Rate by 50bps, With A Dovish Three-Way MPC Split

Flash Review: The BOE Increase Bank Rate by 50bps, With A Dovish Three-Way MPC Split

Flash Review: Fed Reduces The Pace of Rate Hikes, But Policy Is Yet “Not Restrictive Enough”

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


15 December 2022

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Flash Review: Fed Reduces The Pace of Rate Hikes, But Policy Is Yet “Not Restrictive Enough”

Preview: ECB To Complete Policy Normalization and Enter The New Phase of its Tightening Cycle

Flash Review: Fed Reduces The Pace of Rate Hikes, But Policy Is Yet “Not Restrictive Enough”

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


14 December 2022

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Preview: ECB To Complete Policy Normalization and Enter The New Phase of its Tightening Cycle

Preview: ECB To Complete Policy Normalization and Enter The New Phase of its Tightening Cycle

Preview: ECB To Complete Policy Normalization and Enter The New Phase of its Tightening Cycle

by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze

13 December 2022

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Market Views: Showdown for Central Banks

Preview: ECB To Complete Policy Normalization and Enter The New Phase of its Tightening Cycle

Preview: ECB To Complete Policy Normalization and Enter The New Phase of its Tightening Cycle

by Filippo Ramigni 


13 December 2022

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november - december 2022

Preview: BoE To Continue Increasing Rates In Spite Of The Incipient Recession

Preview: BoE To Continue Increasing Rates In Spite Of The Incipient Recession

Preview: BoE To Continue Increasing Rates In Spite Of The Incipient Recession

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


12 December 2022

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Preview: Fed To Slow Down The Pace Of Rate Hikes But To Signal A Higher Peak

Preview: BoE To Continue Increasing Rates In Spite Of The Incipient Recession

Preview: BoE To Continue Increasing Rates In Spite Of The Incipient Recession

by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze

12 December 2022

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Iran Feels Domestic Protests Are Fomented By Foreign Media Outlets

Preview: BoE To Continue Increasing Rates In Spite Of The Incipient Recession

Iran Feels Domestic Protests Are Fomented By Foreign Media Outlets

by Gulf State Analytics


9 December 2022

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Market Views: Wishing For a Dove Over The Fed’s Christmas Tree

Travel Notes: Meloni’s Prudent Approach Keeps Italy Out Of The Radar Screen

Iran Feels Domestic Protests Are Fomented By Foreign Media Outlets

by Filippo Ramigni

6 December 2022

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Travel Notes: Meloni’s Prudent Approach Keeps Italy Out Of The Radar Screen

Travel Notes: Meloni’s Prudent Approach Keeps Italy Out Of The Radar Screen

Travel Notes: Meloni’s Prudent Approach Keeps Italy Out Of The Radar Screen

by Brunello Rosa

2 December 2022

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G20: Takeaways From a Crisis-Ridden Summit

Travel Notes: Meloni’s Prudent Approach Keeps Italy Out Of The Radar Screen

Travel Notes: Meloni’s Prudent Approach Keeps Italy Out Of The Radar Screen

by London Politica

30 November 2022

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Market Views: Markets Dream Jerome Powell Acting as Santa Claus

Market Views: Central Banks To Remain Focused on Their Tightening Cycles, In Spite of Inflation Peak

Market Views: Markets Dream Jerome Powell Acting as Santa Claus

by Filippo Ramigni

29 November 2022

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Olaf Scholz’s Visit to Beijing Risks Dividing The Western Front

Market Views: Central Banks To Remain Focused on Their Tightening Cycles, In Spite of Inflation Peak

Market Views: Markets Dream Jerome Powell Acting as Santa Claus

by London Politica

23 November 2022

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Market Views: Central Banks To Remain Focused on Their Tightening Cycles, In Spite of Inflation Peak

Market Views: Central Banks To Remain Focused on Their Tightening Cycles, In Spite of Inflation Peak

Market Views: Central Banks To Remain Focused on Their Tightening Cycles, In Spite of Inflation Peak

by Filippo Ramigni

22 November 2022

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Market Views: Tech Stocks Correct After Reaching “Maturity” Stage

Destined To Choose Between US and China: India’s Military Reform and its Geopolitical Consequences

Market Views: Central Banks To Remain Focused on Their Tightening Cycles, In Spite of Inflation Peak

by Filippo Ramigni

15 November 2022

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Destined To Choose Between US and China: India’s Military Reform and its Geopolitical Consequences

Destined To Choose Between US and China: India’s Military Reform and its Geopolitical Consequences

Destined To Choose Between US and China: India’s Military Reform and its Geopolitical Consequences

by London Politica

11 November 2022

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U.S. - Saudi Relations At A Low Point Following OPEC+ Decisions On Oil Production

Destined To Choose Between US and China: India’s Military Reform and its Geopolitical Consequences

Destined To Choose Between US and China: India’s Military Reform and its Geopolitical Consequences

by Gulf State Analytics

10 November 2022

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october - november 2022

Market Views: The Revenge Of The “Old Economy”

Flash Review: BOE Increases Rates While Forecasting A Prolonged Recession in the UK

Russian Economy: An Economic Shock From Which It Will Be Hard to Recover

by Filippo Ramigni


8 November 2022

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Russian Economy: An Economic Shock From Which It Will Be Hard to Recover

Flash Review: BOE Increases Rates While Forecasting A Prolonged Recession in the UK

Russian Economy: An Economic Shock From Which It Will Be Hard to Recover

by London Politica


4 November 2022

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Flash Review: BOE Increases Rates While Forecasting A Prolonged Recession in the UK

Flash Review: BOE Increases Rates While Forecasting A Prolonged Recession in the UK

After Jumbo Hike, The Fed Signals A Higher Terminal Rate In Spite of A Slower Pace of Tightening

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


3 November 2022

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After Jumbo Hike, The Fed Signals A Higher Terminal Rate In Spite of A Slower Pace of Tightening

After Jumbo Hike, The Fed Signals A Higher Terminal Rate In Spite of A Slower Pace of Tightening

After Jumbo Hike, The Fed Signals A Higher Terminal Rate In Spite of A Slower Pace of Tightening

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


2 November 2022

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Flash Preview: BoE To Increase Rates by (At Least) 75bps in November

After Jumbo Hike, The Fed Signals A Higher Terminal Rate In Spite of A Slower Pace of Tightening

Fed To Continue With Another Jumbo Hike While Signaling a Slowdown in the Pace of Rate Hikes

by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze

2 November 2022

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Fed To Continue With Another Jumbo Hike While Signaling a Slowdown in the Pace of Rate Hikes

After Jumbo Hike, The Fed Signals A Higher Terminal Rate In Spite of A Slower Pace of Tightening

Fed To Continue With Another Jumbo Hike While Signaling a Slowdown in the Pace of Rate Hikes

by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze

1 November 2022

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Review: ECB Delivers Another Jumbo Rate Hike, And Promises More Tightening Ahead

The “New Space” Economy: A Politically Turbulent Ride Towards A Lucrative Horizon

The “New Space” Economy: A Politically Turbulent Ride Towards A Lucrative Horizon

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze

27 October 2022

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The “New Space” Economy: A Politically Turbulent Ride Towards A Lucrative Horizon

The “New Space” Economy: A Politically Turbulent Ride Towards A Lucrative Horizon

The “New Space” Economy: A Politically Turbulent Ride Towards A Lucrative Horizon

by London Politica

26 October 2022

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Central Banks Try To Chase Inflation Without Sinking The Real Economy

The “New Space” Economy: A Politically Turbulent Ride Towards A Lucrative Horizon

Central Banks Try To Chase Inflation Without Sinking The Real Economy

by Filippo Ramigni

25 October 2022

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ECB Preview: Another Jumbo Rate Hike Is On The Table for October

ECB Preview: Another Jumbo Rate Hike Is On The Table for October

Central Banks Try To Chase Inflation Without Sinking The Real Economy

by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze

24 October 2022

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Brazil on the Edge of Democracy

ECB Preview: Another Jumbo Rate Hike Is On The Table for October

The Bumpy Road Out of QE for the US, the UK and The World Economy

by London Politica

19 October 2022

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The Bumpy Road Out of QE for the US, the UK and The World Economy

ECB Preview: Another Jumbo Rate Hike Is On The Table for October

The Bumpy Road Out of QE for the US, the UK and The World Economy

by Filippo Ramigni

18 October 2022

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october - september 2022

Xi Jinping To Increase His Grip On the Chinese Communist Party

Xi Jinping To Increase His Grip On the Chinese Communist Party

Xi Jinping To Increase His Grip On the Chinese Communist Party

by London Politica

12 October 2022

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The “Wind Of Change” Leaves Investors Puzzled

Xi Jinping To Increase His Grip On the Chinese Communist Party

Xi Jinping To Increase His Grip On the Chinese Communist Party

by Filippo Ramigni

11 October 2022

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Balancing Economic Promotion and Cultural Challenges in the GCC

Xi Jinping To Increase His Grip On the Chinese Communist Party

Ukraine-Russia Conflict: How Cyberwarfare Is Used Alongside Conventional Weapons

by Gulf State Analytics

6 October 2022

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Ukraine-Russia Conflict: How Cyberwarfare Is Used Alongside Conventional Weapons

As the Fed Tightens Monetary Policy, It Needs to Balance Price Stability and Financial Stability

Ukraine-Russia Conflict: How Cyberwarfare Is Used Alongside Conventional Weapons

by London Politica

5 October 2022

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As the Fed Tightens Monetary Policy, It Needs to Balance Price Stability and Financial Stability

As the Fed Tightens Monetary Policy, It Needs to Balance Price Stability and Financial Stability

As the Fed Tightens Monetary Policy, It Needs to Balance Price Stability and Financial Stability

by Filippo Ramigni

4 October 2022

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Saudi Arabia’s Re-Gains Centre Stage in a More Multipolar World

As the Fed Tightens Monetary Policy, It Needs to Balance Price Stability and Financial Stability

As the Fed Tightens Monetary Policy, It Needs to Balance Price Stability and Financial Stability

by Giorgio Cafiero

29 September 2022

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Market Views: “King” Dollar Dominates Market Dynamics

Review: BOE Raises Rates But Does Not Join The “75bps Hikes” Group on Weakening Economic Activity

With The Far-Right Victory, Italy is About To Do Yet Another Political Experiment

by Filippo Ramigni

27 September 2022

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With The Far-Right Victory, Italy is About To Do Yet Another Political Experiment

Review: BOE Raises Rates But Does Not Join The “75bps Hikes” Group on Weakening Economic Activity

With The Far-Right Victory, Italy is About To Do Yet Another Political Experiment

by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini

23 September 2022

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Review: BOE Raises Rates But Does Not Join The “75bps Hikes” Group on Weakening Economic Activity

Review: BOE Raises Rates But Does Not Join The “75bps Hikes” Group on Weakening Economic Activity

Review: BOE Raises Rates But Does Not Join The “75bps Hikes” Group on Weakening Economic Activity

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze

22 September 2022

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Flash Review: Fed Raises Rates by 75bps, But Announces Slower Hiking Pace Ahead

Fed To Increase Rates by 75bps Also in September, But To Slow Down Rate Hikes for the Rest of 2022

Review: BOE Raises Rates But Does Not Join The “75bps Hikes” Group on Weakening Economic Activity

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze

21 September 2022

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Fed To Increase Rates by 75bps Also in September, But To Slow Down Rate Hikes for the Rest of 2022

Fed To Increase Rates by 75bps Also in September, But To Slow Down Rate Hikes for the Rest of 2022

Fed To Increase Rates by 75bps Also in September, But To Slow Down Rate Hikes for the Rest of 2022

by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa 

and Nato Balavadze

20 September 2022

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Market Views: Federal Reserve and Bank of England in Focus This Week

Fed To Increase Rates by 75bps Also in September, But To Slow Down Rate Hikes for the Rest of 2022

Fed To Increase Rates by 75bps Also in September, But To Slow Down Rate Hikes for the Rest of 2022

by Filippo Ramigni


20 September 2022

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august - september 2022

A New Reliance? A Proposed Gas Pipeline And The Complicated Picture Of European Energy Security

A New Reliance? A Proposed Gas Pipeline And The Complicated Picture Of European Energy Security

A New Reliance? A Proposed Gas Pipeline And The Complicated Picture Of European Energy Security

by London Politica


14 September 2022

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Market Views: ECB’s Tough Stance On Inflation May Have Arrived Too Late

A New Reliance? A Proposed Gas Pipeline And The Complicated Picture Of European Energy Security

A New Reliance? A Proposed Gas Pipeline And The Complicated Picture Of European Energy Security

by Filippo Ramigni


13 September 2022

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Flash Preview: BoE to Increase Rates by 50bps Again In September

A New Reliance? A Proposed Gas Pipeline And The Complicated Picture Of European Energy Security

Market Views: The German Crisis Epitomises The Economic Impact of the New World Order

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


9 September 2022

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Market Views: The German Crisis Epitomises The Economic Impact of the New World Order

Market Views: The German Crisis Epitomises The Economic Impact of the New World Order

Market Views: The German Crisis Epitomises The Economic Impact of the New World Order

by Filippo Ramigni


9 September 2022

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Flash Review: ECB Increases Its Policy Rates by 75bps And Aims at “Neutral Rate”

Market Views: The German Crisis Epitomises The Economic Impact of the New World Order

Flash Review: ECB Increases Its Policy Rates by 75bps And Aims at “Neutral Rate”

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


8 September 2022

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Preview: ECB to Increase Rates by At Least 50bps in September

Market Views: The German Crisis Epitomises The Economic Impact of the New World Order

Flash Review: ECB Increases Its Policy Rates by 75bps And Aims at “Neutral Rate”

by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze

6 September 2022

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Qatar Prepares for a Historic World Cup

Market Views: Restoring The Fed's Credibility Goes Hand In Hand With Fighting Inflation

Market Views: Restoring The Fed's Credibility Goes Hand In Hand With Fighting Inflation

by Gulf State Analytics


2 September 2022

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Market Views: Restoring The Fed's Credibility Goes Hand In Hand With Fighting Inflation

Market Views: Restoring The Fed's Credibility Goes Hand In Hand With Fighting Inflation

Market Views: Restoring The Fed's Credibility Goes Hand In Hand With Fighting Inflation

by Filippo Ramigni


23 August 2022

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Causes and Consequences of Nancy Pelosi’s Visit to Taiwan

Market Views: Restoring The Fed's Credibility Goes Hand In Hand With Fighting Inflation

Causes and Consequences of Nancy Pelosi’s Visit to Taiwan

by London Politica 


16 August 2022

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Market Views: Fed’s Reality Check Will Be In Autumn

BOE Raise Rates, but Now Needs to Strike a Balance Between Rising Inflation and Upcoming Recession

Causes and Consequences of Nancy Pelosi’s Visit to Taiwan

by Filippo Ramigni


9 August 2022

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BOE Raise Rates, but Now Needs to Strike a Balance Between Rising Inflation and Upcoming Recession

BOE Raise Rates, but Now Needs to Strike a Balance Between Rising Inflation and Upcoming Recession

BOE Raise Rates, but Now Needs to Strike a Balance Between Rising Inflation and Upcoming Recession

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


4 August 2022

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Economic Saudi-Israeli Relations Are Headed Towards Normalization

BOE Raise Rates, but Now Needs to Strike a Balance Between Rising Inflation and Upcoming Recession

BOE Raise Rates, but Now Needs to Strike a Balance Between Rising Inflation and Upcoming Recession

by Gulf State Analytics


3 August 2022

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JUNE - july 2022

Flash Preview: BoE To Increase Bank Rate by 50bps in August

Preview: For Now The Fed to Continue Its Policy Tightening Undeterred by The Weakening Economy

Flash Review: Fed Hikes Fed Funds by 75bps, But Ongoing Rate Increases Will be Data Dependent

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


29 July 2022

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Flash Review: Fed Hikes Fed Funds by 75bps, But Ongoing Rate Increases Will be Data Dependent

Preview: For Now The Fed to Continue Its Policy Tightening Undeterred by The Weakening Economy

Flash Review: Fed Hikes Fed Funds by 75bps, But Ongoing Rate Increases Will be Data Dependent

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


27 July 2022

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Preview: For Now The Fed to Continue Its Policy Tightening Undeterred by The Weakening Economy

Preview: For Now The Fed to Continue Its Policy Tightening Undeterred by The Weakening Economy

Flash Review: The ECB Hikes More Than Expected Thanks To Its New Transmission Protection Instrument

by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze

25 July 2022

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Flash Review: The ECB Hikes More Than Expected Thanks To Its New Transmission Protection Instrument

Flash Review: The ECB Hikes More Than Expected Thanks To Its New Transmission Protection Instrument

Flash Review: The ECB Hikes More Than Expected Thanks To Its New Transmission Protection Instrument

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


21 July 2022

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ECB To Start Its Policy Rate Normalisation and Launch Its Anti-Fragmentation Facility in July

Flash Review: The ECB Hikes More Than Expected Thanks To Its New Transmission Protection Instrument

Bold and Intriguing Reforms in Post-Qaboos OmanBold and Intriguing Reforms in Post-Qaboos Oman

by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze

15 July 2022

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Bold and Intriguing Reforms in Post-Qaboos OmanBold and Intriguing Reforms in Post-Qaboos Oman

Flash Review: The ECB Hikes More Than Expected Thanks To Its New Transmission Protection Instrument

Bold and Intriguing Reforms in Post-Qaboos OmanBold and Intriguing Reforms in Post-Qaboos Oman

by Gulf State Analytics


7 July 2022

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Deep Dive Into The Near-Term Future: Global Geopolitics, Macroeconomy, Policy And Financial Markets

Deep Dive Into The Near-Term Future: Global Geopolitics, Macroeconomy, Policy And Financial Markets

Deep Dive Into The Near-Term Future: Global Geopolitics, Macroeconomy, Policy And Financial Markets

by Brunello Rosa 


21 June 2022

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Flash Review: Bank of England Increases Rates by 25bps in June

Deep Dive Into The Near-Term Future: Global Geopolitics, Macroeconomy, Policy And Financial Markets

Deep Dive Into The Near-Term Future: Global Geopolitics, Macroeconomy, Policy And Financial Markets

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


16 June 2022

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Flash Review: Fed Front-Loads Its Tightening Cycle With A 75bps Hike in June

Deep Dive Into The Near-Term Future: Global Geopolitics, Macroeconomy, Policy And Financial Markets

Flash Review: Fed Front-Loads Its Tightening Cycle With A 75bps Hike in June

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


15 June 2022

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Flash Preview Change: Fed To Increase Rates by 75bps in June and July

Preview: FOMC to Increase Rates by 50bps In June and to Continue Hiking Rapidly Through Year End

Flash Review: Fed Front-Loads Its Tightening Cycle With A 75bps Hike in June

by Nouriel Roubini 


14 June 2022

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Preview: FOMC to Increase Rates by 50bps In June and to Continue Hiking Rapidly Through Year End

Preview: FOMC to Increase Rates by 50bps In June and to Continue Hiking Rapidly Through Year End

Preview: FOMC to Increase Rates by 50bps In June and to Continue Hiking Rapidly Through Year End

by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze

13 June 2022

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Flash Preview: Yet Another Rate Hike From the BoE In June

Preview: FOMC to Increase Rates by 50bps In June and to Continue Hiking Rapidly Through Year End

Preview: FOMC to Increase Rates by 50bps In June and to Continue Hiking Rapidly Through Year End

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


10 June 2022

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APRIL - JUNE 2022

Deep Dive Into The Near-Term Future Part 2: Policy And Financial Markets

Deep Dive Into The Near-Term Future Part 1: Geopolitics and the Global Macroeconomy

Flash Review: The ECB Signals The Beginning of Rate Normalisation in July

by Brunello Rosa


10 June 2022

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Flash Review: The ECB Signals The Beginning of Rate Normalisation in July

Deep Dive Into The Near-Term Future Part 1: Geopolitics and the Global Macroeconomy

Flash Review: The ECB Signals The Beginning of Rate Normalisation in July

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


9 June 2022

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Deep Dive Into The Near-Term Future Part 1: Geopolitics and the Global Macroeconomy

Deep Dive Into The Near-Term Future Part 1: Geopolitics and the Global Macroeconomy

Deep Dive Into The Near-Term Future Part 1: Geopolitics and the Global Macroeconomy

by Brunello Rosa


8 June 2022

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Ukraine War To Impact Tourism in the GCC

Financial Warfare Against Russia: Stakes for Gulf Investors and Funds

Deep Dive Into The Near-Term Future Part 1: Geopolitics and the Global Macroeconomy

by Gulf State Analytics


7 June 2022

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Flash Preview: ECB Prepares The Ground For The Rates Liftoff

Financial Warfare Against Russia: Stakes for Gulf Investors and Funds

Financial Warfare Against Russia: Stakes for Gulf Investors and Funds

by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze

2 June 2022

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Financial Warfare Against Russia: Stakes for Gulf Investors and Funds

Financial Warfare Against Russia: Stakes for Gulf Investors and Funds

Financial Warfare Against Russia: Stakes for Gulf Investors and Funds

by Gulf State Analytics


12 May 2022

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Flash Review: BOE Raises Rates and Begins The Process Of Asset Sales

Flash Review: Federal Reserve Raises Rates, Begins QT, And Signals More Tightening Ahead

Flash Review: Federal Reserve Raises Rates, Begins QT, And Signals More Tightening Ahead

by  Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


5 May 2022

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Flash Review: Federal Reserve Raises Rates, Begins QT, And Signals More Tightening Ahead

Flash Review: Federal Reserve Raises Rates, Begins QT, And Signals More Tightening Ahead

Flash Review: Federal Reserve Raises Rates, Begins QT, And Signals More Tightening Ahead

by  Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


4 May 2022

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Fed Preview: FOMC To Increase Rates by 50bps And Start QT In May

Flash Review: Federal Reserve Raises Rates, Begins QT, And Signals More Tightening Ahead

Flash Preview: BOE To Increase Rates for The Fourth Time in A Row To Respond To Surging Inflation

by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze

2 May 2022

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Flash Preview: BOE To Increase Rates for The Fourth Time in A Row To Respond To Surging Inflation

Flash Preview: BOE To Increase Rates for The Fourth Time in A Row To Respond To Surging Inflation

Flash Preview: BOE To Increase Rates for The Fourth Time in A Row To Respond To Surging Inflation

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


29 April 2022

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Flash Review: ECB Sees Higher Chance of Net Asset Purchases Ending in Q3

Flash Preview: BOE To Increase Rates for The Fourth Time in A Row To Respond To Surging Inflation

Flash Review: ECB Sees Higher Chance of Net Asset Purchases Ending in Q3

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


14 April 2022

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Flash Preview: ECB Preparing The Ground For Policy Decisions In June

Flash Preview: BOE To Increase Rates for The Fourth Time in A Row To Respond To Surging Inflation

Flash Review: ECB Sees Higher Chance of Net Asset Purchases Ending in Q3

by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze

6 April 2022

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February - April 2022

Flash Preview: ECB Preparing The Ground For Policy Decisions In June

Is There An Optimal Policy Mix To Get The Global Economy Out Of The Current Difficult Conjuncture?

Despite the War, Russia Can Still Count on Meaningful Relationships in the Middle East

by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze


11 April 2022

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Despite the War, Russia Can Still Count on Meaningful Relationships in the Middle East

Is There An Optimal Policy Mix To Get The Global Economy Out Of The Current Difficult Conjuncture?

Despite the War, Russia Can Still Count on Meaningful Relationships in the Middle East

by Giorgio Cafiero



6 April 2022

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Is There An Optimal Policy Mix To Get The Global Economy Out Of The Current Difficult Conjuncture?

Is There An Optimal Policy Mix To Get The Global Economy Out Of The Current Difficult Conjuncture?

Is There An Optimal Policy Mix To Get The Global Economy Out Of The Current Difficult Conjuncture?

by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini



28 March 2022

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Flash Review: A Less “Hawkish” BOE Continues Its Policy Normalisation Process

Flash Preview: Bank Of England To Increase Rates For the Third Time Running in March

Is There An Optimal Policy Mix To Get The Global Economy Out Of The Current Difficult Conjuncture?

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze



17 March 2022

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Flash Review: Fed Raises Rates and Announces Imminent Beginning of QT

Flash Preview: Bank Of England To Increase Rates For the Third Time Running in March

Flash Preview: Bank Of England To Increase Rates For the Third Time Running in March

by Brunello Rosa 



16 March 2022

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Flash Preview: Bank Of England To Increase Rates For the Third Time Running in March

Flash Preview: Bank Of England To Increase Rates For the Third Time Running in March

Flash Preview: Bank Of England To Increase Rates For the Third Time Running in March

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze



14 March 2022

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Flash Preview: US Fed To Begin Its Policy Rate Normalization Plan

Flash Review: ECB Remains Hawkish To Counter The Inflationary Impact of The War in Ukraine

Flash Review: ECB Remains Hawkish To Counter The Inflationary Impact of The War in Ukraine

by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


14 March 2022

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Flash Review: ECB Remains Hawkish To Counter The Inflationary Impact of The War in Ukraine

Flash Review: ECB Remains Hawkish To Counter The Inflationary Impact of The War in Ukraine

Flash Review: ECB Remains Hawkish To Counter The Inflationary Impact of The War in Ukraine

by Brunello Rosa



10 March 2022

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Flash Preview: ECB To End APP and Assess The Stagflationary Impact of The War In Ukraine

Flash Review: ECB Remains Hawkish To Counter The Inflationary Impact of The War in Ukraine

Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine: Scenarios, Endgames And Macro- Financial and Policy Implications

by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze


4 March 2022

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Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine: Scenarios, Endgames And Macro- Financial and Policy Implications

Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine: Scenarios, Endgames And Macro- Financial and Policy Implications

Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine: Scenarios, Endgames And Macro- Financial and Policy Implications

by John C. Hulsman and Marco Lucchin



1 March 2022

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Flash Review: Hawkish RBNZ Rises Rates and Announces Further Future Hikes

Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine: Scenarios, Endgames And Macro- Financial and Policy Implications

Flash Review: Hawkish RBNZ Rises Rates and Announces Further Future Hikes

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze



23 February 2022

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Working Paper Series - Kazakhstan: The Power Struggle Behind the Unrest

Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine: Scenarios, Endgames And Macro- Financial and Policy Implications

Flash Review: Hawkish RBNZ Rises Rates and Announces Further Future Hikes

by Marco Lucchin



18 February 2022

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January - February 2022

Flash Review: The Riksbank Narrowly Keeps Its Policy Stance Unchanged in February

Flash Review: The Riksbank Narrowly Keeps Its Policy Stance Unchanged in February

Flash Review: The Riksbank Narrowly Keeps Its Policy Stance Unchanged in February

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


10 February 2022

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Flash Review: ECB Signals A Policy Shift To Occur In March

Flash Review: The Riksbank Narrowly Keeps Its Policy Stance Unchanged in February

Flash Review: The Riksbank Narrowly Keeps Its Policy Stance Unchanged in February

by Brunello Rosa


3 February 2022

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Flash Review: BoE Delivers Back-to-Back Hike And Signals More Rate Rises

Flash Review: The Riksbank Narrowly Keeps Its Policy Stance Unchanged in February

Flash Preview: BoE To Increase Rates Again To Keep Up With Inflation Surge

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


3 February 2022

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Flash Preview: BoE To Increase Rates Again To Keep Up With Inflation Surge

Flash Review: Fed Confirms First Hike in March and Mulls Balance Sheet Run-off

Flash Preview: BoE To Increase Rates Again To Keep Up With Inflation Surge

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


28 January 2022

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Flash Preview: ECB To Further Clarify Its Policy Stance After March

Flash Review: Fed Confirms First Hike in March and Mulls Balance Sheet Run-off

Flash Review: Fed Confirms First Hike in March and Mulls Balance Sheet Run-off

by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa


28 January 2022

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Flash Review: Fed Confirms First Hike in March and Mulls Balance Sheet Run-off

Flash Review: Fed Confirms First Hike in March and Mulls Balance Sheet Run-off

Flash Review: Fed Confirms First Hike in March and Mulls Balance Sheet Run-off

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


27 January 2022

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Flash Review: Hawkish BOC Flags Upcoming Rate Normalisation

FOMC Preview: Fed To Signal a March Lift-Off and Prepare the Ground for Mid-Year Run-Off Start

FOMC Preview: Fed To Signal a March Lift-Off and Prepare the Ground for Mid-Year Run-Off Start

by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze


27 January 2022

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FOMC Preview: Fed To Signal a March Lift-Off and Prepare the Ground for Mid-Year Run-Off Start

FOMC Preview: Fed To Signal a March Lift-Off and Prepare the Ground for Mid-Year Run-Off Start

FOMC Preview: Fed To Signal a March Lift-Off and Prepare the Ground for Mid-Year Run-Off Start

by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa


24 January 2022

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Macro Picture - China and Russia Increase Their Grip On The Middle-East

FOMC Preview: Fed To Signal a March Lift-Off and Prepare the Ground for Mid-Year Run-Off Start

Macro Picture - Long Covid: The Long-Term Economic, Social and Political Impact of the Pandemic

by Giorgio Cafiero


21 January 2022

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Macro Picture - Long Covid: The Long-Term Economic, Social and Political Impact of the Pandemic

Macro Picture - Long Covid: The Long-Term Economic, Social and Political Impact of the Pandemic

Macro Picture - Long Covid: The Long-Term Economic, Social and Political Impact of the Pandemic

by Marco Lucchin and Brunello Rosa


14 January 2022

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Macro Picture: ASEAN Countries Divided On AUKUS Agreement

Macro Picture - Long Covid: The Long-Term Economic, Social and Political Impact of the Pandemic

Travel Notes: Italy - All Eyes on The Upcoming Presidential Election

by  Mirko Giordani


7 January 2022

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Travel Notes: Italy - All Eyes on The Upcoming Presidential Election

Macro Picture - Long Covid: The Long-Term Economic, Social and Political Impact of the Pandemic

Travel Notes: Italy - All Eyes on The Upcoming Presidential Election

by  Brunello Rosa


5 January 2022

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october - december 2021

Major G10 Central Banks Turn Hawkish As Inflation Rises and Omicron Spreads

Flash Preview: FOMC To Accelerate QE Tapering and Start Hiking Rates by Mid 2022

Flash Preview: FOMC To Accelerate QE Tapering and Start Hiking Rates by Mid 2022

by  Brunello Rosa



17  December 2021

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Flash Preview: FOMC To Accelerate QE Tapering and Start Hiking Rates by Mid 2022

Flash Preview: FOMC To Accelerate QE Tapering and Start Hiking Rates by Mid 2022

Flash Preview: FOMC To Accelerate QE Tapering and Start Hiking Rates by Mid 2022

by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa



13 December 2021

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Preview: ECB To Launch Its Post-Pandemic Policy Package

Flash Preview: FOMC To Accelerate QE Tapering and Start Hiking Rates by Mid 2022

Flash Preview: Bank Of England To Remain On Hold As The UK Moves To Plan B on Omicron Variant

by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini



13 December 2021

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Flash Preview: Bank Of England To Remain On Hold As The UK Moves To Plan B on Omicron Variant

Flash Preview: Bank Of England To Remain On Hold As The UK Moves To Plan B on Omicron Variant

Flash Preview: Bank Of England To Remain On Hold As The UK Moves To Plan B on Omicron Variant

by Brunello Rosa



10 December 2021

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Washington: Both The Democrats And The Republicans Have Fallen Into ‘The Hemingway Trap’

Flash Preview: Bank Of England To Remain On Hold As The UK Moves To Plan B on Omicron Variant

Washington: Both The Democrats And The Republicans Have Fallen Into ‘The Hemingway Trap’

by John C. Hulsman



30 November 2021

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France: Getting Ready For The Presidential Race

Flash Preview: Bank Of England To Remain On Hold As The UK Moves To Plan B on Omicron Variant

Washington: Both The Democrats And The Republicans Have Fallen Into ‘The Hemingway Trap’

by Brunello Rosa 



26 November 2021

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Flash Review: BOE Surprises The Market By Keeping Its Interest Rates Unchanged In November

Flash Review: Fed To Begin QE Tapering in November, While Keeping Some Optionality On The Pace

Flash Review: Fed To Begin QE Tapering in November, While Keeping Some Optionality On The Pace

by Brunello Rosa 



4 November 2021

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Flash Review: Fed To Begin QE Tapering in November, While Keeping Some Optionality On The Pace

Flash Review: Fed To Begin QE Tapering in November, While Keeping Some Optionality On The Pace

Flash Review: Fed To Begin QE Tapering in November, While Keeping Some Optionality On The Pace

by Brunello Rosa 



3 November 2021

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Flash Preview: Fed To Announce QE Tapering Beginning In Mid-November

Flash Review: Fed To Begin QE Tapering in November, While Keeping Some Optionality On The Pace

Flash Preview: Fed To Announce QE Tapering Beginning In Mid-November

by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini



1 November 2021

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Flash Preview: BoE Ready To Increase Its Bank Rate in November

Flash Preview: ECB Mulling Over The Policies For The Post Pandemic Period

Flash Preview: Fed To Announce QE Tapering Beginning In Mid-November

by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini



29 October 2021

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Review: ECB To End PEEP In March, While Avoiding A Cliff Edge

Flash Preview: ECB Mulling Over The Policies For The Post Pandemic Period

Flash Preview: ECB Mulling Over The Policies For The Post Pandemic Period

by Brunello Rosa



28 October 2021

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Flash Preview: ECB Mulling Over The Policies For The Post Pandemic Period

Flash Preview: ECB Mulling Over The Policies For The Post Pandemic Period

Flash Preview: ECB Mulling Over The Policies For The Post Pandemic Period

by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini



25 October 2021

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september - october 2021

Kuwait: To Create Jobs For Nationals, Reduce Dependence On Public Sector And Low-Wage Foreign Labor

Kuwait: To Create Jobs For Nationals, Reduce Dependence On Public Sector And Low-Wage Foreign Labor

Kuwait: To Create Jobs For Nationals, Reduce Dependence On Public Sector And Low-Wage Foreign Labor

by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, Carmen Pages Serra and Zafiris Tzannatos

13 October 2021

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Flash Review: RBNZ Raises Interest Rates, Second G10 Central Bank In This Cycle

Kuwait: To Create Jobs For Nationals, Reduce Dependence On Public Sector And Low-Wage Foreign Labor

Kuwait: To Create Jobs For Nationals, Reduce Dependence On Public Sector And Low-Wage Foreign Labor

by Brunello Rosa



6 October 2021

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Q4-2021 STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Economic Recovery On Track, But Volatility Rises

Kuwait: To Create Jobs For Nationals, Reduce Dependence On Public Sector And Low-Wage Foreign Labor

Q4-2021 STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Economic Recovery On Track, But Volatility Rises

by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses

1 October 2021

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Iran and Saudi Arabia’s Perspectives on Post-US Afghanistan

Flash Review: Norges Bank Raises Rates, First G10 Central Bank In This Cycle

Q4-2021 STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Economic Recovery On Track, But Volatility Rises

by Giorgio Cafiero



29 September 2021

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Flash Review: Norges Bank Raises Rates, First G10 Central Bank In This Cycle

Flash Review: Norges Bank Raises Rates, First G10 Central Bank In This Cycle

Flash Review: Norges Bank Raises Rates, First G10 Central Bank In This Cycle

by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses



23 September 2021

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Flash Review – Bank of England Turns Hawkish In September

Flash Review: Norges Bank Raises Rates, First G10 Central Bank In This Cycle

Flash Review: Norges Bank Raises Rates, First G10 Central Bank In This Cycle

by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi


23 September 2021

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Flash Review: Fed Gives Advance Notice of The Beginning of Tapering,Possibly As Early As In November

Flash Review: Fed Gives Advance Notice of The Beginning of Tapering,Possibly As Early As In November

Flash Review: Fed Gives Advance Notice of The Beginning of Tapering,Possibly As Early As In November

by Brunello Rosa



22 September 2021

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Flash Review: The BoJ Reveals the Details Of Its Green Lending Program

Flash Review: Fed Gives Advance Notice of The Beginning of Tapering,Possibly As Early As In November

Flash Review: Fed Gives Advance Notice of The Beginning of Tapering,Possibly As Early As In November

by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses



22 September 2021

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Flash Preview: Bank Of Japan To Delay Scaling Back Its Covid-Related Emergency Measures

Flash Review: Fed Gives Advance Notice of The Beginning of Tapering,Possibly As Early As In November

Flash Preview: Bank Of Japan To Delay Scaling Back Its Covid-Related Emergency Measures

by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi


16 September 2021

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Flash Preview: Bank Of England To Stay On Hold While Inflation Soars

Flash Review: The ECB Recalibrates PEPP by Moderately Reducing The Pace of Purchases

Flash Preview: Bank Of Japan To Delay Scaling Back Its Covid-Related Emergency Measures

by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses


16 September 2021

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Flash Review: The ECB Recalibrates PEPP by Moderately Reducing The Pace of Purchases

Flash Review: The ECB Recalibrates PEPP by Moderately Reducing The Pace of Purchases

Flash Review: The ECB Recalibrates PEPP by Moderately Reducing The Pace of Purchases

by Brunello Rosa


9 September 2021

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ECB Flash Preview: Amid Higher Inflation, the Debate On QE Tapering Begins

Flash Review: The ECB Recalibrates PEPP by Moderately Reducing The Pace of Purchases

Flash Review: The ECB Recalibrates PEPP by Moderately Reducing The Pace of Purchases

by Brunello Rosa, Fawaz Al Mughrabi


3 September 2021

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july 2021 - august 2021

2021-22 Oil Outlook: Supply Increases, As Global Demand Improves

Flash Review: RBNZ Postpones Its Rate Hike After The Government Suddenly Imposes A New Lockdown

Flash Review: RBNZ Postpones Its Rate Hike After The Government Suddenly Imposes A New Lockdown

by Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, Karmen Meneses and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi  

26 August 2021

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Flash Review: RBNZ Postpones Its Rate Hike After The Government Suddenly Imposes A New Lockdown

Flash Review: RBNZ Postpones Its Rate Hike After The Government Suddenly Imposes A New Lockdown

Flash Review: RBNZ Postpones Its Rate Hike After The Government Suddenly Imposes A New Lockdown

by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Al Mughrabi


19 August 2021

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Flash Preview: RBNZ Likely to Raise Rates in August, First Among G10 Central Banks

Flash Review: RBNZ Postpones Its Rate Hike After The Government Suddenly Imposes A New Lockdown

Flash Review: BOE Adds Negative Rates To Its Toolkit and Modifies Its Policy Mix For Exit Sequence

by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses



13 August 2021

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Flash Review: BOE Adds Negative Rates To Its Toolkit and Modifies Its Policy Mix For Exit Sequence

Flash Review: BOE Adds Negative Rates To Its Toolkit and Modifies Its Policy Mix For Exit Sequence

Flash Review: BOE Adds Negative Rates To Its Toolkit and Modifies Its Policy Mix For Exit Sequence

by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi

5 August 2021

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Flash Preview: BoE On Hold, With A Discussion On Negative Rates And (Possibly) Exit Sequencing

Flash Review: BOE Adds Negative Rates To Its Toolkit and Modifies Its Policy Mix For Exit Sequence

Flash Preview: BoE On Hold, With A Discussion On Negative Rates And (Possibly) Exit Sequencing

by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi

30 July 2021

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The Future Of Banking: Amid Brisk Evolution, Banks Will Endure Disruption

Flash Review: BOE Adds Negative Rates To Its Toolkit and Modifies Its Policy Mix For Exit Sequence

Flash Preview: BoE On Hold, With A Discussion On Negative Rates And (Possibly) Exit Sequencing

by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses

29 July 2021

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Flash Review: The Fed Acknowledges “Progress” Toward Meeting Its Goals

Flash Review: ECB Revises Its Forward Guidance In Light of the Strategy Review

Flash Review: The Fed Acknowledges “Progress” Toward Meeting Its Goals

by Brunello Rosa

28 July 2021

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Flash Preview: Federal Reserve No Tapering Hints Yet

Flash Review: ECB Revises Its Forward Guidance In Light of the Strategy Review

Flash Review: The Fed Acknowledges “Progress” Toward Meeting Its Goals

by Nouriel Roubini, Alessandro Magnoli

26 July 2021

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Flash Review: ECB Revises Its Forward Guidance In Light of the Strategy Review

Flash Review: ECB Revises Its Forward Guidance In Light of the Strategy Review

Flash Review: ECB Revises Its Forward Guidance In Light of the Strategy Review

by Brunello Rosa

22 July 2021

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Flash Preview: ECB Starts Implementing Its New Policy Strategy

Flash Review – Bank of Canada Reduces Further The Pace of its Asset Purchases

Flash Review: ECB Revises Its Forward Guidance In Light of the Strategy Review

by Brunello Rosa, Fawaz Al Mughrabi  

16 July 2021

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Flash Review: BOJ Unveils Details of its New “Green” Lending Scheme

Flash Review – Bank of Canada Reduces Further The Pace of its Asset Purchases

Flash Review – Bank of Canada Reduces Further The Pace of its Asset Purchases

by Brunello Rosa, Fawaz Al Mughrabi  

16 July 2021

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Flash Review – Bank of Canada Reduces Further The Pace of its Asset Purchases

Flash Review – Bank of Canada Reduces Further The Pace of its Asset Purchases

Flash Review – Bank of Canada Reduces Further The Pace of its Asset Purchases

by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses 14 July 2021

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june 2021 - july 2021

Flash Preview: BOJ To Unveil Details of its New “Green” Lending Scheme

Flash Preview: BOJ To Unveil Details of its New “Green” Lending Scheme

Flash Preview: BOJ To Unveil Details of its New “Green” Lending Scheme

by Brunello Rosa, Fawaz Al Mughrabi  

9 July 2021

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Flash Preview: Bank of Canada To Further Taper its Asset Purchases

Flash Preview: BOJ To Unveil Details of its New “Green” Lending Scheme

Flash Preview: BOJ To Unveil Details of its New “Green” Lending Scheme

by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses

9 July 2021

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Flash Review: RBA Moves To Open-Ended QE

Flash Preview: BOJ To Unveil Details of its New “Green” Lending Scheme

Flash Preview: RBA To Tweak QE Following New Lockdowns

by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses

6 July 2021

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Flash Preview: RBA To Tweak QE Following New Lockdowns

STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Economic Recovery And Policy Stimuli To Support Valuations

Flash Preview: RBA To Tweak QE Following New Lockdowns

by Brunello Rosa, Fawaz  Al Mughrabi  

2 July 2021

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Flash Review: The Riksbank Confirms Its Policy Stance And Remains Dovish

STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Economic Recovery And Policy Stimuli To Support Valuations

STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Economic Recovery And Policy Stimuli To Support Valuations

by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses

1 July 2021

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STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Economic Recovery And Policy Stimuli To Support Valuations

STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Economic Recovery And Policy Stimuli To Support Valuations

STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Economic Recovery And Policy Stimuli To Support Valuations

by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi 

30 June 2021

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Flash Preview: Riksbank To Reassure Markets There Won’t Be Any Premature Policy Tightening

Flash Preview: Riksbank To Reassure Markets There Won’t Be Any Premature Policy Tightening

Flash Preview: Riksbank To Reassure Markets There Won’t Be Any Premature Policy Tightening

by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses


28 June 2021

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BOE Pushes Back Against Speculation On Premature Policy Tightening

Flash Preview: Riksbank To Reassure Markets There Won’t Be Any Premature Policy Tightening

Flash Preview: Riksbank To Reassure Markets There Won’t Be Any Premature Policy Tightening

by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses


24 June 2021

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Flash Preview: Bank Of England To Leave Policy Stance Unchanged

Flash Preview: Riksbank To Reassure Markets There Won’t Be Any Premature Policy Tightening

Flash Review: Bank of Japan Extends The Covid-Relief Programs And Engages On Climate Change

by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses

18 June 2021

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Flash Review: Bank of Japan Extends The Covid-Relief Programs And Engages On Climate Change

Flash Review: Federal Reserve Keeps Stance Unchanged, But Signals Earlier Potential Rate Liftoff

Flash Review: Bank of Japan Extends The Covid-Relief Programs And Engages On Climate Change

by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses

16 June 2021

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Flash Review: Norges Bank Set To Be The First G10 Central Bank To Hike in This Cycle

Flash Review: Federal Reserve Keeps Stance Unchanged, But Signals Earlier Potential Rate Liftoff

Flash Review: Federal Reserve Keeps Stance Unchanged, But Signals Earlier Potential Rate Liftoff

by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses

18 June 2021

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Flash Review: Federal Reserve Keeps Stance Unchanged, But Signals Earlier Potential Rate Liftoff

Flash Review: Federal Reserve Keeps Stance Unchanged, But Signals Earlier Potential Rate Liftoff

Flash Review: Federal Reserve Keeps Stance Unchanged, But Signals Earlier Potential Rate Liftoff

by Brunello Rosa

16 June 2021

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april 2021 - june 2021

Fed Preview: Too Early to Think About Tapering, Changing First Hike Timing, and Declaring Victory on

Fed Preview: Too Early to Think About Tapering, Changing First Hike Timing, and Declaring Victory on

Fed Preview: Too Early to Think About Tapering, Changing First Hike Timing, and Declaring Victory on

by Nouriel Roubini, Fawaz Al Mughrabi

14 June 2021 

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Flash Preview – Bank of Japan To Further Extend Its Pandemic-Relief Programs

Fed Preview: Too Early to Think About Tapering, Changing First Hike Timing, and Declaring Victory on

Fed Preview: Too Early to Think About Tapering, Changing First Hike Timing, and Declaring Victory on

by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses

11 June 2021

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Flash Review: ECB Upgrades the Economic Outlook, But Keeps the Higher Pace of PEPP Purchases

Fed Preview: Too Early to Think About Tapering, Changing First Hike Timing, and Declaring Victory on

Flash Review: ECB Upgrades the Economic Outlook, But Keeps the Higher Pace of PEPP Purchases

by Brunello Rosa

10 June 2021

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Flash Review: Bank of Canada Keeps Policy Stance and Rhetoric Unchanged in June

Flash Preview – Bank Of Canada On Hold, With Markets Awaiting Signals From the Bank

Flash Review: ECB Upgrades the Economic Outlook, But Keeps the Higher Pace of PEPP Purchases

by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses

9 June 2021

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Flash Preview – ECB Likely to Keep its Current Pace of PEPP Purchases

Flash Preview – Bank Of Canada On Hold, With Markets Awaiting Signals From the Bank

Flash Preview – Bank Of Canada On Hold, With Markets Awaiting Signals From the Bank

by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Karmen Meneses


7 June 2021

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Flash Preview – Bank Of Canada On Hold, With Markets Awaiting Signals From the Bank

Flash Preview – Bank Of Canada On Hold, With Markets Awaiting Signals From the Bank

Flash Preview – Bank Of Canada On Hold, With Markets Awaiting Signals From the Bank

by Brunello Rosa and  Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi 


4 June 2021

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Market Review And Outlook: Vaccine Rollouts And Abundant Liquidity To Support Market Performance

Market Review And Outlook: Vaccine Rollouts And Abundant Liquidity To Support Market Performance

Market Review And Outlook: Vaccine Rollouts And Abundant Liquidity To Support Market Performance

by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses

21 May 2021

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The US and Iran Aim to Restore the JCPOA, but Obstacles Remain

Market Review And Outlook: Vaccine Rollouts And Abundant Liquidity To Support Market Performance

Market Review And Outlook: Vaccine Rollouts And Abundant Liquidity To Support Market Performance

by Giorgio Cafiero



12 May 2021

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Flash Review: Bank of England Stays Put But Rises Its Short-Term Growth and Inflation Forecasts

Market Review And Outlook: Vaccine Rollouts And Abundant Liquidity To Support Market Performance

Flash Review: Bank of England Stays Put But Rises Its Short-Term Growth and Inflation Forecasts

by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi


6 May 2021

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2021-22 Outlook: Oil Prices To Recover, As Global Demand Improves

Flash Preview: BOE on Hold While Reflecting Successful Vaccination Campaign in Growth Forecasts

Flash Review: Bank of England Stays Put But Rises Its Short-Term Growth and Inflation Forecasts

by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi 

5 May 2021

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Flash Preview: BOE on Hold While Reflecting Successful Vaccination Campaign in Growth Forecasts

Flash Preview: BOE on Hold While Reflecting Successful Vaccination Campaign in Growth Forecasts

Flash Preview: BOE on Hold While Reflecting Successful Vaccination Campaign in Growth Forecasts

by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses


30 April 2021

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Flash Review: Federal Reserve No Time Yet To Think About Tapering

Flash Preview: BOE on Hold While Reflecting Successful Vaccination Campaign in Growth Forecasts

Flash Preview: BOE on Hold While Reflecting Successful Vaccination Campaign in Growth Forecasts

by Brunello Rosa


28 April 2021

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Research Archive (From June 2019)

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