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JUNE - JULY 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS: G10 Central Banks Preparing For Their Easing Moves
EU: The End Of The Musical Chairs Game Delivers A Fragile Political Equilibrium
EU: The End Of The Musical Chairs Game Delivers A Fragile Political Equilibrium
by Brunello Rosa
4 July 2019
EU: The End Of The Musical Chairs Game Delivers A Fragile Political Equilibrium
EU: The End Of The Musical Chairs Game Delivers A Fragile Political Equilibrium
EU: The End Of The Musical Chairs Game Delivers A Fragile Political Equilibrium
by Brunello Rosa
3 July 2019
Flash Review: Riksbank Remains Cautious And Leaves Outlook Unchanged
EU: The End Of The Musical Chairs Game Delivers A Fragile Political Equilibrium
RBA Cuts Rates for a Second Month in a Row, Possibly With More Easing Ahead
by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa
3 July 2019
RBA Cuts Rates for a Second Month in a Row, Possibly With More Easing Ahead
Tactical Risk-On In The Liquid Space, While Keeping Focus On Capital Preservation
RBA Cuts Rates for a Second Month in a Row, Possibly With More Easing Ahead
by Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters
2 July 2019
Tactical Risk-On In The Liquid Space, While Keeping Focus On Capital Preservation
Tactical Risk-On In The Liquid Space, While Keeping Focus On Capital Preservation
Tactical Risk-On In The Liquid Space, While Keeping Focus On Capital Preservation
by Bocchi, Al Mughrabi and Aladsani
1 July 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Preview: Riksbank To Remain Prudently Dovish
Tactical Risk-On In The Liquid Space, While Keeping Focus On Capital Preservation
Tactical Risk-On In The Liquid Space, While Keeping Focus On Capital Preservation
by Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters
28 June 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Central Bank Preview: RBA Ready To Cut Rates Again
POLICY COMPASS: EU Musical Chairs’ Battle At The Center of the EU Council Meeting
Japan Election Update: Risk of Double Election Remains Despite Abe’s Dismissal
by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa
28 June 2019
Japan Election Update: Risk of Double Election Remains Despite Abe’s Dismissal
POLICY COMPASS: EU Musical Chairs’ Battle At The Center of the EU Council Meeting
Japan Election Update: Risk of Double Election Remains Despite Abe’s Dismissal
by Alex Waters
27 June 2019
POLICY COMPASS: EU Musical Chairs’ Battle At The Center of the EU Council Meeting
POLICY COMPASS: EU Musical Chairs’ Battle At The Center of the EU Council Meeting
POLICY COMPASS: EU Musical Chairs’ Battle At The Center of the EU Council Meeting
by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa
20 June 2019
Flash Review: Norges Bank Raises Rates and Hints At More Hikes in 2019
Italy: Preparing For Fiscal Battles With The EU, Amid Domestic Political Turmoil
POLICY COMPASS: EU Musical Chairs’ Battle At The Center of the EU Council Meeting
by Brunello Rosa
20 June 2019
Italy: Preparing For Fiscal Battles With The EU, Amid Domestic Political Turmoil
Italy: Preparing For Fiscal Battles With The EU, Amid Domestic Political Turmoil
Italy: Preparing For Fiscal Battles With The EU, Amid Domestic Political Turmoil
by Brunello Rosa
19 June 2019
REVIEW: Fed Moves To Easing Bias As It Stands Ready To Cut Rates In H2
Italy: Preparing For Fiscal Battles With The EU, Amid Domestic Political Turmoil
Italy: Preparing For Fiscal Battles With The EU, Amid Domestic Political Turmoil
by Brunello Rosa
19 June 2019
June - July 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Central Bank Preview: ECB Getting Ready To Deliver More Easing In September
RUSSIA: Monetary Stabilisation, Econ Stagnation and Geopolitics Create A Mixed Political Picture
RUSSIA: Monetary Stabilisation, Econ Stagnation and Geopolitics Create A Mixed Political Picture
by Brunello Rosa, Alex Waters, F. Panelli
19 July 2019
RUSSIA: Monetary Stabilisation, Econ Stagnation and Geopolitics Create A Mixed Political Picture
RUSSIA: Monetary Stabilisation, Econ Stagnation and Geopolitics Create A Mixed Political Picture
RUSSIA: Monetary Stabilisation, Econ Stagnation and Geopolitics Create A Mixed Political Picture
by Rémi Bourgeot and Brunello Rosa
17 July 2019
POLICY COMPASS - Brexit and BoE Update: Brace For Political Turmoil In Coming Months
RUSSIA: Monetary Stabilisation, Econ Stagnation and Geopolitics Create A Mixed Political Picture
POLICY COMPASS - Brexit and BoE Update: Brace For Political Turmoil In Coming Months
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
12 July 2019
Flash Review: Bank of Canada Now On Hold, Ready To Go Either Way
Macron’s Push For French and European Reform Remains, But Will Be Constrained
POLICY COMPASS - Brexit and BoE Update: Brace For Political Turmoil In Coming Months
by Brunello Rosa
10 July 2019
Macron’s Push For French and European Reform Remains, But Will Be Constrained
Macron’s Push For French and European Reform Remains, But Will Be Constrained
Macron’s Push For French and European Reform Remains, But Will Be Constrained
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
9 July 2019
BoC Preview: Balancing Global Headwinds with Domestic Resilience
Macron’s Push For French and European Reform Remains, But Will Be Constrained
Macron’s Push For French and European Reform Remains, But Will Be Constrained
by Francesca Panelli and Brunello Rosa
5 July 2019
POLICY COMPASS: No-Deal Hard Brexit Is Still A Low-Probability Scenario
Fed To Stay On Hold But Leave Wide Open the Option of Forthcoming Rate Cuts
Fed To Stay On Hold But Leave Wide Open the Option of Forthcoming Rate Cuts
by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa
18 June 2019
Fed To Stay On Hold But Leave Wide Open the Option of Forthcoming Rate Cuts
Fed To Stay On Hold But Leave Wide Open the Option of Forthcoming Rate Cuts
Fed To Stay On Hold But Leave Wide Open the Option of Forthcoming Rate Cuts
By N. Roubini, B. Rosa and Alex Waters
17 June 2019
Preview: Norges Bank Set To Increase Rates In Spite Of Dovish Fed and ECB
Fed To Stay On Hold But Leave Wide Open the Option of Forthcoming Rate Cuts
US-China Ahead: A Controlled Escalation Is More Likely Than A Full Deal or A Full-Scale War
by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa
14 June 2019
US-China Ahead: A Controlled Escalation Is More Likely Than A Full Deal or A Full-Scale War
US-China Ahead: A Controlled Escalation Is More Likely Than A Full Deal or A Full-Scale War
US-China Ahead: A Controlled Escalation Is More Likely Than A Full Deal or A Full-Scale War
by Nouriel Roubini
14 June 2019
MARKET VIEWS - Fasten Your Seatbelts: Financial Markets’ Review and Outlook
US-China Ahead: A Controlled Escalation Is More Likely Than A Full Deal or A Full-Scale War
MARKET VIEWS - Fasten Your Seatbelts: Financial Markets’ Review and Outlook
by Bocchi, Aladsani and Al Mughrabi
14 June 2019
The SNB Introduces A New Policy Rate (and Claims To Have Space To Ease)
US-China Ahead: A Controlled Escalation Is More Likely Than A Full Deal or A Full-Scale War
MARKET VIEWS - Fasten Your Seatbelts: Financial Markets’ Review and Outlook
by Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters
13 June 2019
MAY - JUNE 2019
US Inflation: Several Factors Dampening Structural Upward Pressures
Review: ECB Is Not As Dovish As The Market Expected, But Is Ready To Ease
Review: ECB Is Not As Dovish As The Market Expected, But Is Ready To Ease
by Francesca Panelli
13 June 2019
Review: ECB Is Not As Dovish As The Market Expected, But Is Ready To Ease
Review: ECB Is Not As Dovish As The Market Expected, But Is Ready To Ease
Review: ECB Is Not As Dovish As The Market Expected, But Is Ready To Ease
by Brunello Rosa
6 June 2019
MACRO PICTURE - Argentina: Elections To Test The Austerity Measures
Review: ECB Is Not As Dovish As The Market Expected, But Is Ready To Ease
Review: RBA Cuts Its Cash Rate Due to Uncertainty On The Global Outlook
Bocchi, Aladsani, Al Mughrabi, Fioretti
5 June 2019
Review: RBA Cuts Its Cash Rate Due to Uncertainty On The Global Outlook
MACRO PICTURE - USA - Iran: Escalating Tensions, With High Risk Of Mis-Calculations
Review: RBA Cuts Its Cash Rate Due to Uncertainty On The Global Outlook
By Alex Waters
4 June 2019
ECB Preview: Don’t Expect Too Much Substance, But Still a Dovish Tone
MACRO PICTURE - USA - Iran: Escalating Tensions, With High Risk Of Mis-Calculations
MACRO PICTURE - USA - Iran: Escalating Tensions, With High Risk Of Mis-Calculations
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
3 June 2019
MACRO PICTURE - USA - Iran: Escalating Tensions, With High Risk Of Mis-Calculations
MACRO PICTURE - USA - Iran: Escalating Tensions, With High Risk Of Mis-Calculations
MACRO PICTURE - USA - Iran: Escalating Tensions, With High Risk Of Mis-Calculations
By N. Roubini, B. Rosa and G. Cafiero
23 May 2019
US-China Trade War Risks and Impact on US Inflation, Growth, Fed’s Monetary Policy
US-China Trade War Risks and Impact on US Inflation, Growth, Fed’s Monetary Policy
US-China Trade War Risks and Impact on US Inflation, Growth, Fed’s Monetary Policy
by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa
16 May 2019
APRIL - MAY 2019
MARKET VIEWS - Lebanon: An ‘Unstable Equilibrium’ Supported By Capital Inflows
FRANCE: The Social Crisis Lingers, While European Alliances Are Being Questioned
MARKET VIEWS - Lebanon: An ‘Unstable Equilibrium’ Supported By Capital Inflows
by Bocchi, Aladsani and Al Mughrabi
14 May 2019
FLASH REVIEW: Norges Bank Surprises Markets And Signals A Rate Hike In June
FRANCE: The Social Crisis Lingers, While European Alliances Are Being Questioned
MARKET VIEWS - Lebanon: An ‘Unstable Equilibrium’ Supported By Capital Inflows
by Brunello Rosa
9 May 2019
FRANCE: The Social Crisis Lingers, While European Alliances Are Being Questioned
FRANCE: The Social Crisis Lingers, While European Alliances Are Being Questioned
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: RBNZ Is The First G10 Central Bank to Cut Rates In This Cycle
by Rémi Bourgeot
9 May 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: RBNZ Is The First G10 Central Bank to Cut Rates In This Cycle
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: RBNZ Is The First G10 Central Bank to Cut Rates In This Cycle
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: RBNZ Is The First G10 Central Bank to Cut Rates In This Cycle
by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa
8 May 2019
TRAVEL NOTES - CHINA: Growth Is Stabilizing at the Cost of Renewed Financial Imbalances
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: RBNZ Is The First G10 Central Bank to Cut Rates In This Cycle
TRAVEL NOTES - CHINA: Growth Is Stabilizing at the Cost of Renewed Financial Imbalances
by Nouriel Roubini
7 May 2019
RBA Review: Cash Rate Held Steady, Labour Market Key to Rate Outlook
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: RBNZ Is The First G10 Central Bank to Cut Rates In This Cycle
TRAVEL NOTES - CHINA: Growth Is Stabilizing at the Cost of Renewed Financial Imbalances
By Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa
7 May 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Flash Preview: RBNZ Seen Cutting Rates in May
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: Fed Remains Patiently Dovish, But No Rate Cuts In Sight
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Flash Preview: RBNZ Seen Cutting Rates in May
by Brunello Rosa
3 May 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS - RBA PREVIEW: A Rate Cut Is On The Table
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: Fed Remains Patiently Dovish, But No Rate Cuts In Sight
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Flash Preview: RBNZ Seen Cutting Rates in May
By Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa
3 May 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: Fed Remains Patiently Dovish, But No Rate Cuts In Sight
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: Fed Remains Patiently Dovish, But No Rate Cuts In Sight
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: Fed Remains Patiently Dovish, But No Rate Cuts In Sight
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
1 May 2019
Preview: Fed Still Patient, With Rate Cuts Considered Only If Outlook Worsens
Review: The BoJ Re-Commits to Its Current Policy Framework by Updating Its Forward Guidance
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: Fed Remains Patiently Dovish, But No Rate Cuts In Sight
by Nouriel Roubini and Alex Waters
29 April 2019
Ultra-Dovish Riksbank Lowers Its Repo Rate Path And Extends QE to End-2020
Review: The BoJ Re-Commits to Its Current Policy Framework by Updating Its Forward Guidance
Review: The BoJ Re-Commits to Its Current Policy Framework by Updating Its Forward Guidance
by Brunello Rosa
25 April 2019
Review: The BoJ Re-Commits to Its Current Policy Framework by Updating Its Forward Guidance
Review: The BoJ Re-Commits to Its Current Policy Framework by Updating Its Forward Guidance
Review: The BoJ Re-Commits to Its Current Policy Framework by Updating Its Forward Guidance
by Alex Waters
25 April 2019
April 2019
Review: Bank Of Canada Removes Its Tightening Bias
MACRO PICTURE - Brazil: The Pension Reform Is The Crucial Test For Bolsonaro
MACRO PICTURE - Brazil: The Pension Reform Is The Crucial Test For Bolsonaro
By Brunello Rosa
24 April 2019
MACRO PICTURE - Brazil: The Pension Reform Is The Crucial Test For Bolsonaro
MACRO PICTURE - Brazil: The Pension Reform Is The Crucial Test For Bolsonaro
MACRO PICTURE - Brazil: The Pension Reform Is The Crucial Test For Bolsonaro
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi Farah Aladsani
24 April 2019
The US Can Temporarily “Decouple” From The Eurozone (If EZ Shock is Mild)
MACRO PICTURE - Brazil: The Pension Reform Is The Crucial Test For Bolsonaro
The US Can Temporarily “Decouple” From The Eurozone (If EZ Shock is Mild)
by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa
23 April 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Bank of Canada Preview: On Hold, For Now
Bank of Japan Preview: BoJ In Wait-And-See Mode as Global Headwinds May Fade
The US Can Temporarily “Decouple” From The Eurozone (If EZ Shock is Mild)
by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa
19 April 2019
Bank of Japan Preview: BoJ In Wait-And-See Mode as Global Headwinds May Fade
Bank of Japan Preview: BoJ In Wait-And-See Mode as Global Headwinds May Fade
Bank of Japan Preview: BoJ In Wait-And-See Mode as Global Headwinds May Fade
by Alex Waters and Nouriel Roubini
19 April 2019
MACRO PICTURE - EU Update: Awaiting The Populist Tsunami
Bank of Japan Preview: BoJ In Wait-And-See Mode as Global Headwinds May Fade
Bank of Japan Preview: BoJ In Wait-And-See Mode as Global Headwinds May Fade
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
8 March 2019
ECB Review Assessing The Policy Stance Ahead Of Further Possible Action
ECB: Policy on Hold. No Tiering Yet and TLTRO Details to Be Decided Over Time
JAPAN: Monetary and Fiscal Easing Space Is Available In A Downside Scenario
by Brunello Rosa
10 April 2019
JAPAN: Monetary and Fiscal Easing Space Is Available In A Downside Scenario
ECB: Policy on Hold. No Tiering Yet and TLTRO Details to Be Decided Over Time
JAPAN: Monetary and Fiscal Easing Space Is Available In A Downside Scenario
by Nouriel Roubini
10 April 2019
ECB: Policy on Hold. No Tiering Yet and TLTRO Details to Be Decided Over Time
ECB: Policy on Hold. No Tiering Yet and TLTRO Details to Be Decided Over Time
ECB: Policy on Hold. No Tiering Yet and TLTRO Details to Be Decided Over Time
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
8 April 2019
ECB Is Mulling Reserve Tiering, But It Has Not Made Up Its Mind Yet
MACRO PICTURE - EU-US Auto Trade Dispute: Negotiations Before A War
ECB: Policy on Hold. No Tiering Yet and TLTRO Details to Be Decided Over Time
by Brunello Rosa
8 April 2019
Spain: Steady Economic Growth Threatened By Political Uncertainty
MACRO PICTURE - EU-US Auto Trade Dispute: Negotiations Before A War
MACRO PICTURE - EU-US Auto Trade Dispute: Negotiations Before A War
by Lapo Fioretti and Brunello Rosa
3 April 2019
MACRO PICTURE - EU-US Auto Trade Dispute: Negotiations Before A War
MACRO PICTURE - EU-US Auto Trade Dispute: Negotiations Before A War
MACRO PICTURE - EU-US Auto Trade Dispute: Negotiations Before A War
By A. Waters, Brunello Rosa, N. Roubini
2 April 2019
March 2019
ASSET ALLOCATION: Maintain A Defensive Risk Profile, Focus On Capital Preservation
Review: RBNZ Prepares For a Rate Cut (And Puts Pressure On RBA To Shift Risk Balance)
Review: RBNZ Prepares For a Rate Cut (And Puts Pressure On RBA To Shift Risk Balance)
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
29 March 2019
Review: RBNZ Prepares For a Rate Cut (And Puts Pressure On RBA To Shift Risk Balance)
Review: RBNZ Prepares For a Rate Cut (And Puts Pressure On RBA To Shift Risk Balance)
Review: RBNZ Prepares For a Rate Cut (And Puts Pressure On RBA To Shift Risk Balance)
by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa
28 March 2019
Changes In Fed’s Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools And Communication Policy
Review: RBNZ Prepares For a Rate Cut (And Puts Pressure On RBA To Shift Risk Balance)
Review: Hawkish Norges Bank Raises Rates and Signals Another Hike Within 6 Months
by Nouriel Roubini
25 March 2019
Review: Hawkish Norges Bank Raises Rates and Signals Another Hike Within 6 Months
Review: Hawkish Norges Bank Raises Rates and Signals Another Hike Within 6 Months
Review: Hawkish Norges Bank Raises Rates and Signals Another Hike Within 6 Months
by Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters
21 March 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Central Bank Review: Fed Delivers Another Dovish Surprise
Review: Hawkish Norges Bank Raises Rates and Signals Another Hike Within 6 Months
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Central Bank Review: Fed Delivers Another Dovish Surprise
by Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters
20 March 2019
POLICY COMPASS - Brexit Update: Going To The Wires
Review: Hawkish Norges Bank Raises Rates and Signals Another Hike Within 6 Months
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Central Bank Review: Fed Delivers Another Dovish Surprise
by Brunello Rosa
15 March 2019
Preview: Norges Bank To Hike In March and Signal Another Hike in 2019
Fed Preview: Extended Pause Highly Likely and Treasuries Runoff to End This Year
Fed Preview: Extended Pause Highly Likely and Treasuries Runoff to End This Year
by Alex Waters
15 march 2019
Fed Preview: Extended Pause Highly Likely and Treasuries Runoff to End This Year
Fed Preview: Extended Pause Highly Likely and Treasuries Runoff to End This Year
Fed Preview: Extended Pause Highly Likely and Treasuries Runoff to End This Year
By N. Roubini, Brunello Rosa, Alex Waters
14 March 2019
MARKET VIEWS - EM Currencies: The Fed’s Pause Provides Short-Term Support
Fed Preview: Extended Pause Highly Likely and Treasuries Runoff to End This Year
POLICY COMPASS - Japan: A General Election In July Is A Risk in A Politically Hectic 2019
by Rémi Bourgeot
13 March 2019
POLICY COMPASS - Japan: A General Election In July Is A Risk in A Politically Hectic 2019
POLICY COMPASS - Japan: A General Election In July Is A Risk in A Politically Hectic 2019
POLICY COMPASS - Japan: A General Election In July Is A Risk in A Politically Hectic 2019
by Alex Waters
12 March 2019
Italy Update : The Economic Recession Worsens The Political Landscape (And Vice-Versa)
POLICY COMPASS - Japan: A General Election In July Is A Risk in A Politically Hectic 2019
Italy Update : The Economic Recession Worsens The Political Landscape (And Vice-Versa)
by Brunello Rosa
11 March 2019
MACRO PICTURE - EU Update: Awaiting The Populist Tsunami
POLICY COMPASS - Japan: A General Election In July Is A Risk in A Politically Hectic 2019
Italy Update : The Economic Recession Worsens The Political Landscape (And Vice-Versa)
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
8 March 2019
February - March 2019
MACRO PICTURE; Venezuela’s Complicated Transition
MACRO PICTURE; Venezuela’s Complicated Transition
MACRO PICTURE; Venezuela’s Complicated Transition
by Lapo Fioretti, Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters
7 March 2019
Review: ECB Adds Monetary Accommodation
MACRO PICTURE; Venezuela’s Complicated Transition
MACRO PICTURE; Venezuela’s Complicated Transition
by Brunello Rosa
7 March 2019
REVIEW: Dovish BOC Signals A Long Pause
MACRO PICTURE; Venezuela’s Complicated Transition
Reviewing DNB’s Reaction Function To Defend The Currency Peg
by Brunello Rosa
6 March 2019
Reviewing DNB’s Reaction Function To Defend The Currency Peg
MONETARY AFFAIRS - CENTRAL BANK PREVIEW: BOC Likely To Pause For Longer
Reviewing DNB’s Reaction Function To Defend The Currency Peg
by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa
5 March 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS - CENTRAL BANK PREVIEW: BOC Likely To Pause For Longer
MONETARY AFFAIRS - CENTRAL BANK PREVIEW: BOC Likely To Pause For Longer
MONETARY AFFAIRS - CENTRAL BANK PREVIEW: BOC Likely To Pause For Longer
by Alex Waters, J. Shupac and Brunello Rosa
2 March 2019
MARKET VIEWS: A Fed Collar” Is Likely To Support The Markets In H1-2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS - CENTRAL BANK PREVIEW: BOC Likely To Pause For Longer
MONETARY AFFAIRS - CENTRAL BANK PREVIEW: BOC Likely To Pause For Longer
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
27 February 2019
PREVIEW: Change In Forward Guidance and New (T)LTRO Coming, Given Downside Risks
PREVIEW: Change In Forward Guidance and New (T)LTRO Coming, Given Downside Risks
PREVIEW: Change In Forward Guidance and New (T)LTRO Coming, Given Downside Risks
by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa
21 February 2019
SNB: Rising Global and Domestic Risks To Fight With Little Policy Ammunition
PREVIEW: Change In Forward Guidance and New (T)LTRO Coming, Given Downside Risks
PREVIEW: Change In Forward Guidance and New (T)LTRO Coming, Given Downside Risks
by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa
20 February 2019
RBA Jumps on The Dovish Bandwagon, While RBNZ Still Sits On The Fence
PREVIEW: Change In Forward Guidance and New (T)LTRO Coming, Given Downside Risks
RBA Jumps on The Dovish Bandwagon, While RBNZ Still Sits On The Fence
by Alex Waters
19 February 2019
TRAVEL NOTES - ITALY: Risks Re-Emerging After The Truce
Germany's Economic and Political Uncertainties Are Rising
RBA Jumps on The Dovish Bandwagon, While RBNZ Still Sits On The Fence
by Brunello Rosa
15 February 2019
Germany's Economic and Political Uncertainties Are Rising
Germany's Economic and Political Uncertainties Are Rising
Germany's Economic and Political Uncertainties Are Rising
by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa
14 February 2019
Brexit Update: Getting to A Deal (One Way or Another)
Germany's Economic and Political Uncertainties Are Rising
Germany's Economic and Political Uncertainties Are Rising
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
13 February 2019
January - February 2019
POLICY COMPASS -The Rise of the Populist International: European Dis-Integration Ahead?
REVIEW: The Fed Takes A Sharp Break In the Hiking Cycle and Moves to a Strongly Dovish Stance
REVIEW: The Fed Takes A Sharp Break In the Hiking Cycle and Moves to a Strongly Dovish Stance
by Brunello Rosa and John Hulsman
6 February 2019
REVIEW: The Fed Takes A Sharp Break In the Hiking Cycle and Moves to a Strongly Dovish Stance
REVIEW: The Fed Takes A Sharp Break In the Hiking Cycle and Moves to a Strongly Dovish Stance
REVIEW: The Fed Takes A Sharp Break In the Hiking Cycle and Moves to a Strongly Dovish Stance
by Bruello Rosa
30 January 2019
POLICY COMPASS - PERSIAN GULF: Increased Polarisation and Power Fragmentation Ahead
REVIEW: The Fed Takes A Sharp Break In the Hiking Cycle and Moves to a Strongly Dovish Stance
POLICY COMPASS - PERSIAN GULF: Increased Polarisation and Power Fragmentation Ahead
by Cinzia Bianco
29 January 2019
Opening The Door To A Pause In The Hiking Cycle
ECB Twists Risks To The Growth Outlook To The Downside
POLICY COMPASS - PERSIAN GULF: Increased Polarisation and Power Fragmentation Ahead
by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa
25 January 2019
ECB Twists Risks To The Growth Outlook To The Downside
ECB Twists Risks To The Growth Outlook To The Downside
ECB Twists Risks To The Growth Outlook To The Downside
by Brunello Rosa
24 January 2019
The Future of Banking: Small is the New Big
ECB Twists Risks To The Growth Outlook To The Downside
ECB Twists Risks To The Growth Outlook To The Downside
by Alessandro Magnoli and Mert Yildiz
24 January 2019
BoJ Lowers Inflation Projections and Remains On Auto-Pilot
BoJ Lowers Inflation Projections and Remains On Auto-Pilot
BoJ Lowers Inflation Projections and Remains On Auto-Pilot
by Alex Waters
23 January 2018
Norges Bank Preview: Waiting For March to Hike
BoJ Lowers Inflation Projections and Remains On Auto-Pilot
BoJ Lowers Inflation Projections and Remains On Auto-Pilot
BoJ PREVIEW: A Stronger Yen May Cause Some Discomfort
BoJ Lowers Inflation Projections and Remains On Auto-Pilot
DISRUPTIVE IDEAS: The Revenge of Demographics
by Alex Waters
17 January 2019
DISRUPTIVE IDEAS: The Revenge of Demographics
DISRUPTIVE IDEAS: The Revenge of Demographics
DISRUPTIVE IDEAS: The Revenge of Demographics
The Economic, Policy and Financial Implications of Current Demographic Trends, by Brunello Rosa and Joseph Shupac
15 January 2019
Turkey: Economic Stabilization After The March Local Elections
DISRUPTIVE IDEAS: The Revenge of Demographics
Turkey: Economic Stabilization After The March Local Elections
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
11 January 2019
REVIEW: BOC Remains On Hold, With Hawkish Undertones
DISRUPTIVE IDEAS: The Revenge of Demographics
Turkey: Economic Stabilization After The March Local Elections
By Brunello Rosa, Alex Waters and Joseph Shupac
9 January 2019
November - December 2018
PREVIEW: BoC Likely to Remain On Hold, While Sounding Upbeat
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: Fed Reduces Expected Number of Rate Hikes in 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: Riksbank Hikes its Policy Rate by 25bps
by Alex Waters and Joseph Shupac
7 January 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: Riksbank Hikes its Policy Rate by 25bps
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: Fed Reduces Expected Number of Rate Hikes in 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: Riksbank Hikes its Policy Rate by 25bps
by Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters
20 December 2018
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: Fed Reduces Expected Number of Rate Hikes in 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: Fed Reduces Expected Number of Rate Hikes in 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: Fed Reduces Expected Number of Rate Hikes in 2019
by Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters
19 December 2018
TRAVEL NOTES - France: Social Tensions Upend French and Eurozone Politics
MONETARY AFFAIRS - PREVIEW: Fed to Signal Slower Pace of Policy Normalization
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: Fed Reduces Expected Number of Rate Hikes in 2019
by Rémi Bourgeot
19 December 2018
Global Outlook & Strategic Asset Allocation For 2019: Skating on Thinner Ice
MONETARY AFFAIRS - PREVIEW: Fed to Signal Slower Pace of Policy Normalization
MONETARY AFFAIRS - PREVIEW: Fed to Signal Slower Pace of Policy Normalization
by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa
and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
18 December 2018
MONETARY AFFAIRS - PREVIEW: Fed to Signal Slower Pace of Policy Normalization
MONETARY AFFAIRS - PREVIEW: Fed to Signal Slower Pace of Policy Normalization
MONETARY AFFAIRS - PREVIEW: Fed to Signal Slower Pace of Policy Normalization
by Brunello Rosa, Alex Waters and
Nouriel Roubini
17 December 2018
RIKSBANK PREVIEW: Riksbank Likely To Wait Longer Before Lift-Off
ECB REVIEW: ECB Confirms Its Policy Stance (With Few Details on Reinvestment)
ECB REVIEW: ECB Confirms Its Policy Stance (With Few Details on Reinvestment)
by Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters
14 December 2018
ECB REVIEW: ECB Confirms Its Policy Stance (With Few Details on Reinvestment)
ECB REVIEW: ECB Confirms Its Policy Stance (With Few Details on Reinvestment)
ECB REVIEW: ECB Confirms Its Policy Stance (With Few Details on Reinvestment)
by Brunello Rosa
13 December 2018
MARKET VIEWS - Markets Buffeted By Tailwinds and Headwinds At Year-End
ECB REVIEW: ECB Confirms Its Policy Stance (With Few Details on Reinvestment)
TRAVEL NOTES-ITALY: Partially Caving In, Given Market and European Pressures
by Alex Waters
7 December 2018
TRAVEL NOTES-ITALY: Partially Caving In, Given Market and European Pressures
TRAVEL NOTES-ITALY: Partially Caving In, Given Market and European Pressures
TRAVEL NOTES-ITALY: Partially Caving In, Given Market and European Pressures
by Brunello Rosa
5 December 2018
TRAVEL NOTES - GERMANY: A Succession Drama at a Time of Economic Weakness
TRAVEL NOTES-ITALY: Partially Caving In, Given Market and European Pressures
TRAVEL NOTES - GERMANY: A Succession Drama at a Time of Economic Weakness
by Rémi Bourgeot
4 December 2018
ECB PREVIEW: We Do Not Expect A Radical Shift In Policy in December
TRAVEL NOTES-ITALY: Partially Caving In, Given Market and European Pressures
TRAVEL NOTES - GERMANY: A Succession Drama at a Time of Economic Weakness
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
30 November 2018
October - November 2018
Oil Outlook 2019-20: Oil Prices’ Gradual Decline To Support Global Growth
POLICY COMPASS - US 2018 Mid-Terms: An Election That Settled Nothing
China Preparing for A Possible Full-Scale Economic and Geopolitical Cold War
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
and Francisco Quintana
26 November 2018
China Preparing for A Possible Full-Scale Economic and Geopolitical Cold War
POLICY COMPASS - US 2018 Mid-Terms: An Election That Settled Nothing
China Preparing for A Possible Full-Scale Economic and Geopolitical Cold War
by Nouriel Roubini
20 November 2018
POLICY COMPASS - US 2018 Mid-Terms: An Election That Settled Nothing
POLICY COMPASS - US 2018 Mid-Terms: An Election That Settled Nothing
POLICY COMPASS - US 2018 Mid-Terms: An Election That Settled Nothing
by John C. Hulsman
20 November 2018
BOJ Still Far From A Shift In Policy Regime, But The Triggers For A Change Are Now Clearer
BOJ Still Far From A Shift In Policy Regime, But The Triggers For A Change Are Now Clearer
POLICY COMPASS - US 2018 Mid-Terms: An Election That Settled Nothing
by Nouriel Roubini
8 November 2018
In this “Final Rush,” Risks Remain That A Crisis Might Be Needed To Break the Brexit Impasse
BOJ Still Far From A Shift In Policy Regime, But The Triggers For A Change Are Now Clearer
In this “Final Rush,” Risks Remain That A Crisis Might Be Needed To Break the Brexit Impasse
by Brunello Rosa
and Nouriel Roubini
7 November 2018
Hedging The Risk of A Potential Emerging Markets Crisis
BOJ Still Far From A Shift In Policy Regime, But The Triggers For A Change Are Now Clearer
In this “Final Rush,” Risks Remain That A Crisis Might Be Needed To Break the Brexit Impasse
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi,
Pablo Gallego Cuervo and Francisco Quintana
2 November 2018
MONETARY AFFAIRS: ECB Review Rendez-Vous in December for All Decisions
MONETARY AFFAIRS - PREVIEW: ECB Likely To Buy More Time Before Committing
MONETARY AFFAIRS: ECB Review Rendez-Vous in December for All Decisions
by Brunello Rosa
25 October 2018
BOC Review: Trade Relief Ensures An Autumn Hike and Hawkish Tones
MONETARY AFFAIRS - PREVIEW: ECB Likely To Buy More Time Before Committing
MONETARY AFFAIRS: ECB Review Rendez-Vous in December for All Decisions
by Joseph Shupac and Brunello Rosa
24 October 2018
MONETARY AFFAIRS - PREVIEW: ECB Likely To Buy More Time Before Committing
MONETARY AFFAIRS - PREVIEW: ECB Likely To Buy More Time Before Committing
MONETARY AFFAIRS - PREVIEW: ECB Likely To Buy More Time Before Committing
by Brunello Rosa
22 october 2018
American Mid-term elections: Verdict on the Trump Revolution
The Journey To the Next Recession and Financial Crisis in 2020 Has Already Begun
MONETARY AFFAIRS - PREVIEW: ECB Likely To Buy More Time Before Committing
John C. Hulsman
17 October 2018
MARKET VIEWS: A Healthy and Expected Market Sell-Off
The Journey To the Next Recession and Financial Crisis in 2020 Has Already Begun
The Journey To the Next Recession and Financial Crisis in 2020 Has Already Begun
by Brunello Rosa
15 October 2018
The Journey To the Next Recession and Financial Crisis in 2020 Has Already Begun
The Journey To the Next Recession and Financial Crisis in 2020 Has Already Begun
The Journey To the Next Recession and Financial Crisis in 2020 Has Already Begun
by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa
9 October 2018
September - October 2018
SCENARIO ANALYSIS -ITALY: Walking A Dangerous Line
Italy’s “Populist” Budget Defies the EU, Markets And Rating Agencies
Italy’s “Populist” Budget Defies the EU, Markets And Rating Agencies
by Brunello Rosa
5 October 2018
Italy’s “Populist” Budget Defies the EU, Markets And Rating Agencies
Italy’s “Populist” Budget Defies the EU, Markets And Rating Agencies
Italy’s “Populist” Budget Defies the EU, Markets And Rating Agencies
by Rémi Bourgeot
2 October 2018
Italy’s “Populist” Budget Defies the EU, Markets And Rating Agencies
Italy’s “Populist” Budget Defies the EU, Markets And Rating Agencies
Italy’s “Populist” Budget Defies the EU, Markets And Rating Agencies
by Brunello Rosa
28 September 2018
Divergence Between The U.S. And Other Countries Is Still Increasing
Divergence Between The U.S. And Other Countries Is Still Increasing
Italy’s “Populist” Budget Defies the EU, Markets And Rating Agencies
By A. Magnoli Bocchi and F. Quintana
27 September 2018
Fed Hikes Rates and Drops “Accommodative” Stance
Divergence Between The U.S. And Other Countries Is Still Increasing
PREVIEW: Fed Continues to Normalize At a Steady Pace
by Brunello Rosa
27 September 2018
PREVIEW: Fed Continues to Normalize At a Steady Pace
Divergence Between The U.S. And Other Countries Is Still Increasing
PREVIEW: Fed Continues to Normalize At a Steady Pace
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
24 September 2018
Norges Bank Begins Its Well-Telegraphed Tightening Cycle
Norges Bank Begins Its Well-Telegraphed Tightening Cycle
Norges Bank Begins Its Well-Telegraphed Tightening Cycle
by Brunello Rosa
21 September 2018
The European “Musical Chairs” Game Continues
Norges Bank Begins Its Well-Telegraphed Tightening Cycle
Norges Bank Begins Its Well-Telegraphed Tightening Cycle
by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa
20 September 2018
TRAVEL NOTES: Focus on Italy’s First “Populist” Budget
Norges Bank Begins Its Well-Telegraphed Tightening Cycle
TRAVEL NOTES: Focus on Italy’s First “Populist” Budget
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
17 September 2018
Review: ECB Buys Time (Again) On Re-Investment Policy
EM Global Tremors: Central Banks’ Different Strategies to Defend Their Currencies
TRAVEL NOTES: Focus on Italy’s First “Populist” Budget
by Brunello Rosa
13 September 2018
ECB PREVIEW: Still Waiting For Re-Investment Policy Details
EM Global Tremors: Central Banks’ Different Strategies to Defend Their Currencies
EM Global Tremors: Central Banks’ Different Strategies to Defend Their Currencies
by Brunello Rosa
11 September 2018
EM Global Tremors: Central Banks’ Different Strategies to Defend Their Currencies
EM Global Tremors: Central Banks’ Different Strategies to Defend Their Currencies
EM Global Tremors: Central Banks’ Different Strategies to Defend Their Currencies
by Rémi Bourgeot
4 September 2018
RESEARCH ARCHIVES - August 2018
DISRUPTIVE IDEAS: Hedging Against A Euro Break-Up
Unconventional Policy Options Undertaken by Turkey Are Unlikely to Succeed
Unconventional Policy Options Undertaken by Turkey Are Unlikely to Succeed
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Brunello Rosa, Pablo Gallego, Damiano Terziotti
30 August 2018
Unconventional Policy Options Undertaken by Turkey Are Unlikely to Succeed
Unconventional Policy Options Undertaken by Turkey Are Unlikely to Succeed
Unconventional Policy Options Undertaken by Turkey Are Unlikely to Succeed
by Nouriel Roubini
23 August 2018
MONETARY AFFAIRS: BOJ Policy Tweaks Fail To Impress Markets
Unconventional Policy Options Undertaken by Turkey Are Unlikely to Succeed
TURKEY: The Risk of Full-Blown Crisis May Rapidly Become the Baseline
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
21 August 2018
TURKEY: The Risk of Full-Blown Crisis May Rapidly Become the Baseline
TURKEY: The Risk of a Full-Blown Balance of Payments Crisis Is Rising
TURKEY: The Risk of Full-Blown Crisis May Rapidly Become the Baseline
by Nouriel Roubini
14 August 2018
TURKEY: The Risk of a Full-Blown Balance of Payments Crisis Is Rising
TURKEY: The Risk of a Full-Blown Balance of Payments Crisis Is Rising
TURKEY: The Risk of a Full-Blown Balance of Payments Crisis Is Rising
by Nouriel Roubini
9 August 2018
CENTRAL BANK REVIEW: BOE Ends Up Delivering A Dovish Hike
TURKEY: The Risk of a Full-Blown Balance of Payments Crisis Is Rising
TURKEY: The Risk of a Full-Blown Balance of Payments Crisis Is Rising
by Brunello Rosa
2 August 2018
July 2018
PREVIEW: BoJ Unlikely To Change Its Policy Regime Apart From Minor Tweaks
PREVIEW: BoJ Unlikely To Change Its Policy Regime Apart From Minor Tweaks
PREVIEW: BoJ Unlikely To Change Its Policy Regime Apart From Minor Tweaks
by Nouriel Roubini
27 July 2018
PREVIEW: BOE Finds A Window To Slot In a Rate Hike
PREVIEW: BoJ Unlikely To Change Its Policy Regime Apart From Minor Tweaks
PREVIEW: BoJ Unlikely To Change Its Policy Regime Apart From Minor Tweaks
by Brunello Rosa
27 July 2018
ECB Review: Details On Reinvestment Policy to Come After the Summer
PREVIEW: BoJ Unlikely To Change Its Policy Regime Apart From Minor Tweaks
ECB Review: Details On Reinvestment Policy to Come After the Summer
by Brunello Rosa
26 July 2018
Emerging Markets Outlook: Rising Risks, Fragility Ahead
MARKET VIEWS: Yield Curve “Near-Inversion” Does Not Imply U.S. Recession
ECB Review: Details On Reinvestment Policy to Come After the Summer
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Francisco Quintana
24 July 2018
ECB PREVIEW: Focus on Re-Investment Policy
MARKET VIEWS: Yield Curve “Near-Inversion” Does Not Imply U.S. Recession
MARKET VIEWS: Yield Curve “Near-Inversion” Does Not Imply U.S. Recession
by Brunello Rosa
20 July 2018
MARKET VIEWS: Yield Curve “Near-Inversion” Does Not Imply U.S. Recession
MARKET VIEWS: Yield Curve “Near-Inversion” Does Not Imply U.S. Recession
MARKET VIEWS: Yield Curve “Near-Inversion” Does Not Imply U.S. Recession
by Brunello Rosa
13 July 2018
BOC Review: Hike Now, and on a Half-Yearly Basis
BOC Review: Hike Now, and on a Half-Yearly Basis
BOC Review: Hike Now, and on a Half-Yearly Basis
by Joseph Shupac and Brunello Rosa
12 July 2018
June-July 2018
PREVIEW: BOC Set to Raise Rates, But No Longer Certain to Signal Further Hikes
PREVIEW: BOC Set to Raise Rates, But No Longer Certain to Signal Further Hikes
PREVIEW: BOC Set to Raise Rates, But No Longer Certain to Signal Further Hikes
by Joseph Shupac and Brunello Rosa
6 July 2018
TRAVEL NOTES - France: Europe’s (Temporary) Bright Spot
PREVIEW: BOC Set to Raise Rates, But No Longer Certain to Signal Further Hikes
PREVIEW: BOC Set to Raise Rates, But No Longer Certain to Signal Further Hikes
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
4 July 2018
IRAN: Mismanagement and International Tensions Stifle a Great Potential
PREVIEW: BOC Set to Raise Rates, But No Longer Certain to Signal Further Hikes
IRAN: Mismanagement and International Tensions Stifle a Great Potential
by Rémi Bourgeot
29 June 2018
Rising Risks in Emerging Markets From Decline in Global Liquidity
ITALY: New Government to Be Initially Only Modestly Confrontational with Europe
IRAN: Mismanagement and International Tensions Stifle a Great Potential
By Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Francisco Quintana
26 June 2018
MONETARY AFFAIRS: BOE After June MPC and Mansion House Speech
ITALY: New Government to Be Initially Only Modestly Confrontational with Europe
ITALY: New Government to Be Initially Only Modestly Confrontational with Europe
by Brunello Rosa
22 June 2018
ITALY: New Government to Be Initially Only Modestly Confrontational with Europe
ITALY: New Government to Be Initially Only Modestly Confrontational with Europe
ITALY: New Government to Be Initially Only Modestly Confrontational with Europe
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
20 June 2018
ECB Indicates End of QE and Beginning of Rates Guidance
FED PREVIEW Hike in June Done Deal, Four Hikes in 2018 Not Yet
ECB Indicates End of QE and Beginning of Rates Guidance
by Brunello Rosa
14 June 2018
FED REVIEW: Fed Delivers A Hawkish Hike
FED PREVIEW Hike in June Done Deal, Four Hikes in 2018 Not Yet
ECB Indicates End of QE and Beginning of Rates Guidance
by Brunello Rosa
13 June 2018
FED PREVIEW Hike in June Done Deal, Four Hikes in 2018 Not Yet
FED PREVIEW Hike in June Done Deal, Four Hikes in 2018 Not Yet
ECB PREVIEW: Discussion on QE Extension to Begin in June, But No Rush to Decide
by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa
11 June 18
ECB PREVIEW: Discussion on QE Extension to Begin in June, But No Rush to Decide
ECB PREVIEW: Discussion on QE Extension to Begin in June, But No Rush to Decide
ECB PREVIEW: Discussion on QE Extension to Begin in June, But No Rush to Decide
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
8 June 2018
TRAVEL NOTES: UK Post-Brexit Customs Options Mask Deeper Choices
ECB PREVIEW: Discussion on QE Extension to Begin in June, But No Rush to Decide
TRAVEL NOTES: Germany Remains Cautious On Further Eurozone Integration
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
6 June 2018
TRAVEL NOTES: Germany Remains Cautious On Further Eurozone Integration
ECB PREVIEW: Discussion on QE Extension to Begin in June, But No Rush to Decide
TRAVEL NOTES: Germany Remains Cautious On Further Eurozone Integration
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
5 June 2018
April - June 2018
TRAVEL NOTES - China: Reforms and Rebalancing to Remain Gradual
TRAVEL NOTES: RUSSIA - Putin to Continue Inward-Oriented Economic Policies
TURKEY: Volatility Until the Elections, Slow Normalization Thereafter
by Nouriel Roubini
4 June 2018
TURKEY: Volatility Until the Elections, Slow Normalization Thereafter
TRAVEL NOTES: RUSSIA - Putin to Continue Inward-Oriented Economic Policies
TURKEY: Volatility Until the Elections, Slow Normalization Thereafter
by Alessandro Magnoli and Pablo Gallego
1 June 2018
TRAVEL NOTES: RUSSIA - Putin to Continue Inward-Oriented Economic Policies
TRAVEL NOTES: RUSSIA - Putin to Continue Inward-Oriented Economic Policies
GERMANY: An Economic Powerhouse Trying to Revive the Political Centre Ground
by
Nouriel Roubini
29 May 2018
GERMANY: An Economic Powerhouse Trying to Revive the Political Centre Ground
ARGENTINA: Macri Tries to Reassure Investors Ahead of G20 Meeting and Presidential Election
GERMANY: An Economic Powerhouse Trying to Revive the Political Centre Ground
by Rémi Bourgeot
and Brunello Rosa
23 May 2018
ARGENTINA: Macri Tries to Reassure Investors Ahead of G20 Meeting and Presidential Election
ARGENTINA: Macri Tries to Reassure Investors Ahead of G20 Meeting and Presidential Election
ARGENTINA: Macri Tries to Reassure Investors Ahead of G20 Meeting and Presidential Election
by Brunello Rosa and Renata Bossini
18 May 2018
BOE Stays on Hold and Remains Data Dependent
ARGENTINA: Macri Tries to Reassure Investors Ahead of G20 Meeting and Presidential Election
ARGENTINA: Macri Tries to Reassure Investors Ahead of G20 Meeting and Presidential Election
by
Brunello Rosa
10 May 2018
BOE To Remain on Hold in May (And Even a Hike in August Is Not A Done Deal)
Oil Prices in 2018-20: Unlikely To Hamper Global Growth Likely To Support Oil-Related Assets
Oil Prices in 2018-20: Unlikely To Hamper Global Growth Likely To Support Oil-Related Assets
by
Brunello Rosa
4 May 2018
Oil Prices in 2018-20: Unlikely To Hamper Global Growth Likely To Support Oil-Related Assets
Oil Prices in 2018-20: Unlikely To Hamper Global Growth Likely To Support Oil-Related Assets
Oil Prices in 2018-20: Unlikely To Hamper Global Growth Likely To Support Oil-Related Assets
by A. Magnoli and F. Quintana
3 May 2018
Riksbank: Time to Push Back the Repo Rate Path
Oil Prices in 2018-20: Unlikely To Hamper Global Growth Likely To Support Oil-Related Assets
US-China Trade Tensions: Skirmishes or Start of a Broader Trade and Technology War?
by
Brunello Rosa
23 April 2018
US-China Trade Tensions: Skirmishes or Start of a Broader Trade and Technology War?
US-China Trade Tensions: Skirmishes or Start of a Broader Trade and Technology War?
US-China Trade Tensions: Skirmishes or Start of a Broader Trade and Technology War?
by Nouriel Roubini
2 May 2018
Riksbank Pushes Back The Timing of First Rate Hike
US-China Trade Tensions: Skirmishes or Start of a Broader Trade and Technology War?
TRAVEL NOTES FROM ITALY: Short-Term Resilience, Long-Term Fragility
by Brunello Rosa
26 April 2018
TRAVEL NOTES FROM ITALY: Short-Term Resilience, Long-Term Fragility
US-China Trade Tensions: Skirmishes or Start of a Broader Trade and Technology War?
TRAVEL NOTES FROM ITALY: Short-Term Resilience, Long-Term Fragility
by Brunello Rosa
and Nouriel Roubini
24 April 2018
BOE Mulling Rate Hike Amid Brexit Uncertainties
BoJ Unlikely To Change Policy or Communication Until 2019 Amid Economic and Political Uncertainties
BoJ Unlikely To Change Policy or Communication Until 2019 Amid Economic and Political Uncertainties
By
Brunello Rosa
and Nouriel Roubini
20 April 2018
BoJ Unlikely To Change Policy or Communication Until 2019 Amid Economic and Political Uncertainties
BoJ Unlikely To Change Policy or Communication Until 2019 Amid Economic and Political Uncertainties
BoJ Unlikely To Change Policy or Communication Until 2019 Amid Economic and Political Uncertainties
By Nouriel Roubini
18 April 2018
ECB to Gradually Exit QE by Year-end
BoJ Unlikely To Change Policy or Communication Until 2019 Amid Economic and Political Uncertainties
US-Led Airstrikes On Syria Likely to Have Limited Economic and Financial Impact
by Brunello Rosa
and Nouriel Roubini
17 April 2018
US-Led Airstrikes On Syria Likely to Have Limited Economic and Financial Impact
US-Led Airstrikes On Syria Likely to Have Limited Economic and Financial Impact
US-Led Airstrikes On Syria Likely to Have Limited Economic and Financial Impact
By Francisco Quintana
and Pablo Gallego Cuervo
16 April 2018
BOC Preview: Cautious BOC To Stay on Hold In April
US-Led Airstrikes On Syria Likely to Have Limited Economic and Financial Impact
Asset Alocation Update: Cautious Risk Exposure With Defensive Positioning
by Jospeh Shupac and Brunello Rosa
13 April 2018
Asset Alocation Update: Cautious Risk Exposure With Defensive Positioning
US-Led Airstrikes On Syria Likely to Have Limited Economic and Financial Impact
Asset Alocation Update: Cautious Risk Exposure With Defensive Positioning
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
and Francisco Quintana
29 March 2018
Brexit: Transition Deal, Trade Agreements and Risks of a Cliff-Edge into WTO
Brexit: Transition Deal, Trade Agreements and Risks of a Cliff-Edge into WTO
Brexit: Transition Deal, Trade Agreements and Risks of a Cliff-Edge into WTO
By Brunello Rosa, Pablo Gallego Cuervo and Renata Bossini
28 March 2018
Russia: An Impressive Normalisation Towards Modest Growth
Brexit: Transition Deal, Trade Agreements and Risks of a Cliff-Edge into WTO
Brexit: Transition Deal, Trade Agreements and Risks of a Cliff-Edge into WTO
By Rémi Bourgeot
23 March 2018
Fed Review: Fed Delivers A Relatively Hawkish Hike
Brexit: Transition Deal, Trade Agreements and Risks of a Cliff-Edge into WTO
Fed Preview March 2018: A “Relatively Hawkish” Hike
by Brunello Rosa
22 March 2018
Fed Preview March 2018: A “Relatively Hawkish” Hike
India: Rising Macro Headwinds In Spite of Recent Pick-Up in Growth
Fed Preview March 2018: A “Relatively Hawkish” Hike
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
19 March 2018
India: Rising Macro Headwinds In Spite of Recent Pick-Up in Growth
India: Rising Macro Headwinds In Spite of Recent Pick-Up in Growth
India: Rising Macro Headwinds In Spite of Recent Pick-Up in Growth
By Nouriel Roubini
13 March 2018
ECB Drops Easing Bias Amid Dovish Press Conference
India: Rising Macro Headwinds In Spite of Recent Pick-Up in Growth
India: Rising Macro Headwinds In Spite of Recent Pick-Up in Growth
by Brunello Rosa
8 March 2018
February - March 2018
BOC Preview: On Hold Given Negative Economic Surprises
Monetary Policy in the Medium-Term: Tighter Stance, Expanded Toolkit
ECB’s Dilemma: Euro Strength vs Removing the Easing Bias
by Joseph Shupac and Brunello Rosa
6 March 2018
ECB’s Dilemma: Euro Strength vs Removing the Easing Bias
Monetary Policy in the Medium-Term: Tighter Stance, Expanded Toolkit
ECB’s Dilemma: Euro Strength vs Removing the Easing Bias
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
2 March 2018
Monetary Policy in the Medium-Term: Tighter Stance, Expanded Toolkit
Monetary Policy in the Medium-Term: Tighter Stance, Expanded Toolkit
Volatility and Inflation Fears Likely to Continue Weighing on Markets
by Brunello Rosa
14 February 2018
Volatility and Inflation Fears Likely to Continue Weighing on Markets
Volatility and Inflation Fears Likely to Continue Weighing on Markets
Volatility and Inflation Fears Likely to Continue Weighing on Markets
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
and Francisco Quintana
23 February 2018
Riskbank Review: On Hold, With A Dovish Tilt
Volatility and Inflation Fears Likely to Continue Weighing on Markets
Q&A on FOMC Composition and Fed’s Policy Regime
by Brunello Rosa
14 February 2018
Q&A on FOMC Composition and Fed’s Policy Regime
Volatility and Inflation Fears Likely to Continue Weighing on Markets
Q&A on FOMC Composition and Fed’s Policy Regime
by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa
13 February 2018
Riksbank Preview: On Hold, With a Dovish Bias
Turkey: Muddling Through Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Challenges
Riksbank Preview: On Hold, With a Dovish Bias
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
12 February 2018
BoE Delivers Hawkish Inflation Report
Turkey: Muddling Through Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Challenges
Riksbank Preview: On Hold, With a Dovish Bias
by Brunello Rosa
8 February 2018
Turkey: Muddling Through Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Challenges
Turkey: Muddling Through Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Challenges
Turkey: Muddling Through Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Challenges
by Rémi Bourgeot
7 February 2018
Italian Elections: Uncertainty and Complacency Abound
China: In a Slow Transition, No Hard-landing But a Bumpy Road Ahead
Turkey: Muddling Through Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Challenges
by Brunello Rosa
6 February 2018
BOE Preview February 2018: On Hold, But Alert
China: In a Slow Transition, No Hard-landing But a Bumpy Road Ahead
China: In a Slow Transition, No Hard-landing But a Bumpy Road Ahead
by Brunello Rosa
2 February 2018
China: In a Slow Transition, No Hard-landing But a Bumpy Road Ahead
China: In a Slow Transition, No Hard-landing But a Bumpy Road Ahead
China: In a Slow Transition, No Hard-landing But a Bumpy Road Ahead
by Francisco Quintana
30 January 2018
December 2017 - January 2018
Fed Preview: On Hold in January, Door Open in March
ECB Review: Strong Euro at the Forefront of ECB’s Attention
ECB Review: Strong Euro at the Forefront of ECB’s Attention
by Brunello Rosa
26 January 2018
ECB Review: Strong Euro at the Forefront of ECB’s Attention
ECB Review: Strong Euro at the Forefront of ECB’s Attention
ECB Review: Strong Euro at the Forefront of ECB’s Attention
by Brunello Rosa
25 January 2018
ECB Preview: Taking Stock of the Strong Euro
ECB Review: Strong Euro at the Forefront of ECB’s Attention
The European “Musical Chairs” Game Has Just Begun
by Brunello Rosa
22 January 2018
The European “Musical Chairs” Game Has Just Begun
Canada: Strong Cyclical Growth, But Structural Challenges Lie Ahead
The European “Musical Chairs” Game Has Just Begun
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
17 January 2018
Canada: Strong Cyclical Growth, But Structural Challenges Lie Ahead
Canada: Strong Cyclical Growth, But Structural Challenges Lie Ahead
Canada: Strong Cyclical Growth, But Structural Challenges Lie Ahead
by Joseph Shupac and Brunello Rosa
11 January 2018
Western Balkans: Still Many Obstacles to EU Accession
Canada: Strong Cyclical Growth, But Structural Challenges Lie Ahead
Canada: Strong Cyclical Growth, But Structural Challenges Lie Ahead
by Arlind Rama and Brunello Rosa
by 9 January 2018
Travel Notes: Will Macron Succeed in Reforming France?
Strategic Asset Allocation 2018: Moderate Risk-Taking Within A Defensive Positioning
Strategic Asset Allocation 2018: Moderate Risk-Taking Within A Defensive Positioning
by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa
3 January 2018
Strategic Asset Allocation 2018: Moderate Risk-Taking Within A Defensive Positioning
Strategic Asset Allocation 2018: Moderate Risk-Taking Within A Defensive Positioning
Strategic Asset Allocation 2018: Moderate Risk-Taking Within A Defensive Positioning
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
22 December 2017
2018 Global Economic Outlook: Smooth Sailing for Now, With Headwind Risks Rising
Strategic Asset Allocation 2018: Moderate Risk-Taking Within A Defensive Positioning
2018 Global Economic Outlook: Smooth Sailing for Now, With Headwind Risks Rising
by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa
21 December 2017
December 2017 Review: Riksbank Brings Forward Reinvestment Plans
December 2017 Review: Riksbank Brings Forward Reinvestment Plans
2018 Global Economic Outlook: Smooth Sailing for Now, With Headwind Risks Rising
by Brunello Rosa
20 December 2017
December 2017 Preview: Riksbank to Extend Monetary Easing
December 2017 Review: Riksbank Brings Forward Reinvestment Plans
Fed Review December 2017: Another Dovish Hike, Caution Ahead
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
15 December 2017
Fed Review December 2017: Another Dovish Hike, Caution Ahead
December 2017 Review: Riksbank Brings Forward Reinvestment Plans
Fed Review December 2017: Another Dovish Hike, Caution Ahead
by Brunello Rosa
13 December 2017
November - December 2017
Fed Preview: Cautious Tightening After The December Hike
EM Currencies: Still Pressured, but more Resilient to Normalisation
Fed Preview: Cautious Tightening After The December Hike
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
11 December 2017
ECB Preview December 2017: Nuances on Forward Guidance
EM Currencies: Still Pressured, but more Resilient to Normalisation
Fed Preview: Cautious Tightening After The December Hike
by Brunello Rosa
7 December 2017
EM Currencies: Still Pressured, but more Resilient to Normalisation
EM Currencies: Still Pressured, but more Resilient to Normalisation
EM Currencies: Still Pressured, but more Resilient to Normalisation
by Rémi Bourgeot
6 December 2017
Saudi Arabia: Rough Seas, But No Storm Ahead
Progress on Further EU and EZ Integration and Risk-Sharing to Remain Limited
EM Currencies: Still Pressured, but more Resilient to Normalisation
By Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Francisco Quintana, Pablo Gallego Cuervo
5 December 2017
U.S. Tax Cuts: A Most Modest Impact on The Economy and Markets
Progress on Further EU and EZ Integration and Risk-Sharing to Remain Limited
Progress on Further EU and EZ Integration and Risk-Sharing to Remain Limited
by Nouriel Roubini
4 December 2017
Progress on Further EU and EZ Integration and Risk-Sharing to Remain Limited
Progress on Further EU and EZ Integration and Risk-Sharing to Remain Limited
Progress on Further EU and EZ Integration and Risk-Sharing to Remain Limited
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
28 November 2017
A Hard Brexit with a Canada-Style FTA is the Most Likely Scenario
A Hard Brexit with a Canada-Style FTA is the Most Likely Scenario
A Hard Brexit with a Canada-Style FTA is the Most Likely Scenario
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
27 November 2017
Will Fears from China Cause Another Global Risk-off Episode?
A Hard Brexit with a Canada-Style FTA is the Most Likely Scenario
A Hard Brexit with a Canada-Style FTA is the Most Likely Scenario
by Nouriel Roubini
24 November 2017
Tensions Over Catalonia To Remain Elevated for Some Time Yet
A Hard Brexit with a Canada-Style FTA is the Most Likely Scenario
Are Inflation-Targeting Central Banks Moving Their Goal Posts?
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
16 November 2017
Are Inflation-Targeting Central Banks Moving Their Goal Posts?
Are Inflation-Targeting Central Banks Moving Their Goal Posts?
Are Inflation-Targeting Central Banks Moving Their Goal Posts?
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
8 November 2017
BOE Tightening: Unwillingly Dovish
Are Inflation-Targeting Central Banks Moving Their Goal Posts?
BOE Tightening: Unwillingly Dovish
by Brunello Rosa
2 November 2017
The Choice of the New Fed Chair
Are Inflation-Targeting Central Banks Moving Their Goal Posts?
BOE Tightening: Unwillingly Dovish
by Nouriel Roubini
30 October 2017
October - September 2017
ECB Cautiously Reduces the Pace of QE
How the Market is Mis-Reading the Riksbank
ECB Cautiously Reduces the Pace of QE
by Brunello Rosa
26 October 2017
The Riksbank Hints at More QE
How the Market is Mis-Reading the Riksbank
ECB Cautiously Reduces the Pace of QE
by Brunello Rosa
26 October 2017
How the Market is Mis-Reading the Riksbank
How the Market is Mis-Reading the Riksbank
How the Market is Mis-Reading the Riksbank
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
19 October 2017
ECB To Cautiously Reduce the Pace of QE
BOE to Reduce Accommodation Despite Rising Political Turmoil
How the Market is Mis-Reading the Riksbank
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
16 October 2017
BOE to Reduce Accommodation Despite Rising Political Turmoil
BOE to Reduce Accommodation Despite Rising Political Turmoil
BOE to Reduce Accommodation Despite Rising Political Turmoil
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
13 October 2017
The Mystery of the Missing Inflation
BOE to Reduce Accommodation Despite Rising Political Turmoil
BOE to Reduce Accommodation Despite Rising Political Turmoil
by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa
9 October 2017
German Election: Reduced Window For Deeper EZ Integration
MONETARY AFFAIRS: Fed Review: Dovish Tightening, Hawkish Signals
MONETARY AFFAIRS: Fed Review: Dovish Tightening, Hawkish Signals
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
25 September 2017
MONETARY AFFAIRS: Fed Review: Dovish Tightening, Hawkish Signals
MONETARY AFFAIRS: Fed Review: Dovish Tightening, Hawkish Signals
MONETARY AFFAIRS: Fed Review: Dovish Tightening, Hawkish Signals
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
20 September 2017
Fed Preview: "Relatively Dovish" Tightening Set to Continue
MONETARY AFFAIRS: Fed Review: Dovish Tightening, Hawkish Signals
Further Eurozone Integration: The Time Window is Very Narrow
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
15 September 2017
Further Eurozone Integration: The Time Window is Very Narrow
TRAVEL NOTES: Italy: Lower Cyclical Risks, Continued Structural Fragility
Further Eurozone Integration: The Time Window is Very Narrow
by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa
15 September 2017
MONETARY AFFAIRS: ECB Review: Draghi Said More than Most People Think
TRAVEL NOTES: Italy: Lower Cyclical Risks, Continued Structural Fragility
TRAVEL NOTES: Italy: Lower Cyclical Risks, Continued Structural Fragility
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
7 September 2017
TRAVEL NOTES: Italy: Lower Cyclical Risks, Continued Structural Fragility
TRAVEL NOTES: Italy: Lower Cyclical Risks, Continued Structural Fragility
TRAVEL NOTES: Italy: Lower Cyclical Risks, Continued Structural Fragility
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
5 September 2017