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MACRO PICTURE
The Deal On the EU “Recovery Fund” Will Have Large National Repercussions
Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach
Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach
by Grégoire Roos and Brunello Rosa
2 July 2020
Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach
Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach
Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach
by Giorgio Cafiero
17 June 2020
China and the US: The Art of War Versus the Art of the Deal
Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach
China: Escalating Cold War With The US, Slow Post-Pandemic Recovery
by Peter Cecchini
11 June 2020
China: Escalating Cold War With The US, Slow Post-Pandemic Recovery
OUTLOOK SCENARIOS Is a U-Shaped Greater Recession Consistent With a V-Shaped Equity Market Recovery?
China: Escalating Cold War With The US, Slow Post-Pandemic Recovery
by A. Magnoli Bocchi, Nouriel Roubini
28 May 2020
OUTLOOK SCENARIOS Is a U-Shaped Greater Recession Consistent With a V-Shaped Equity Market Recovery?
OUTLOOK SCENARIOS Is a U-Shaped Greater Recession Consistent With a V-Shaped Equity Market Recovery?
OUTLOOK SCENARIOS Is a U-Shaped Greater Recession Consistent With a V-Shaped Equity Market Recovery?
by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa
16 April 2020
OUTLOOK UPDATE – PART 1 COVID-19 Leads To A Global Recession With Severe Bear Market And Debt Crises
OUTLOOK SCENARIOS Is a U-Shaped Greater Recession Consistent With a V-Shaped Equity Market Recovery?
OUTLOOK SCENARIOS Is a U-Shaped Greater Recession Consistent With a V-Shaped Equity Market Recovery?
by N. Roubini, A. Magnoli, B. Rosa
17 March 2020
The UK Shows Initial Signs Of Policy Coordination Against Coronavirus
COVID-19 Will Trigger a Massive Shock to the Global Economy and Markets
COVID-19 Will Trigger a Massive Shock to the Global Economy and Markets
by Brunello Rosa
12 March 2020
COVID-19 Will Trigger a Massive Shock to the Global Economy and Markets
COVID-19 Will Trigger a Massive Shock to the Global Economy and Markets
COVID-19 Will Trigger a Massive Shock to the Global Economy and Markets
by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa
25 February 2020
Regional Elections To Send Shock Waves Through Italy’s Political System
COVID-19 Will Trigger a Massive Shock to the Global Economy and Markets
UK Election, Brexit and BoE Update: Johnson’s Victory Opens The Gates To Brexit
by Brunello Rosa
22 January 2020
UK Election, Brexit and BoE Update: Johnson’s Victory Opens The Gates To Brexit
Searching The Lost Political Stability: Spain’s Fourth General Election In Four Years
UK Election, Brexit and BoE Update: Johnson’s Victory Opens The Gates To Brexit
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by Brunello Rosa
13 December 2019
Searching The Lost Political Stability: Spain’s Fourth General Election In Four Years
Searching The Lost Political Stability: Spain’s Fourth General Election In Four Years
Searching The Lost Political Stability: Spain’s Fourth General Election In Four Years
by Luca Bandello and Brunello Rosa
08 November 2019
August-October 2019
Resilient Economy & Expected Easier Fiscal Stance Give BoC Time To Weigh Its Options
Resilient Economy & Expected Easier Fiscal Stance Give BoC Time To Weigh Its Options
Resilient Economy & Expected Easier Fiscal Stance Give BoC Time To Weigh Its Options
by Brunello Rosa and Joseph Shupac
25 October 2019
ITALY UPDATE: Upcoming Budget To Test The Solidity Of The M5S-PD Majority
Resilient Economy & Expected Easier Fiscal Stance Give BoC Time To Weigh Its Options
Resilient Economy & Expected Easier Fiscal Stance Give BoC Time To Weigh Its Options
by Brunello Rosa
4 October 2019
MEXICO: Deteriorating Macroeconomic Outlook Amid Policy Uncertainty
Resilient Economy & Expected Easier Fiscal Stance Give BoC Time To Weigh Its Options
MEXICO: Deteriorating Macroeconomic Outlook Amid Policy Uncertainty
by Francesca Panelli and Brunello Rosa
22 August 2019
Income And Wealth Inequality Continues To Weigh On Global Growth
Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, With Increasing Ri
MEXICO: Deteriorating Macroeconomic Outlook Amid Policy Uncertainty
by Francesca Panelli
16 AUgust 2019
Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, With Increasing Ri
Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, With Increasing Ri
Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, With Increasing Ri
by G. Cafiero, N. Roubini, B. Rosa
14 August 2019
Salvini Pulls The Plug On Conte’s Gov't and Seeks “Full Powers" With Early Elections
Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, With Increasing Ri
Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, With Increasing Ri
by Brunello Rosa
9 August 2019
JUne - July 2019
A Theory For The Impact Of Trade Tensions, Easier Monetary Policy & FinTech On Small Open Economies
A Theory For The Impact Of Trade Tensions, Easier Monetary Policy & FinTech On Small Open Economies
A Theory For The Impact Of Trade Tensions, Easier Monetary Policy & FinTech On Small Open Economies
by Bocchi, Aladsani and Al Mughrabi
24 July 2019
Russia: Monetary Stability, Economic Stagnation and Geopolitics Create a Mixed Political Picture
A Theory For The Impact Of Trade Tensions, Easier Monetary Policy & FinTech On Small Open Economies
A Theory For The Impact Of Trade Tensions, Easier Monetary Policy & FinTech On Small Open Economies
by Rémi Bourgeot and Brunello Rosa
17 July 2019
MACRO PICTURE - UK Brexit and BoE Update: Brace For Political Turmoil In Coming Months
A Theory For The Impact Of Trade Tensions, Easier Monetary Policy & FinTech On Small Open Economies
MACRO PICTURE - Italy Update: Preparing For Fiscal Battles With The EU, Amid Domestic Political Turmoil
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
12 July 2019
MACRO PICTURE - Italy Update: Preparing For Fiscal Battles With The EU, Amid Domestic Political Turmoil
MACRO PICTURE - Italy Update: Preparing For Fiscal Battles With The EU, Amid Domestic Political Turmoil
MACRO PICTURE - Italy Update: Preparing For Fiscal Battles With The EU, Amid Domestic Political Turmoil
by Brunello Rosa
19 June 2019
US-China Scenarios: A Controlled Escalation Is More Likely Than A Full Deal or A Full-Scale War
MACRO PICTURE - Italy Update: Preparing For Fiscal Battles With The EU, Amid Domestic Political Turmoil
US-China Scenarios: A Controlled Escalation Is More Likely Than A Full Deal or A Full-Scale War
by Nouriel Roubini
14 June 2019
MACRO PICTURE - United States Inflation: Several Factors Dampening Structural Upward Pressures
MACRO PICTURE - Italy Update: Preparing For Fiscal Battles With The EU, Amid Domestic Political Turmoil
US-China Scenarios: A Controlled Escalation Is More Likely Than A Full Deal or A Full-Scale War
by Francesca Panelli
13 June 2019
APRIL - MAY 2019
MACRO PICTURE - Argentina: Elections To Test The Austerity Measures
MACRO PICTURE USA - Iran: Escalating Tensions, With High Risk Of Mis-Calculations
MACRO PICTURE USA - Iran: Escalating Tensions, With High Risk Of Mis-Calculations
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Farah Aladsani, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi
and Lapo Fioretti
5 June 2019
MACRO PICTURE USA - Iran: Escalating Tensions, With High Risk Of Mis-Calculations
MACRO PICTURE USA - Iran: Escalating Tensions, With High Risk Of Mis-Calculations
MACRO PICTURE USA - Iran: Escalating Tensions, With High Risk Of Mis-Calculations
by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and
Giorgio Cafiero
23 May 2019
US-China Trade War Risks and Impact on US Inflation, Growth and Monetary Policy
MACRO PICTURE USA - Iran: Escalating Tensions, With High Risk Of Mis-Calculations
US-China Trade War Risks and Impact on US Inflation, Growth and Monetary Policy
by Nouriel Roubini
and Brunello Rosa
16 May 2019
FRANCE: The Social Crisis Lingers, While European Alliances Are Being Questioned
The US Can Temporarily “Decouple” From The Eurozone (If The Shock to EZ is Mild)
US-China Trade War Risks and Impact on US Inflation, Growth and Monetary Policy
by Rémi Bourgeot
9 May 2019
MACRO PICTURE - Brazil: The Pension Reform Is The Crucial Test For Bolsonaro
The US Can Temporarily “Decouple” From The Eurozone (If The Shock to EZ is Mild)
The US Can Temporarily “Decouple” From The Eurozone (If The Shock to EZ is Mild)
By Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi Farah Aladsani
24 April 2019
The US Can Temporarily “Decouple” From The Eurozone (If The Shock to EZ is Mild)
The US Can Temporarily “Decouple” From The Eurozone (If The Shock to EZ is Mild)
The US Can Temporarily “Decouple” From The Eurozone (If The Shock to EZ is Mild)
By Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa
23 April 2019
January - APril 2019
MACRO PICTURE: Spain Steady Economic Growth Threatened By Political Uncertainty
Italy Update: The Economic Recession Worsens The Political Landscape (And Vice-Versa)
MACRO PICTURE: Spain Steady Economic Growth Threatened By Political Uncertainty
by Lapo Fioretti and Brunello Rosa
3 April 2019
MACRO PICTURE - EU-US Auto Trade Dispute: Negotiations Before A War
Italy Update: The Economic Recession Worsens The Political Landscape (And Vice-Versa)
MACRO PICTURE: Spain Steady Economic Growth Threatened By Political Uncertainty
by Alex Waters, Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
Italy Update: The Economic Recession Worsens The Political Landscape (And Vice-Versa)
Italy Update: The Economic Recession Worsens The Political Landscape (And Vice-Versa)
Italy Update: The Economic Recession Worsens The Political Landscape (And Vice-Versa)
by Brunello Rosa
11 March 2019
MACRO PICTURE - EU Update: Awaiting The Populist Tsunami
Turkey: Economic Stabilization After The March Local Elections
Italy Update: The Economic Recession Worsens The Political Landscape (And Vice-Versa)
by Brunello Rosa
and Nouriel Roubini
8 March 2019
MACRO PICTURE: Venezuela’s Complicated Transition
Turkey: Economic Stabilization After The March Local Elections
Turkey: Economic Stabilization After The March Local Elections
by Lapo Fioretti, Brunello Rosa, Alex Waters
7 March 2019
Turkey: Economic Stabilization After The March Local Elections
Turkey: Economic Stabilization After The March Local Elections
Turkey: Economic Stabilization After The March Local Elections
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
11 January 2019
June - December 2018
Global Outlook & SAA For 2019: Skating on Thinner Ice
Global Outlook & SAA For 2019: Skating on Thinner Ice
Global Outlook & SAA For 2019: Skating on Thinner Ice
by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa
and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
18 December 2018
SCENARIO ANALYSIS - ITALY: Walking A Dangerous Line
Global Outlook & SAA For 2019: Skating on Thinner Ice
Global Outlook & SAA For 2019: Skating on Thinner Ice
by Brunello Rosa
5 October 2018
BRAZIL: Partisan Trench War Impedes a Huge Potential
Global Outlook & SAA For 2019: Skating on Thinner Ice
TURKEY: The Risk of Full-Blown Crisis May Rapidly Become the Baseline
by Rémi Bourgeot
2 October 2018
TURKEY: The Risk of Full-Blown Crisis May Rapidly Become the Baseline
TURKEY: Volatility Until the Elections, Slow Normalization Thereafter
TURKEY: The Risk of Full-Blown Crisis May Rapidly Become the Baseline
by Nouriel Roubini
14 August 2018
EMERGING MARKETS OUTLOOK: Rising Risks, Fragility Ahead
TURKEY: Volatility Until the Elections, Slow Normalization Thereafter
TURKEY: Volatility Until the Elections, Slow Normalization Thereafter
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Francisco Quintana
24 July 2018
TURKEY: Volatility Until the Elections, Slow Normalization Thereafter
TURKEY: Volatility Until the Elections, Slow Normalization Thereafter
TURKEY: Volatility Until the Elections, Slow Normalization Thereafter
By Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Pablo Gallego Cuervo
1 June 2018
March - May 2018
ARGENTINA: Macri Tries to Reassure Investors Ahead of G20 Meeting and Presidential Election
ARGENTINA: Macri Tries to Reassure Investors Ahead of G20 Meeting and Presidential Election
ARGENTINA: Macri Tries to Reassure Investors Ahead of G20 Meeting and Presidential Election
by Brunello Rosa and Renata Bossini
18 May 2018
US-China Trade Tensions: Skirmishes or Start of a Broader Trade and Technology War?
ARGENTINA: Macri Tries to Reassure Investors Ahead of G20 Meeting and Presidential Election
ARGENTINA: Macri Tries to Reassure Investors Ahead of G20 Meeting and Presidential Election
by Nouriel Roubini
2 May 2018
US-Led Airstrikes On Syria Likely to Have Limited Economic and Financial Impact
US-Led Airstrikes On Syria Likely to Have Limited Economic and Financial Impact
US-Led Airstrikes On Syria Likely to Have Limited Economic and Financial Impact
by Francisco Quintana and Pablo Gallego
16 April 18
Russia: An Impressive Normalisation Towards Modest Growth
US-Led Airstrikes On Syria Likely to Have Limited Economic and Financial Impact
US-Led Airstrikes On Syria Likely to Have Limited Economic and Financial Impact
by Rémi Bourgeot
23 March 2018
January - February 2018
China: In a Slow Transition, No Hard-landing But a Bumpy Road Ahead
Canada: Strong Cyclical Growth, But Structural Challenges Lie Ahead
Canada: Strong Cyclical Growth, But Structural Challenges Lie Ahead
by Francisco Quintana
30 January 2018
Canada: Strong Cyclical Growth, But Structural Challenges Lie Ahead
Canada: Strong Cyclical Growth, But Structural Challenges Lie Ahead
Canada: Strong Cyclical Growth, But Structural Challenges Lie Ahead
by Joseph Shupac and Brunello Rosa
11 January 2018
Western Balkans: Still Many Obstacles to EU Accession
Canada: Strong Cyclical Growth, But Structural Challenges Lie Ahead
Western Balkans: Still Many Obstacles to EU Accession
by Arlind Rama and Brunello Rosa
by 9 January 2018
December 2017
2018 Global Economic Outlook Smooth Sailing for Now, With Headwind Risks Rising
2018 Global Economic Outlook Smooth Sailing for Now, With Headwind Risks Rising
2018 Global Economic Outlook Smooth Sailing for Now, With Headwind Risks Rising
by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa
20 December 2017
Saudi Arabia: Rough Seas, But No Storm Ahead
2018 Global Economic Outlook Smooth Sailing for Now, With Headwind Risks Rising
2018 Global Economic Outlook Smooth Sailing for Now, With Headwind Risks Rising
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi Francisco Quintana Pablo Gallego Cuervo
5 December 2017
U.S. Tax Cuts: A Most Modest Impact on the Economy and Markets
2018 Global Economic Outlook Smooth Sailing for Now, With Headwind Risks Rising
U.S. Tax Cuts: A Most Modest Impact on the Economy and Markets
by Nouriel Roubini
4 December 2017
September - November 2017
Will Fears from China Cause Another Global Risk-off Episode?
Will Fears from China Cause Another Global Risk-off Episode?
Will Fears from China Cause Another Global Risk-off Episode?
by Nouriel Roubini
24 November 2017
Tensions Over Catalonia To Remain Elevated for Some Time Yet
Will Fears from China Cause Another Global Risk-off Episode?
Will Fears from China Cause Another Global Risk-off Episode?
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
16 November 2017
The Mystery of the Missing Inflation
German Election: Reduced Window For Deeper EZ Integration
German Election: Reduced Window For Deeper EZ Integration
by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa
9 October 2017
German Election: Reduced Window For Deeper EZ Integration
German Election: Reduced Window For Deeper EZ Integration
German Election: Reduced Window For Deeper EZ Integration
By Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
25 September 2017