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MARKET VIEWS
To Be Or Not To Be (In a Recession)? That Is The Question
To Be Or Not To Be (In a Recession)? That Is The Question
To Be Or Not To Be (In a Recession)? That Is The Question
by Filippo Ramigni
7 March 2023
When The Going Gets Tough, The Tough Get Going
To Be Or Not To Be (In a Recession)? That Is The Question
To Be Or Not To Be (In a Recession)? That Is The Question
by Filippo Ramigni
21 February 2023
The Strange Case of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Powell
To Be Or Not To Be (In a Recession)? That Is The Question
The Strange Case of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Powell
by Filippo Ramigni
7 February 2023
The Markets’ Big Gamble Of 2023
Positive Start Of The Year, With Good News From China And Europe
The Strange Case of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Powell
by Filippo Ramigni
17 January 2023
Positive Start Of The Year, With Good News From China And Europe
Positive Start Of The Year, With Good News From China And Europe
Positive Start Of The Year, With Good News From China And Europe
by Filippo Ramigni
17 January 2023
OCTOBER - DECEMBER 2022
Investors Hope For An “Ordinary” 2023
Central Bank Communications Drives Markets Down
Central Bank Communications Drives Markets Down
by Filippo Ramigni
30 December 2022
Central Bank Communications Drives Markets Down
Central Bank Communications Drives Markets Down
Central Bank Communications Drives Markets Down
by Filippo Ramigni
20 December 2022
Showdown for Central Banks
Central Bank Communications Drives Markets Down
Wishing For a Dove Over The Fed’s Christmas Tree
by Filippo Ramigni
13 December 2022
Wishing For a Dove Over The Fed’s Christmas Tree
Central Banks To Remain Focused on Their Tightening Cycles, In Spite of Inflation Peaking
Wishing For a Dove Over The Fed’s Christmas Tree
by Filippo Ramigni
6 December 2022
Markets Dream Jerome Powell Acting as Santa Claus
Central Banks To Remain Focused on Their Tightening Cycles, In Spite of Inflation Peaking
Central Banks To Remain Focused on Their Tightening Cycles, In Spite of Inflation Peaking
by Filippo Ramigni
29 November 2022
Central Banks To Remain Focused on Their Tightening Cycles, In Spite of Inflation Peaking
Central Banks To Remain Focused on Their Tightening Cycles, In Spite of Inflation Peaking
Central Banks To Remain Focused on Their Tightening Cycles, In Spite of Inflation Peaking
by Filippo Ramigni
22 November 2022
Tech Stocks Correct After Reaching “Maturity” Stage
Central Banks Try To Chase Inflation Without Sinking The Real Economy
Tech Stocks Correct After Reaching “Maturity” Stage
by Filippo Ramigni
15 November 2022
The Revenge Of The “Old Economy”
Central Banks Try To Chase Inflation Without Sinking The Real Economy
Tech Stocks Correct After Reaching “Maturity” Stage
by Filippo Ramigni
8 November 2022
Central Banks Try To Chase Inflation Without Sinking The Real Economy
Central Banks Try To Chase Inflation Without Sinking The Real Economy
Central Banks Try To Chase Inflation Without Sinking The Real Economy
by Filippo Ramigni
25 October 2022
The Bumpy Road Out of QE for the US, the UK and The World Economy
As the Fed Tightens Monetary Policy, It Needs to Balance Price Stability and Financial Stability
Central Banks Try To Chase Inflation Without Sinking The Real Economy
by Filippo Ramigni
18 October 2022
The “Wind Of Change” Leaves Investors Puzzled
As the Fed Tightens Monetary Policy, It Needs to Balance Price Stability and Financial Stability
As the Fed Tightens Monetary Policy, It Needs to Balance Price Stability and Financial Stability
by Filippo Ramigni
11 October 2022
As the Fed Tightens Monetary Policy, It Needs to Balance Price Stability and Financial Stability
As the Fed Tightens Monetary Policy, It Needs to Balance Price Stability and Financial Stability
As the Fed Tightens Monetary Policy, It Needs to Balance Price Stability and Financial Stability
by Filippo Ramigni
4 October 2022
Market Views: “King” Dollar Dominates Market Dynamics
Market Views: ECB’s Tough Stance On Inflation May Have Arrived Too Late
Market Views: Federal Reserve and Bank of England in Focus This Week
by Filippo Ramigni
27 September 2022
Market Views: Federal Reserve and Bank of England in Focus This Week
Market Views: ECB’s Tough Stance On Inflation May Have Arrived Too Late
Market Views: Federal Reserve and Bank of England in Focus This Week
by Filippo Ramigni
20 September 2022
Market Views: ECB’s Tough Stance On Inflation May Have Arrived Too Late
Market Views: ECB’s Tough Stance On Inflation May Have Arrived Too Late
Market Views: The German Crisis Epitomises The Economic Impact of the New World Order
by Filippo Ramigni
13 September 2022
Market Views: The German Crisis Epitomises The Economic Impact of the New World Order
Market Views: Restoring The Fed's Credibility Goes Hand In Hand With Fighting Inflation
Market Views: The German Crisis Epitomises The Economic Impact of the New World Order
by Filippo Ramigni
9 September 2022
Market Views: Restoring The Fed's Credibility Goes Hand In Hand With Fighting Inflation
Market Views: Restoring The Fed's Credibility Goes Hand In Hand With Fighting Inflation
Market Views: Restoring The Fed's Credibility Goes Hand In Hand With Fighting Inflation
by Filippo Ramigni
23 August 2022
Market Views: Fed’s Reality Check Will Be In Autumn
Market Views: Restoring The Fed's Credibility Goes Hand In Hand With Fighting Inflation
Market Views: Restoring The Fed's Credibility Goes Hand In Hand With Fighting Inflation
by Filippo Ramigni
9 August 2022
Q4-2021 STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Economic Recovery On Track, But Volatility Rises
Q4-2021 STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Economic Recovery On Track, But Volatility Rises
Q4-2021 STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Economic Recovery On Track, But Volatility Rises
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses
1 October 2021
The Future Of Banking: Amid Brisk Evolution, Banks Will Endure Disruption
Q4-2021 STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Economic Recovery On Track, But Volatility Rises
Q4-2021 STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Economic Recovery On Track, But Volatility Rises
by Fawaz Al Mughrabi,Karmen Meneses and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
26 August 2021
The Future Of Banking: Amid Brisk Evolution, Banks Will Endure Disruption
Q4-2021 STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Economic Recovery On Track, But Volatility Rises
Q3-2021 STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Economic Recovery And Policy Stimuli To Support Valuations
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses
29 July 2021
Q3-2021 STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Economic Recovery And Policy Stimuli To Support Valuations
Market Review And Outlook: Vaccine Rollouts And Abundant Liquidity To Support Market Performance
Q3-2021 STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Economic Recovery And Policy Stimuli To Support Valuations
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi
30 June 2021
Market Review And Outlook: Vaccine Rollouts And Abundant Liquidity To Support Market Performance
Market Review And Outlook: Vaccine Rollouts And Abundant Liquidity To Support Market Performance
Market Review And Outlook: Vaccine Rollouts And Abundant Liquidity To Support Market Performance
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi
21 May 2021
2021-22 Outlook: Oil Prices To Recover, As Global Demand Improves
Market Review And Outlook: Vaccine Rollouts And Abundant Liquidity To Support Market Performance
Market Review And Outlook: Vaccine Rollouts And Abundant Liquidity To Support Market Performance
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi
5 May 2021
July 2020 - April 2021
Q2-21 OUTLOOK - STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Growth And Liquidity To Support Markets
Emerging Markets Outlook: Economic Recovery In H2-2021, Liquidity To Support Financial Markets
Emerging Markets Outlook: Economic Recovery In H2-2021, Liquidity To Support Financial Markets
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi And Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi
1 April 2021
Emerging Markets Outlook: Economic Recovery In H2-2021, Liquidity To Support Financial Markets
Emerging Markets Outlook: Economic Recovery In H2-2021, Liquidity To Support Financial Markets
Emerging Markets Outlook: Economic Recovery In H2-2021, Liquidity To Support Financial Markets
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
And Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi
28 January 2021
2021 OUTLOOK - STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: A Volatile Macroeconomic And Geopolitical Year Ahead
Emerging Markets Outlook: Economic Recovery In H2-2021, Liquidity To Support Financial Markets
2021 OUTLOOK - STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: A Volatile Macroeconomic And Geopolitical Year Ahead
by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa
and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
23 December 2020
MARKET REVIEW AND OUTLOOK: Fiscal And Monetary Policies To Support Market Performance
MARKET REVIEW AND OUTLOOK: Fiscal And Monetary Policies To Support Market Performance
2021 OUTLOOK - STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: A Volatile Macroeconomic And Geopolitical Year Ahead
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi And Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi
2 December 2020
Is There HOPE for US Commercial Real Estate?
MARKET REVIEW AND OUTLOOK: Fiscal And Monetary Policies To Support Market Performance
2020-21: Oil Prices To Remain Subdued, As COVID-19 Keeps Hampering Global Growth
by Peter Cecchini
25 November 2020
2020-21: Oil Prices To Remain Subdued, As COVID-19 Keeps Hampering Global Growth
MARKET REVIEW AND OUTLOOK: Fiscal And Monetary Policies To Support Market Performance
2020-21: Oil Prices To Remain Subdued, As COVID-19 Keeps Hampering Global Growth
by Alessandro Magnoli, Fawaz Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses
22 October 2020
ASSET ALLOCATION: Volatility To Create Opportunities in Q4, While Investors Keep Focus On Long Term
ASSET ALLOCATION: Volatility To Create Opportunities in Q4, While Investors Keep Focus On Long Term
ASSET ALLOCATION: Volatility To Create Opportunities in Q4, While Investors Keep Focus On Long Term
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi
1 October 2020
A Brave New World: Why US Equity and Corporate Credit Markets are Overvalued and Overextended
ASSET ALLOCATION: Volatility To Create Opportunities in Q4, While Investors Keep Focus On Long Term
ASSET ALLOCATION: Volatility To Create Opportunities in Q4, While Investors Keep Focus On Long Term
by Peter Cecchini
18 September 2020
Market Review & Outlook: Stagflation Risks And Stimuli To Continue Support Investor Confidence
ASSET ALLOCATION: Volatility To Create Opportunities in Q4, While Investors Keep Focus On Long Term
Market Review & Outlook: Stagflation Risks And Stimuli To Continue Support Investor Confidence
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Al Mughrabi and Farah Aladsani
26 August 2020
Fed’s QE Infinity Suppresses Rates Volatility, But May Not Revitalise The Economy And Inflation
Fed’s QE Infinity Suppresses Rates Volatility, But May Not Revitalise The Economy And Inflation
Market Review & Outlook: Stagflation Risks And Stimuli To Continue Support Investor Confidence
by Peter Cecchini
18 August 2020
Fiscal Policy And Sentiment Support Toppish Equity and Credit Markets
Fed’s QE Infinity Suppresses Rates Volatility, But May Not Revitalise The Economy And Inflation
Fiscal Policy And Sentiment Support Toppish Equity and Credit Markets
by Peter Cecchini
30 July 2020
The Future Of Banking: Consolidated, Local and Digital
Fed’s QE Infinity Suppresses Rates Volatility, But May Not Revitalise The Economy And Inflation
Fiscal Policy And Sentiment Support Toppish Equity and Credit Markets
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Farah Aladsani and Fawaz Al Mughrabi
24 July 2020
June 2019 - July 2020
An Aura of Treasure: Gold as a Store of Dollar Value
Q3-2020 ASSET ALLOCATION: Ride the Liquidity Wave with Caution, as Risks Are Tilted to the Downside
Q3-2020 ASSET ALLOCATION: Ride the Liquidity Wave with Caution, as Risks Are Tilted to the Downside
by Peter Cecchini
8 July 2020
Q3-2020 ASSET ALLOCATION: Ride the Liquidity Wave with Caution, as Risks Are Tilted to the Downside
Q3-2020 ASSET ALLOCATION: Ride the Liquidity Wave with Caution, as Risks Are Tilted to the Downside
Q3-2020 ASSET ALLOCATION: Ride the Liquidity Wave with Caution, as Risks Are Tilted to the Downside
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, Farah Aladsani
1 July 2020
“Something’s Gotta Give”: US Risk-Asset Valuations Are Misaligned with Reality
Q3-2020 ASSET ALLOCATION: Ride the Liquidity Wave with Caution, as Risks Are Tilted to the Downside
Oil Outlook 20-21: Prices To Stabilize, With OPEC+ Deal Unlikely to Make Up For Fall in Global Deman
by Peter Cecchini
24 June 2020
Oil Outlook 20-21: Prices To Stabilize, With OPEC+ Deal Unlikely to Make Up For Fall in Global Deman
Oil Outlook 20-21: Prices To Stabilize, With OPEC+ Deal Unlikely to Make Up For Fall in Global Deman
Oil Outlook 20-21: Prices To Stabilize, With OPEC+ Deal Unlikely to Make Up For Fall in Global Deman
by Nouriel Roubini, Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Brunello Rosa, Marco Lucchin
15 May 2020
Outlook Update - PART 4: Q2- ASSET ALLOCATION: Focus On The Long-Term, Find Opportunities in Crisis
Oil Outlook 20-21: Prices To Stabilize, With OPEC+ Deal Unlikely to Make Up For Fall in Global Deman
Outlook Update - PART 4: Q2- ASSET ALLOCATION: Focus On The Long-Term, Find Opportunities in Crisis
by Alessandro Magnoli Nouriel Roubini, Fawaz Al Mughrabi, Farah Aladsani
27 April 2020
Outlook Update - PART 3: COVID-19 To Depress Valuations Until Pandemic Solution Is In Sight
Oil Outlook 20-21: Prices To Stabilize, With OPEC+ Deal Unlikely to Make Up For Fall in Global Deman
Outlook Update - PART 4: Q2- ASSET ALLOCATION: Focus On The Long-Term, Find Opportunities in Crisis
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini
26 March 2020
2020 GLOBAL OUTLOOK AND ASSET ALLOCATION - Despite The Improved Outlook, Beware of The Cracks
Oil Outlook In 2020-21: In Absence Of Supply Shocks, Faltering Global Demand Will Dampen Oil Prices
2020 GLOBAL OUTLOOK AND ASSET ALLOCATION - Despite The Improved Outlook, Beware of The Cracks
by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and
Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
16 December 2019
MARKET VIEWS - Six ‘Grey Swan’ Events Could Hit The Global Economy And Markets In 2020
Oil Outlook In 2020-21: In Absence Of Supply Shocks, Faltering Global Demand Will Dampen Oil Prices
2020 GLOBAL OUTLOOK AND ASSET ALLOCATION - Despite The Improved Outlook, Beware of The Cracks
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Al Mughrabi and Farah Aladsani
28 November 2019
Oil Outlook In 2020-21: In Absence Of Supply Shocks, Faltering Global Demand Will Dampen Oil Prices
Oil Outlook In 2020-21: In Absence Of Supply Shocks, Faltering Global Demand Will Dampen Oil Prices
Oil Outlook In 2020-21: In Absence Of Supply Shocks, Faltering Global Demand Will Dampen Oil Prices
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Al Mughrabi and Farah Aladsani
23 October 2019
Q4-19 ASSET ALLOCATION Focusing On Capital Preservation, Limiting The Risk-Taking To Fixed-Income
Q4-19 ASSET ALLOCATION Focusing On Capital Preservation, Limiting The Risk-Taking To Fixed-Income
Oil Outlook In 2020-21: In Absence Of Supply Shocks, Faltering Global Demand Will Dampen Oil Prices
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Al Mughrabi and Farah Aladsani
1 October 2019
Exploiting The Tactical Risk-On In Liquid Space, While Keeping Focus On Capital Preservation
Q4-19 ASSET ALLOCATION Focusing On Capital Preservation, Limiting The Risk-Taking To Fixed-Income
Exploiting The Tactical Risk-On In Liquid Space, While Keeping Focus On Capital Preservation
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Mughrabi and Farah Aladsani
1 July 2019
MARKET VIEWS and UPDATE - Fasten Your Seatbelts: Financial Markets’ Review and Outlook
Q4-19 ASSET ALLOCATION Focusing On Capital Preservation, Limiting The Risk-Taking To Fixed-Income
Exploiting The Tactical Risk-On In Liquid Space, While Keeping Focus On Capital Preservation
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Farah Aladsani and Fawaz Al Mughrabi
14 June 2019
December 2018 - May 2019
MARKET VIEWS - Lebanon: An ‘Unstable Equilibrium’ Supported By Capital Inflows
ASSET ALLOCATION: Maintain A Defensive Risk Profile, Focus On Capital Preservation
ASSET ALLOCATION: Maintain A Defensive Risk Profile, Focus On Capital Preservation
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Farah Aladsani and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi
14 May 2019
ASSET ALLOCATION: Maintain A Defensive Risk Profile, Focus On Capital Preservation
ASSET ALLOCATION: Maintain A Defensive Risk Profile, Focus On Capital Preservation
ASSET ALLOCATION: Maintain A Defensive Risk Profile, Focus On Capital Preservation
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
29 March 2019
MARKET VIEWS - EM Currencies: The Fed’s Pause Provides Short-Term Support
ASSET ALLOCATION: Maintain A Defensive Risk Profile, Focus On Capital Preservation
MARKET VIEWS - EM Currencies: The Fed’s Pause Provides Short-Term Support
by Rémi Bourgeot
13 March 2019
MARKET VIEWS - A “Fed Collar” Is Likely To Support The Markets In H1-2019
Global Economic Outlook and Strategic Asset Allocation For 2019: Skating on Thinner Ice
MARKET VIEWS - EM Currencies: The Fed’s Pause Provides Short-Term Support
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
27 February 2019
Global Economic Outlook and Strategic Asset Allocation For 2019: Skating on Thinner Ice
Global Economic Outlook and Strategic Asset Allocation For 2019: Skating on Thinner Ice
Global Economic Outlook and Strategic Asset Allocation For 2019: Skating on Thinner Ice
by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa, and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
18 December 2018
MARKET VIEWS: Markets Buffeted By Tailwinds and Headwinds At Year-End
Global Economic Outlook and Strategic Asset Allocation For 2019: Skating on Thinner Ice
Global Economic Outlook and Strategic Asset Allocation For 2019: Skating on Thinner Ice
by Alex Waters
7 December 2018
July 2017 - November 2018
Oil Outlook 2019-20: Oil Prices’ Gradual Decline To Support Global Growth
Oil Outlook 2019-20: Oil Prices’ Gradual Decline To Support Global Growth
Oil Outlook 2019-20: Oil Prices’ Gradual Decline To Support Global Growth
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi And Francisco Quintana
26 November 2018
Hedging The Risk of A Potential Emerging Markets Crisis
Oil Outlook 2019-20: Oil Prices’ Gradual Decline To Support Global Growth
Oil Outlook 2019-20: Oil Prices’ Gradual Decline To Support Global Growth
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi Pablo Gallego Cuervo Francisco Quintana
2 November 2018
MARKET VIEWS: A Healthy and Expected Market Sell-Off
Oil Outlook 2019-20: Oil Prices’ Gradual Decline To Support Global Growth
The Divergence Betwween US and Other Countries is Still Increasing
by Brunello Rosa
15 October 2018
The Divergence Betwween US and Other Countries is Still Increasing
EM Global Tremors: Central Banks’ Different Strategies to Defend Their Currencies
The Divergence Betwween US and Other Countries is Still Increasing
By Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Francisco Quintana
27 September 2018
EM Global Tremors: Central Banks’ Different Strategies to Defend Their Currencies
EM Global Tremors: Central Banks’ Different Strategies to Defend Their Currencies
EM Global Tremors: Central Banks’ Different Strategies to Defend Their Currencies
by Rémi Bourgeot
4 September 2018
Yield Curve “Near-Inversion” Does Not Imply U.S. Recession
EM Global Tremors: Central Banks’ Different Strategies to Defend Their Currencies
EM Global Tremors: Central Banks’ Different Strategies to Defend Their Currencies
by Brunello Rosa
13 July 2018
December 2017 - June 2018
ASSET ALLOCATION & MARKET UPDATE - Rising Risks in EMs From Decline in Global Liquidity
Oil Prices in 2018-20: Unlikely To Hamper Global Growth Likely To Support Oil-Related Assets
Oil Prices in 2018-20: Unlikely To Hamper Global Growth Likely To Support Oil-Related Assets
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
and Francisco Quintana
26 June 2018
Oil Prices in 2018-20: Unlikely To Hamper Global Growth Likely To Support Oil-Related Assets
Oil Prices in 2018-20: Unlikely To Hamper Global Growth Likely To Support Oil-Related Assets
Oil Prices in 2018-20: Unlikely To Hamper Global Growth Likely To Support Oil-Related Assets
By Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
and Francisco Quintana
3 May 2018
Asset Allocation Update: Cautious Risk Exposure With Defensive Positioning
Oil Prices in 2018-20: Unlikely To Hamper Global Growth Likely To Support Oil-Related Assets
Asset Allocation Update: Cautious Risk Exposure With Defensive Positioning
by
Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
and Francisco Quintana
29 March 2018
Volatility and Inflation Fears Likely to Continue Weighing on Markets
Strategic Asset Allocation 2018: Moderate Risk-Taking Within A Defensive Positioning
Asset Allocation Update: Cautious Risk Exposure With Defensive Positioning
by Nouriel Roubini
and Brunello Rosa
14 February 2018
Strategic Asset Allocation 2018: Moderate Risk-Taking Within A Defensive Positioning
Strategic Asset Allocation 2018: Moderate Risk-Taking Within A Defensive Positioning
Strategic Asset Allocation 2018: Moderate Risk-Taking Within A Defensive Positioning
By Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi
22 December 2017
EM Currencies: Still Pressured, but more Resilient to Normalisation
Strategic Asset Allocation 2018: Moderate Risk-Taking Within A Defensive Positioning
Strategic Asset Allocation 2018: Moderate Risk-Taking Within A Defensive Positioning
by Rémi Bourgeot
6 December 2017