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RESEARCH BY REGION
Europe - European Union - Eurozone
Europe - European Union - Eurozone
Europe - European Union - Eurozone
A New Dawn for the EU: Power Dynamics and Policy Shifts in von der Leyen's Second Term, by Charles Bauman, 25 September 2024
From Ballots to Policy: Assessing Post-Election Realities in the European Parliament, by Klitos Philippides, 25 June 2024
The UK-EU Windsor Framework: A New Deal for Northern Ireland, by London Politica, 10 March 2023
The Munich Security Conference and Wang Yi’s European Tour: End of An Era and a Revival of Sino-European Relations?, by London Politica, 7 March 2023
Positive Start Of The Year, With Good News From China And Europe, by Filippo Ramigni, 17 January 2023
The Ukraine War Requires Israel to Strike a Challenging Balance, by Giorgio Cafiero, 22 December 2022
A New Reliance? A Proposed Gas Pipeline And The Complicated Picture Of European Energy Security, by London Politica, 14 September 2022
European Banks: Are AMCs Coming to Deal With Looming Surge in NPLs?, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 25 February 2021
EU Agreements Mask Underlying Tensions, by Grégoire Roos, 15 December 2020
BREXIT ENDGAME: Given Covid and Biden’s Election, UK and EU to Eventually Land on a Skinny FTA, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 16 November 2020
EU Update: Uncertainty At Its Highest, As The EU Enters The Second Covid Wave, by Brunello Rosa and Grégoire Roos, 3 November 2020
EU's Technological Symphony N. 8, “The Unfinished”, by Marco Lucchin, 15 October 2020
The Post-Covid Recovery Deal: Not A “Hamilton Moment” But Still A Turning Point In EU History, by Grégoire Roos, 5 August 2020
The Deal On the EU “Recovery Fund” Will Have Large National Repercussions, by Grégoire Roos and Brunello Rosa, 2 July 2020
POLICY COMPASS – Between “Hamilton” and “Jefferson” Moment: The EU Response To Covid-19, by Brunello Rosa, 12 May 2020
EU Commission Bonds With Enhanced ESM Surveillance To Unblock The Impasse at EU Council, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 22 April 2020
Winter Is Coming For Europe’s Wobbly Coalitions, by Grégoire Roos and Brunello Rosa, 5 December 2019
EU Update: A Challenging Start For The “Geopolitical Commission” , by Grégoire Roos and Brunello Rosa, 11 October 2019
POLICY COMPASS - EU: The End Of The Musical Chairs Game Delivers A Fragile Political Equilibrium, by Brunello Rosa, 3 July 2019
EU Musical Chairs’ Battle At The Center of the EU Council Meeting, by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 20 June 2019
The US Can Temporarily “Decouple” From The Eurozone (If The Shock to EZ is Mild), by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa, 23 April 2019
Post-Ambrosetti Forum Bullet Points on Europe, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 8 April 2019
MACRO PICTURE - EU-US Auto Trade Dispute: Negotiations Before A War, by Alex Waters, Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 2 April 2019
MACRO PICTURE - EU Update: Awaiting The Populist Tsunami, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini , 8 March 2019
POLICY COMPASS - The Rise of the Populist International: European Dis-Integration Ahead?,by Brunello Rosa and John Hulsman, 6 February 2019
POLICY COMPASS: The European “Musical Chairs” Game Continues, by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 20 September 2018
Hedging Against A Euro Break-Up, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Brunello Rosa, Pablo Gallego Cuervo, Damiano Terziotti, 30 August 2018
The European “Musical Chairs” Game Has Just Begun, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 17 January 2018
Progress On Further Eu And Ez Integration To Remain Limited, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 28 November 2017
Further Eurozone Integration: The Time Window Is Very Narrow, by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 17 September 2017
Middle East
Europe - European Union - Eurozone
Europe - European Union - Eurozone
Middle East
Shadows of Conflict: The Iran-Israel Tug of War, By Joshua Bowes, 23 October 2024
GCC Perspectives on Israel, Iran and Lebanon Hostilities, by Gulf State Analytics, 3 October 2024
An Unprecedented Terrorist Attack in Oman, by Gulf State Analytics, 6 August 2024
Global Pariah or Not? Iran’s Position in the Middle East and Beyond, by Giorgio Cafiero, 26 March 2024
The Risk of Regionalisation and Internationalisation of Gaza’s War in 2024, by Giorgio Cafiero, 30 January 2024
US, China, and the Resurgence of Middle East Politics, by Mirko Giordani, 17 May 2023
Despite the War, Russia Can Still Count on Meaningful Relationships in the Middle East, by Giorgio Cafiero, 6 April 2022
Oman
Bold and Intriguing Reforms in Post-Qaboos Oman, by Gulf State Analytics, 7 July 2022
Lebanon
An ‘Unstable Equilibrium’ Supported By Capital Inflows, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Farah Aladsani and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 14 May 2019
Persian Gulf
POLICY COMPASS: Increased Polarisation and Power Fragmentation Ahead, by Cinzia Bianco, 29 January 2019
Iran
Shadows of Conflict: The Iran-Israel Tug of War, By Joshua Bowes, 23 October 2024
Iran’s Transition to the Post-Raisi Period Likely Means Continuation of Hardline Rule, by Giorgio Cafiero, 4 June 2024
Mounting Iran-Pakistan Tensions and Their Implications for GCC, by Gulf State Analytics, 7 February 2024
The Qatari Bridge Between the U.S. and Iran, by Gulf State Analytics, 6 September 2023
The Future of Energy Diplomacy Between Iran, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia, by Gulf State Analytics, 8 August 2023
Iran and Saudi Arabia Keep Channels of Communications Open In Spite of Stalled Relations, by Gulf State Analytics, 15 February 2023
Iran Feels Domestic Protests Are Fomented By Foreign Media Outlets, by Gulf State Analytics, 9 December 2022
Iran and Saudi Arabia’s Perspectives on Post-US Afghanistan, by Giorgio Cafiero, 29 September 2021
The US and Iran Aim to Restore the JCPOA, but Obstacles Remain, by Giorgio Cafiero, 12 May 2021
Iran Shows Resilience to Pandemic, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions as US Elections Approach, by Giorgio Cafiero, 17 June 2020
Geopolitical Tension Mounting In The Mediterranean Sea, by Marco Lucchin, 9 June 2020
US-Iran Scenario Analysis: Risk-off Ahead – An Update On The Conflict And Implications For The Global Economy, Policies And Markets, by Nouriel Roubini and Giorgio Cafiero, 8 January 2020
Tension Between US and Iran Increases After The Attack On Saudi Arabia’s Oil Facilities, by Giorgio Cafiero, 17 September 2019
Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, With Increasing Risk Of Escalation, by Giorgio Cafiero, Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 14 August 2019
MACRO PICTURE: USA - Iran: Escalating Tensions, With High Risk Of Mis-Calculations, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Giorgio Cafiero, 23 May 2019
TRAVEL NOTES: IRAN: Mismanagement and International Tensions Stifle a Great Potential, by Remi Bourgeot, 29 June 2018
Iraq
IRAQ: Protests Will Be Contained, But Risk Of Further Unrest Remains, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Pablo Gallego Cuervo and Francisco Quintana, 18 July 2018
Syria
Syria’s Post-Earthquake Diplomatic Standing In The Gulf, by Gulf State Analytics, 2 March 2023
Geopolitical Tension Mounting In The Mediterranean Sea, by Marco Lucchin, 9 June 2020
SCENARIO ANALYSIS: WAR IN SYRIA: US-Led Airstrikes On Syria Likely to Have Limited Economic and Financial Impact, by Francisco Quintana and Pablo Gallego Cuervo, 16 April 2018
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia’s Navigation of the Gaza War, by Gulf State Analytics, 4 April 2024
The Future of Energy Diplomacy Between Iran, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia, by Gulf State Analytics, 8 August 2023
Major Changes in Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Policy, by Gulf State Analytics, 10 May 2023
The Saudi-Iranian Diplomatic Deal and Intra-GCC Relations, by Gulf State Analytics, 6 April 2023
Iran and Saudi Arabia Keep Channels of Communications Open In Spite of Stalled Relations, by Gulf State Analytics, 15 February 2023
The Growth of Sino-Saudi Relations in a More Multipolar World, by Giorgio Cafiero, 8 February 2022
U.S. - Saudi Relations At A Low Point Following OPEC+ Decisions On Oil Production, by Gulf State Analytics, 10 November 2022
Saudi Arabia Re-Gains Centre Stage in a More Multipolar World, by Giorgio Cafiero, 29 September 2022
Economic Saudi-Israeli Relations Are Headed Towards Normalization, by Gulf State Analytics, 3 August 2022
Iran and Saudi Arabia’s Perspectives on Post-US Afghanistan, by Giorgio Cafiero, 29 September 2021
Tension Between US and Iran Increases After The Attack On Saudi Arabia’s Oil Facilities, by Giorgio Cafiero, 17 September 2019
Saudi Arabia Scenarios: Rough Seas, But No Storm Ahead, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Francisco Quintana, Pablo Gallego Cuervo, 5 December 2017
Qatar
The World Cup And A Rising Gulf, by Gulf State Analytics, 11 January 2023
Qatar Prepares for a Historic World Cup, by Gulf State Analytics, 2 September 2022
GCC
Balancing Economic Promotion and Cultural Challenges in the GCC , by Gulf State Analytics, 6 October 2022
Ukraine War To Impact Tourism in the GCC, by Gulf State Analytics, 7 June 2022
Kuwait
Is Semi-Democracy Now Part of Kuwait’s Past?, by Gulf State Analytics,13 June 2024
Kuwait’s New Leader, By Gulf State Analytics, 16 January 2024
The Future of Energy Diplomacy Between Iran, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia, by Gulf State Analytics, 8 August 2023
Kuwait: To Create Jobs For Nationals, Reduce Dependence On Public Sector Employment And Low-Wage Foreign Labor, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, Carmen Pages Serra and Zafiris Tzannatos, 13 October 2021
United Arab Emirates
The UAE’s Pragmatic Engagement with the Taliban, by Gulf State Analytics, 2 July 2024
Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets
Latin America
Latin America and its Profound Policrisis, by Elin Roberts, 14 February 2024
Venezuela
Maduro's Controversial Re-election: Unrest, Protests, and Global Reactions, by Lāsma Kokina and Brunello Rosa, 4 September 2024
Annexation Motivated by Oil? by Marina Tovar i Velasco, 3 January 2024
Venezuela’s Complicated Transition, by Lapo Fioretti, Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters, 7 March 2019
Brazil
The Challenging Political Environment of Brazil After the Failed Coup, by London Politica, 9 February 2023
Brazil on the Edge of Democracy, by London Politica, 19 October 2022
Brazil: The Pension Reform Is The Crucial Test For Bolsonaro, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Farah Aladsani, 24 April 2019
BRAZIL: Partisan Trench War Impedes a Huge Potential, by Remi Bourgeot, 2 October 2018
Russia
With Rigged Elections, Putin’s Reign Extends, by Christopher Healey, 27 March 2024
The Russia-Belarus Union State and the Relevance of the Suwalki Gap, by London Politica, 5 September 2023
The Russian Power Structure’s “Clean-Up” Operation, by Marco Lucchin, 30 August 2023
The Impact of Prigozhin’s Armed Rebellion On the Stability of Putin’s Regime, by Marco Lucchin, 11 July 2023
The Wagner Coup: What Happened And What To Expect Soon?, by London Politica, 13 July 2023
War In Ukraine: “Endgame” Scenarios For the First Proxy War Between US and China In Cold War 2, by Marco Lucchin and Brunello Rosa, 30 March 2023
Evasion Tactics: How Russia Is Using Other Countries To Circumvent U.S. Sanctions, by London Politica, 5 April 2023
Russian Economy: An Economic Shock From Which It Will Be Hard to Recover, by London Politica, 4 November 2022
Ukraine-Russia Conflict: How Cyberwarfare Is Used Alongside Conventional Weapons, by London Politica, 5 October 2022
Financial Warfare Against Russia: Stakes for Gulf Investors and Funds, by Gulf State Analytics, 12 May 2022
Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine: Scenarios, Endgames And Macro- Financial and Policy Implications, by John C. Hulsman and Marco Lucchin, 1 March 2022
Ready to Fight: Russia’s Cyber and AI Strategies To Navigate The Covid-19 Crisis And Beyond, by Marco Lucchin and Brunello Rosa, 8 April 2020
Russia: Monetary Stabilisation, Economic Stagnation and Geopolitical Advances Create a Mixed Political Picture, by Rémi Bourgeot and Brunelloc Rosa, 17 July 2019
TRAVEL NOTES: RUSSIA: Putin to Continue Inward-Oriented Economic Policies, by Nouriel Roubini, 29 May 2018
MACRO PICTURE: RUSSIA: An Impressive Normalisation Towards Modest Growth, by Remi Bourgeot, 23 March 2018
India
India Election: Predictions and Controversies, by Lāsma Kokina, 16 April 2024
2024 Elections In India: Will Modi’s Popularity Overpass The Opposition Coalition?, by London Politica, 6 July 2023
Destined To Choose Between US and China: India’s Military Reform and its Geopolitical Consequences, by London Politica, 11 November 2022
TRAVEL NOTES: INDIA: Rising Macro Headwinds In Spite of Recent Pick-Up in Growth, by Nouriel Roubini, 13 March 2018
Argentina
Mileionomics: Far Right or Right On? An Economic And Political Analysis of Javier Milei’s “Shock Therapy”, by Ruy Scalamandré, 27 June 2024
The Javier Milei and His Libertarian Agenda: How Likely Is He To Succeed In Implementing Radical Structural Reforms?, by Fernando Prats, 18 October 2023
Argentina: Political Crisis, Economic Uncertainty, by London Politica, 29 December 2022
Argentina: The Road Ahead For The Debt-Restructuring Negotiations, by Nouriel Roubini and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, 18 February 2020
POLICY COMPASS: An Investor Guide to Navigate Argentina's Debt Restructuring, by Nouriel Roubini and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, 23 September 2019
Argentina: Elections To Test The Austerity Measures, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Farah Aladsani, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi and Lapo Fioretti, 5 June 2019
Argentina: Between Disaster and Hope, by Brunello Rosa and Joseph Shupac, 5 September 2018
Argentina: Macri Tries to Reassure Investors Ahead of G20 Meeting and Presidential Election, by Brunello Rosa and Renata Bossini, 18 May 2018
Koreas
NORTH KOREA – US SUMMIT: A Vague Agreement That Mostly Benefits Kim Jong-Un, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Francisco Quintana, Pablo Gallego Cuervo, 14 June 2018
A Quick Memo on The Koreas: Mutual Advantages of a Possible Re-Unification, by Joseph Shupac, 2 May 2018
Mexico
North America's First Female Leader: An Analysis of Claudia Sheinbaum's Victory in Mexico, by Maria Ascencio, 26 June 2024
MEXICO: Deteriorating Macroeconomic Outlook Amid Policy Uncertainty, by Francesca Panelli and Brunello Rosa, 22 August 2019
Tunisia
Mounting Tensions in Tunisia, by London Politica, 11 May 2023
Tunisia: New Social Unrest Sparked By Recent Increases In Fuel Prices Made To Comply With IMF Agreement, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi and Farah Aladsani , 4 December 2019
Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan: The Power Struggle Behind the Unrest, by Marco Lucchin, 18 February 2022
Israel
Gaza Crisis: Regional and International Dimensions, by Giorgio Cafiero, 4 January 2023
Carnage in Gaza and interests of Gulf Arab states, By Gulf State Analytics, 5 December 2023
Israeli Democracy and Security at Risk? A Briefer on Recent Developments in Israel, by London Politica, 12 April 2023
Taiwan
A Nation Divided? An Analysis of the 2024 Taiwanese General Election and the Road to Détente or Destabilisation, By Scott Mackie, 18 January 2024
Balkans
Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets
WORKING PAPER - Albania: Opposition Triggers Political Crisis, Putting EU Negotiations at Risk, by Arlind Rama, 1 March 2019
NATO Membership Anchoring Political Risk in Macedonia, by Arlind Rama, 28 December 2018
Tensions in the Balkans Are Rising Ahead of Strategic Paper on EU Enlargement, by Arlind Rama, 19 January 2018
Western Balkans: Still Many Obstacles to EU Accession, by Arlind Rama and Brunello Rosa, 9 January 2018
RESEARCH BY COUNTRY
United States of America
United States of America
United States of America
Mined in North America: Rewiring the Critical Mineral Supply Chain, By Noel Therattil, 8 November 2024
GCC Perspectives the US Presidential Election, By Gulf State Analytics, 1 November 2024
Battleground States: Polls, Trends, and Scenarios in the 2024 Election, By Nathan Ali, 30 October 2024
The AI Race In China And The U.S. Evaluating 2030 Growth Prospects, by Shane Gravel, 15 October 2024
The US Presidential Elections 2024: The Democratic National Convention Re-Opens the Presidential Race, by Marina Tovar i Velasco, 29 August 2024
A Month of Political Shocks in U.S. Elections: Trump’s Nomination, Biden’s Withdrawal And Harris’ Endorsement, by Fernando Prats, 26 July 2024
De-coupling and De-risking: The US-China Relationship in the 21st Century, by Yueh Chen, 13 January 2024
Donald Trump’s Trials: Legal and Political Implications, by Christopher F. Healey, 20 December 2023
The Ousting Of US Speaker Kevin McCarthy: Reasons and Implications, by Lāsma Kokina, 17 October 2023
US Presidential Election: The Influence of Trump and the Strength of the Political Parties, by London Politica, 25 May 2023
US, China, and the Resurgence of Middle East Politics, by Mirko Giordani, 17 May 2023
The AUKUS Alliance and Its Implications For the Indo-Pacific, by London Politica, 19 April 2023
Chinese Balloon in US Airspace: A Diplomatic Crisis and Escalation of US-China Relations?, by London Politica, 23 February 2023
China-Taiwan-US Relations and Their Regional Implications, by Mirko Giordani, 14 February 2022
TRAVEL NOTES - WASHINGTON, DC: Both The Democrats And The Republicans Have Fallen Into ‘The Hemingway Trap’, by John C. Hulsman, 30 November 2021
Both The Democrats And The Republicans Have Fallen Into ‘The Hemingway Trap', by John C. Hulsman, 30 November 2021
The US and Iran Aim to Restore the JCPOA, but Obstacles Remain, by Giorgio Cafiero, 12 May 2021
“Inflation Perspiration:” The Heightened Risk of A Non-Transitory US Inflation, by Peter Cecchini and Brunello Rosa, 17 February 2021
A Brave New World: Why US Equity and Corporate Credit Markets are Overvalued and Overextended, by Peter Cecchini, 18 September 2020
China and the US: The Art of War Versus the Art of the Deal, by Peter Cecchini, 11 June 2020
US-Iran Scenario Analysis: Risk-off Ahead – An Update On The Conflict And Implications For The Global Economy, Policies And Markets, by Nouriel Roubini and Giorgio Cafiero, 8 January 2020
The US-China Phase-1 Trade Deal Is Likely To Be Completed Soon, But the Strategic Rivalry Is Also Likely To Increase Over Time, by Nouriel Roubini, 6 December 2019
Tension Between US and Iran Increases After The Attack On Saudi Arabia’s Oil Facilities, by Giorgio Cafiero, 17 September 2019
US-China Scenarios: A Controlled Escalation Is More Likely Than A Full Deal or A Full-Scale War, by Nouriel Roubini, 14 June 2019
MACRO PICTURE - US Inflation: Several Factors Dampening Structural Upward Pressures, by Francesca Panelli, 13 June 2019
MACRO PICTURE: USA - Iran: Escalating Tensions, With High Risk Of Mis-Calculations, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Giorgio Cafiero, 23 May 2019
MACRO PICTURE: US-China Trade War Risks and Impact on US Inflation, Growth and Fed’s Monetary Policy, by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 16 May 2019
The US Can Temporarily “Decouple” From The Eurozone (If The Shock to EZ is Mild), by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa, 23 April 2019
MACRO PICTURE - EU-US Auto Trade Dispute: Negotiations Before A War, by Alex Waters, Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 2 April 2019
POLICY COMPASS - US 2018 Mid-Terms: An Election That Settled Nothing, by John C. Hulsman, 21 November 2018
TRAVEL NOTES: AMERICAN MID-TERM ELECTIONS: Verdict on the Trump Revolution, by John C. Hulsman, 17 October 2018
MARKET VIEWS: Yield Curve “Near-Inversion” Does Not Imply U.S. Recession, by Brunello Rosa, 13 July 2018
NORTH KOREA – US SUMMIT: A Vague Agreement That Mostly Benefits Kim Jong-Un, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Francisco Quintana, Pablo Gallego Cuervo, 14 June 2018
Impact of Tariffs and Trade Wars on the US Dollar,
by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 15 March 2018
US-China Trade Tensions: Skirmishes or Start of a Broader Trade and Technology War?, by Nouriel Roubini, 2 May 2018
U.S. Tax Cuts: A Most Modest Impact On Economy And Markets, by Nouriel Roubini, 4 December 2017
United Kingdom
United States of America
United States of America
The Conservative Reset: Kemi Badenoch’s Leadership and its Impact on UK Politics, By Klitos Philippides, 13 November 2024
Record Public Spending and Borrowing: Inside the UK’s New Budget Gamble, By Lāsma Kokina, 12 November 2024
Flames of Division: Analysing the 2024 UK Riots, by Sarah Ghotme, 21 August 2024
New Labour or Same Old? UK Post Election Analysis, by Azaria Kidane, 24 July 2024
UK Elections 2024: A Pivotal Moment for the Conservatives Amid Economic Uncertainty, by Lāsma Kokina, 5 June 2024
He Was The Future, Once: The Return of David Cameron to Frontline UK Politics, by London Politica, 28 November 2023
Labour Party Conference: A review of the Labour party conference held in Liverpool from the 8th - 11th of October, by Caleb Adegbola, 9 November 2023
The UK’s Shifting Political Landscape: British Local Elections, Inflation and Its Political Impact, and The ECHR’s Decision, by London Politica, 9 May 2023
The AUKUS Alliance and Its Implications For the Indo-Pacific, by London Politica, 19 April 2023
The UK-EU Windsor Framework: A New Deal for Northern Ireland, by London Politica, 10 March 2023
BREXIT ENDGAME: Given Covid and Biden’s Election, UK and EU to Eventually Land on a Skinny FTA, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 16 November 2020
The UK Shows Initial Signs Of Policy Coordination Against Coronavirus, By Brunello Rosa, 12 March 2020
Getting Ready For The Brexit “Adjustment”,By Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 17 January 2020
UK Election, Brexit and BoE Update: Johnson’s Landslide Victory Opens The Gates To Brexit, by Brunello Rosa, 13 December 2019
BoE To Remain in Wait–And–See Mode Before The General Election, by Brunello Rosa, 1 November 2019
Brexit Negotiations Continue Amid Increasing Uncertainty, by Brunello Rosa, 16 October 2019
Brexit Update: Despite The Constitutional Crisis, Boris Johnson Remains The Most Popular Leader, by Brunello Rosa, 26 September 2019
MACRO PICTURE: UK - Brexit and BoE Update: Brace For Political Turmoil In Coming Months, By Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 12 July 2019
POLICY COMPASS - No-Deal Hard Brexit Is Still A Low-Probability Scenario, by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 18 June 2019
POLICY COMPASS - Brexit Update: Going To The Wires, by Brunello Rosa, 15 March 2019
POLICY COMPASS: UK Brexit Update: Getting to A Deal (One Way or Another), by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 13 February 2019
Travel Notes: In this “Final Rush,” Risks Remain That A Political And Economic Crisis Might Be Needed To Break the Brexit Impasse, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 7 November 2018
TRAVEL NOTES: UK: Post-Brexit Customs Options Mask Deeper Choices, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 6 June 2018
POLICY COMPASS: BREXIT: Transition Deal, Trade Agreements and Risks of a Cliff-Edge into WTO,
by Brunello Rosa, Pablo Gallego Cuervo and Renata Bossini, 28 March 2018
Brexit Vs Grexit: Why Negotiations Will Remain Bumpy, by Brunello Rosa, 8 December 2017
Hard Brexit With Canada-Style FTA Is The Most Likely Outcome, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 27 November 201
China
Germany
Germany
China and Taiwan: When Is the “Redde Rationem” Going To Occur?, By Mirko Giordani, 16 October 2024
The AI Race In China And The U.S. Evaluating 2030 Growth Prospects, by Shane Gravel, 15 October 2024
Travel Notes: China Is at an Economic Crossroad to Avoid the Middle Income Trap, by Nouriel Roubini, 10 April 2024
The Dragon's Descent: Navigating Through China’s Deflation and Economic Challenges, by Elin Roberts, 27 February 2024
De-coupling and De-risking: The US-China Relationship in the 21st Century, by Yueh Chen, 13 January 2024
Can the Israel-Hamas War Benefit China? by Mirko Giordani, 21 November 2023
China’s Deceleration: Navigating China’s Economic Crossroads, by Billy Buddell, 27 September 2023
Key Takeaways from Antony Blinken’s Visit to China, by London Politica, 23 June 2023
The “West” - China Decoupling: The Current State of Affairs , by London Politica, 18 May 2023
US, China, and the Resurgence of Middle East Politics, by Mirko Giordani, 17 May 2023
The Munich Security Conference and Wang Yi’s European Tour: End of An Era and a Revival of Sino-European Relations?, by London Politica, 7 March 2023
A Summary and Analysis of China’s ‘Two Sessions’: The Annual Meeting of China’s National People’s Congress and the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference, by London Politica, 29 March 2023
Chinese Balloon in US Airspace: A Diplomatic Crisis and Escalation of US-China Relations?, by London Politica, 23 February 2023
China-Taiwan-US Relations and Their Regional Implications, by Mirko Giordani, 14 February 2022
The Growth of Sino-Saudi Relations in a More Multipolar World, by Giorgio Cafiero, 8 February 2022
Positive Start Of The Year, With Good News From China And Europe, by Filippo Ramigni, 17 January 2023
A New Covid-19 Wave In China Tests Domestic Healthcare Services And Prompts A Wave Of International Travel Restrictions, by London Politica, 5 January 2023
Xi Jinping To Increase His Grip On the Chinese Communist Party, by London Politica, 12 October 2022
China: Recovery Underway, As Global Liquidity Drives ‘Risk On’ Sentiment, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses, 4 March 2021
China’s BRI to the Test of South-East Asia Developments and Biden’s Presidency, by Mirko Giordani, 30 November 2020
China and the US: The Art of War Versus the Art of the Deal, By Peter Cecchini, 11 June 2020
China: Escalating Cold War With The US, Slow Post-Pandemic Recovery, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Nouriel Roubini, 28 May 2020
The US-China Phase-1 Trade Deal Is Likely To Be Completed Soon, But the Strategic Rivalry Is Also Likely To Increase Over Time, by Nouriel Roubini, 6 December 2019
US-China Scenarios: A Controlled Escalation Is More Likely Than A Full Deal or A Full-Scale War, by Nouriel Roubini, 14 June 2019
MACRO PICTURE: US-China Trade War Risks and Impact on US Inflation, Growth and Fed’s Monetary Policy, by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 16 May 2019
TRAVEL NOTES - CHINA: Growth Is Stabilizing at the Cost of Renewed Financial Imbalances. A Trade Deal May Not Prevent a Medium-Term Cold War Between US and China, by Nouriel Roubini, 7 May 2019
TRAVEL NOTES: CHINA: Preparing for A Potentially Full-Scale Economic and Geopolitical Cold War, by Nouriel Roubini, 20 November 2018
TRAVEL NOTES: CHINA: Reforms and Rebalancing to Remain Gradual, by Nouriel Roubini, 4 June 2018
US-China Trade Tensions: Skirmishes or Start of a Broader Trade and Technology War?, by Nouriel Roubini, 2 May 2018
China: In a Slow Transition, No Hard-landing But a Bumpy Road Ahead, by Francisco Quintana, 30 January 2018
Will Fears From China Cause Another Global Risk-Off Episode?, by Nouriel Roubini, 24 November 2017
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany at a Crossroads: Navigating Economic Stagnation, Energy Dependence, and Global Pressures, by Nato Balavadze, 8 October 2024
The Battle for the East German Landstags: 2024 Elections in Saxony, Thuringia and Brandenburg, By Marina Tovar i Velasco, 28 August 2024
The Meteoric Rise of the Alternative für Deutschland, by Christopher Healey, 28 February 2024
Travel Notes Germany: A Resilient Economy Despite the Technical Recession, With An Increasing International Leadership Role, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 20 June 2023
Scholz’s Private Meeting with Biden: An Effort to Strengthen the Partnership?, by London Politica, 22 March 2023
Olaf Scholz’s Visit to Beijing Risks Dividing The Western Front, by London Politica, 23 November 2022
Thuringia-Gate Has Decisive Consequences For Both Germany And Europe As A Whole, By John Hulsman and Brunello Rosa, 25 February 2020
TRAVEL NOTES: Germany's Economic and Political Uncertainties Are Rising, by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 14 February 2019
TRAVEL NOTES - GERMANY: A Succession Drama at a Time of Economic Weakness, by Rémi Bourgeot, 4 December 2018
TRAVEL NOTES: GERMANY – 2: Germany Remains Cautious on Further Eurozone Integration, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 5 June 2018
TRAVEL NOTES: GERMANY: An Economic Powerhouse Trying to Revive the Political Centre Ground,
by Remi Bourgeot and Brunello Rosa, 23 May 2018
German Election: Reduced Window For Deeper EZ Integration, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 25 September 2017
Italy
Turkey
Turkey
Travel Notes: Italy is Happily Out of the Radar Screen, But Remains Vulnerable to Shocks, By Brunello Rosa, 22 October 2024
Italy Travel Notes: Navigating Between Macroeconomic Resilience and Geopolitical Tensions, by Brunello Rosa, 22 February 2023
Travel Notes: Meloni’s Prudent Approach Keeps Italy Out Of The Radar Screen, by Brunello Rosa, 2 December 2022
Travel Notes: Italy All Eyes on The Upcoming Presidential Election, by Brunello Rosa, 5 January 2022
Macro Picture: With The Far-Right Victory, Italy is About To Do Yet Another Political Experiment, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 23 September 2022
Travel Notes: Italy All Eyes on The Upcoming Presidential Election, by Brunello Rosa, 5 January 2022
An Absurd Government Crisis Takes Centre Stage In Italy, by Brunello Rosa, 14 January 2021
Flash Review: Italian Regional Elections and Referendum End Up Stabilising The Government, by Brunello Rosa, 22 September 2020
Italian Regional Elections and Referendum Pose a Threat to The Government, by Brunello Rosa, 14 September 2020
Flash Review: Regional Elections Give a Breather To The Italian Government, By Brunello Rosa, 27 January 2020
Regional Elections To Send Shock Waves Through Italy’s Political System, By Brunello Rosa, 22 January 2020
ITALY UPDATE Upcoming Budget To Test The Solidity Of The M5S-PD Majority, by Brunello Rosa, 4 October 2019
ITALY: Conte Tries To Forge A Five Star – PD Alliance - An Initially Fragile Government Is Emerging, by Brunello Rosa, 29 August 2019
Government Crisis Update: A Chaotic Crisis Plunges Italy Into Deep Political Uncertainty, by Brunello Rosa, 21 August 2019
Flash Update: Salvini Pulls The Plug On Conte’s Government and Seeks “Full Powers” With Early Election, by Brunello Rosa, 9 August 2019
MACRO PICTURE - Italy Update: Preparing For Fiscal Battles With The EU, Amid Domestic Political Turmoil, by Brunello Rosa, 19 June 2019
MACRO PICTURE -Italy Update: The Economic Recession Worsens The Political Landscape (And Vice-Versa), by Brunello Rosa, 11 March 2019
TRAVEL NOTES - ITALY: Risks Re-Emerging After The Truce, by Brunello Rosa, 15 February 2019
TRAVEL NOTES - ITALY: Partially Caving In, Given Market and European Pressures, by Brunello Rosa, 5 December 2018
SCENARIO ANALYSIS: ITALY: Walking a Dangerous Line, by Brunello Rosa, 5 October 2018
POLICY COMPASS: ITALY: Italy’s “Populist” Budget Defies the EU, Markets And Rating Agencies, by Brunello Rosa, 28 September 2018
TRAVEL NOTES: ITALY: Focus on Italy’s First ‘Populist’ Budget, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 17 September 2018
Bond Vigilantes Constrain The Populist Italian Coalition But Credibly Squaring The Budget Circle Will Be Challenging, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 10 September 2018
TRAVEL NOTES: ITALY: New Government to Be Initially Only Modestly Confrontational with Europe, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 20 June 2018
Bullet Points on Italy Travel Notes: New Government to Be Initially Only Modestly Confrontational with Europe, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 11 June 2018
Italy: Political Crisis Intensifies and Becomes Institutional, by Brunello Rosa, 29 May 2018
TRAVEL NOTES: ITALY; Short-Term Resilience, Long-Term Fragility, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 24 April 2018
Italian Elections 2018: A Radical Political Regime Change, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 5 March 2018
POLICY COMPASS: Italian Elections: Uncertainty and Complacency Abound, by Brunello Rosa, 6 February 2018
TRAVEL NOTES: ITALY; Lower Cyclical Risks, Continued Structural Fragility, by Brunello Rosa, 5 September 2017
Turkey
Turkey
Turkey
Turkish Local Elections: A Direct Knock To Erdogan’s Power, by Elin Roberts, 23 April 2024
Erdogan’s Next Term: Unpacking Turkey’s Elections and the Future of Turkish Politics, by London Politica, 31 May 2023
Looming Instability for Turkish Politics: An Explainer on the Upcoming Turkish Elections, by London Politica, 27 April 2023
Geopolitical Tension Mounting In The Mediterranean Sea, By Marco Lucchin, 9 June 2020
TRAVEL NOTES - TURKEY: In A Crisis-Prone Environment, There Are Signs Of Normalization, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Farah Aladsani, 29 August 2019
TURKEY: Economic Stabilization After The March Local Elections, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, 11 January 2019
POLICY COMPASS: TURKEY: Unconventional Policy Options Undertaken by Turkey Are Unlikely to Succeed, by Nouriel Roubini, 23 August 2018
by Ousmène Jacques Mandeng, 22 August 2018
MACRO PICTURE: TURKEY: The Risk of a Full-Blown Crisis May Rapidly Become the Baseline, by Nouriel Roubini, 14 August 2018
Turkish Lira Tumbles, Contagion Risks Rise,
by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Francisco Quintana and Pablo Gallego Cuervo, 13 August 2018
TRAVEL NOTES: TURKEY: The Risk of a Full-Blown Balance of Payments Crisis Is Rising, by Nouriel Roubini, 9 August 2018
MACRO PICTURE: TURKEY: Volatility Until the Elections, Slow Normalization Thereafter, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Pablo Gallego Cuervo, 1 June 2018
TRAVEL NOTES: TURKEY: Muddling Through Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Challenges,
by Remi Bourgeot. 7 February 2018
Turkey’s Attacks In Afrin Will Be Small-Scale And Unlikely To Move Markets, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Pablo Gallego Cuervo, 22 January 2018
Spain
Canada
Canada
Spanish Elections: Channelling Demands: Pedro Sánchez coalition-building pacts secures a new four-year mandate while bringing discontent and criticisms, by Marina Tovar I Velasco, 22 November 2023
Snap Elections in Spain: Commentary, Analysis, and Implications, by Ruy Scalamandré, 1 August 2023
Spanish Elections: Uncertainty and Polarization - Analysing Spanish Politics After The Regional And Local Elections, by London Politica, 7 June 2023
Searching The Lost Political Stability: Spain’s Fourth General Election In Four Years, by Luca Bandello and Brunello Rosa, 8 November 2019
MACRO PICTURE - Spain: Steady Economic Growth Threatened By Political Uncertainty, by Lapo Fioretti and Brunello Rosa, 3 April 2019
Tensions Over Catalonia To Remain Elevated For Some Time Yet, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 16 November 2017
Catalonia Tensions Set To Remain High For Some Time, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 31 October 2017
Canada
Canada
Canada
Resilient Economy And Expected Easier Fiscal Stance Give BoC Time To Weigh Its Options, by Brunello Rosa and Joseph Shupac, 25 October 2019
Canada: Strong Cyclical Growth But Structural Challenges Lie Ahead,by Joseph Shupac and Brunello Rosa 11 January 2018
France
France
France
France on Edge: Can Barnier’s Government Survive the Political Gridlock?, by Lāsma Kokina, 10 October 2024
French Elections 2024: Macron's Snap Elections and the Path to Political Uncertainty, by Lāsma Kokina, 16 July 2024
Macron’s Electoral Gamble Could Cost Dearly to France and Europe, But Market Discipline May Eventually Be The Strongest Guardrail To A Le Pen Presidency, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 21 June 2024
Macron Revolutionises and Rejuvenates The Government Ahead of the European Elections, by Brunello Rosa and Shahed Hassanaly, 17 January 2024
Travel Notes - France: Raising The Red Flag For A Possible Victory By Le Pen in 2027, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 19 December 2022
TRAVEL NOTES - France: Getting Ready For The Presidential Race, by Brunello Rosa, 26 November 2021
TRAVEL NOTES: FRANCE - Macron Mixes Reforms And “Populist” Approach, By Brunello Rosa, 14 February 2020
TRAVEL NOTES – FRANCE: Macron’s Push For French and European Reform Remains, But Will Be Constrained, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 9 July 2019
MACRO PICTURE - FRANCE: The Social Crisis Lingers, While European Alliances Are Being Questioned, by Rémi Bourgeot, 9 May 2019
TRAVEL NOTES - FRANCE: Social Tensions Upend French and Eurozone Politics, by Rémi Bourgeot, 19 December 2018
TRAVEL NOTES - FRANCE: Europe’s (Temporary) Bright Spot, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 4 July 2018
TRAVEL NOTES: Will Macron Succeed in Reforming France?, by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 3 January 2018
Japan
France
France
Shigeru Ishiba to Lead Japan: Japan’s Liberal Democratic Party Elects A New Prime Minister, by Azaria Kidane, 2 October 2024
The Evolving Dimensions of Japan’s Indo-Pacific Strategy, by Mirko Giordani, 13 April 2023
POLICY COMPASS - Japan Election Update: Risk of Double Election Remains Despite Abe’s Dismissal, by Alex Waters, 27 June 2019
POLICY COMPASS - JAPAN: Monetary and Fiscal Easing Space Is Available In A Downside Scenario, by Nouriel Roubini, 10 April 2019
POLICY COMPASS: Japan A General Election In July Is A Risk
in A Politically Hectic 2019, by Alex Waters, 12 March 2019
RESEARCH BY THEME
Global Markets
Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets
The Complicated Post-Inflation Environment For Markets And Central Banks, by Filippo Ramigni, 16 May 2023
The Fed Between Expected Recession And Banking Crisis, by Filippo Ramigni, 2 May 2023
Market Expectations vs Fed Reality, by Filippo Ramigni, 18 April 2023
OPEC’s Oil Production Cut Further Complicates Central Banks’ Job, by Filippo Ramigni, 4 April 2023
Banking Crisis Amplified Fed’s Dilemma, by Filippo Ramigni, 21 March 2023
To Be Or Not To Be (In a Recession)? That Is The Question, by Filippo Ramigni, 7 March 2023
When The Going Gets Tough, The Tough Get Going, by Filippo Ramigni, 21 February 2023
The Strange Case of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Powell, by Filippo Ramigni, 7 February 2023
Top 3 Overlooked Political Risks For 2023, by London Politica, 25 January 2023
An Outlook On 2023’s Key Elections: What We Know So Far On This Year’s Most Significant Elections, by London Politica, 20 January 2023
The Age of Megathreats, by Nouriel Roubini, 4 January 2023
Investors Hope For An “Ordinary” 2023, by Filippo Ramigni, 30 December 2022
Global Outlook 2023: A Year Of Stagflation, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 23 December 2022
Central Bank Communications Drives Markets Down, by Filippo Ramigni, 20 December 2022
Showdown for Central Banks, by Filippo Ramigni, 13 December 2022
The Coming Mother Of All Stagflationary Debt Crises, by Nouriel Roubini, 7 December 2022
Wishing For a Dove Over The Fed’s Christmas Tree, by Filippo Ramigni, 6 December 2022
G20: Takeaways From a Crisis-Ridden Summit, by London Politica, 30 November 2022
Markets Dream Jerome Powell Acting as Santa Claus, by Filippo Ramigni, 29 November 2022
Central Banks To Remain Focused on Their Tightening Cycles, In Spite of Inflation Peaking, by Filippo Ramigni, 22 November 2022
Tech Stocks Correct After Reaching “Maturity” Stage, by Filippo Ramigni, 15 November 2022
The Revenge Of The “Old Economy”, by Filippo Ramigni, 8 November 2022
The “New Space” Economy: A Politically Turbulent Ride Towards A Lucrative Horizon, by London Politica, 26 October 2022
Central Banks Try To Chase Inflation Without Sinking The Real Economy , by Filippo Ramigni, 25 October 2022
The Bumpy Road Out of QE for the US, the UK and The World Economy, by Filippo Ramigni, 18 October 2022
The “Wind Of Change” Leaves Investors Puzzled, by Filippo Ramigni, 11 October 2022
As the Fed Tightens Monetary Policy, It Needs to Balance Price Stability and Financial Stability, by Filippo Ramigni, 4 October 2022
Market Views: “King” Dollar Dominates Market Dynamics, by Filippo Ramigni, 27 September 2022
Market Views: Federal Reserve and Bank of England in Focus This Week, by Filippo Ramigni, 20 September 2022
ECB’s Tough Stance On Inflation May Have Arrived Too Late , by Filippo Ramigni, 13 September 2022
Market Views: The German Crisis Epitomises The Economic Impact of the New World Order, by Filippo Ramigni, 9 September 2022
Fed’s Reality Check Will Be In Autumn, by Filippo Ramigni, 9 August 2022
Deep Dive Into The Near-Term Future: What Lies Ahead For Global Geopolitics, Macroeconomy, Policy And Financial Markets, by Brunello Rosa, 21 June 2022
Is There An Optimal Policy Mix To Get The Global Economy Out Of The Current Difficult Conjuncture?, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 28 March 2022
Q4-2021 STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Economic Recovery On Track, But Volatility Rises, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses, 1 October 2021
2021-22 Oil Outlook: Supply Increases, As Global Demand Improves, by Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, Karmen Meneses and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, 26 August 2021
The Future Of Banking: Amid Brisk Evolution, Banks Will Endure Disruption, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses, 29 July 2021
GLOBAL OUTLOOK UPDATE - MARKET VIEWS - Q3-2021 STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION, Economic Recovery And Policy Stimuli To Support Valuations, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 30 June 2021
Market Review And Outlook: Vaccine Rollouts And Abundant Liquidity To Support Market Performance, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses, 21 May 2021
2021-22: Oil Prices To Recover, As Global Demand Improves, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 5 May 2021
GLOBAL OUTLOOK UPDATE - MARKET VIEWS - Q2-2021 STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION:Growth And Liquidity To Support Markets, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 1 April 2021
GLOBAL OUTLOOK AND STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION FOR 2021: A Volatile Macroeconomic And Geopolitical Year Ahead, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, 23 December 2020
MARKET REVIEW AND OUTLOOK: Fiscal And Monetary Policies To Support Market Performance, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 2 December 2020
MARKET VIEWS: Is There HOPE for US Commercial Real Estate?, by Peter Cecchini, 25 November 2020
2020-21: Oil Prices To Remain Subdued, As COVID-19 Keeps Hampering Global Growth, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses, 22 October 2020
ASSET ALLOCATION: Volatility To Create Opportunities in Q4, While Investors Keep Focus On Long Term, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 1 October 2020
A Brave New World: Why US Equity and Corporate Credit Markets are Overvalued and Overextended, by Peter Cecchini, 18 September 2020
Market Review & Outlook: Stagflation Risks And Stimuli To Continue Support Investor Confidence, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, Farah Aladsani, 26 August 2020
Fiscal Policy And Sentiment Support Toppish Equity and Credit Markets, by Peter Checchini, 30 July 2020
The Future Of Banking: Consolidated, Local and Digital, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Farah Aladsani and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 24 July 2020
National Developments in the Pandemic’s Boost in Global Cyber-Wars (Part 2) , by Marco Lucchin, 21 July 2020
How The Global Pandemic Is Boosting Global Cyber-Wars (Part 1), by Marco Lucchin, 9 July 2020
An Aura of Treasure: Gold as a Store of Dollar Value, by Peter Cecchini, 8 July 2020
Outlook Update - PART 5: Ride the Liquidity Wave with Caution, as Risks Are Tilted to the Downside, By Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, Farah Aladsani, 1 July 2020
Where Helicopters Dare - An Initial Assessment Of The Unconventional Policies Adopted by The World’s Major Economies, By Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 25 June 2020
“Something’s Gotta Give” : US Risk-Asset Valuations Are Misaligned with Reality, By Peter Cecchini, 24 June 2020
Oil Outlook 2020-21: Prices Expected To Stabilize, With The OPEC+ Deal Unlikely To Make Up For The Collapse In Global Demand, By Nouriel Roubini, Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Brunello Rosa, Marco Lucchin, 15 May 2020
GLOBAL OUTLOOK UPDATE – PART 4 - Q2-2020 STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Focus On The Long-Term, Find Opportunities In The Crisis, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Nouriel Roubini, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, Farah Aladsani, 27 April 2020
Is a U-Shaped “Greater Recession” Consistent With a V-Shaped Equity Market Recovery?, By Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 16 April 2020
Global Outlook Update - PART 3 – Market Outlook – COVID-19 To Depress Valuations Until Pandemic Solution Is In Sight, By Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 26 March 2020
Global Outlook Update – PART 2 – Policy Response To COVID-19: Governments and Central Banks Moving Rapidly Towards Policy Coordination To Speed Up “Helicopter Drop”, By Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 20 March 2020
GLOBAL OUTLOOK 2020 UPDATE – PART 1: COVID-19 Leads To A Global Recession With Severe Bear Market and Debt Crises, By Nouriel Roubini, Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Brunello Rosa, 16 March 2020
Argentina: The Road Ahead For The Debt-Restructuring Negotiations, By Nouriel Roubini and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, 18 February 2020
Global Economic Outlook and Strategic Asset Allocation For 2020 - Despite The Improved Outlook, Beware of The Cracks, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa, and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, 16 December 2019
Six ‘Grey Swan’ Events Could Hit The Global Economy And Markets In 202o, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi and Farah Aladsani, 28 November 2019
The Pros and Cons of Monetised Fiscal Deficits to Fight the Next Economic Slump, by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 13 November 2019
Oil Outlook In 2020-21: In Absence Of Supply Shocks, Faltering Global Demand Will Dampen Oil Prices, By Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi and Farah Aladsani, 23 October 2019
Russia and The EU: The Geo-Strategic Implications of The Nord Stream-2 Gas Pipeline, By Paul Martin, 15 October 2019
Q4-2019 STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: Focusing On Capital Preservation, While Limiting The Risk-Taking To Fixed-Income, By Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, Farah Aladsani, 3 October 2019
Negative Supply Shocks and Optimal Monetary Policy Response, How Central Banks Should Respond To The Ongoing US-China Trade and Tech War and Potential US-Iran Oil War, by Nouriel Roubini, 20 August 2019
Income And Wealth Inequality Continues To Weigh On Global Growth, by Francesca Panelli, 16 August 2019
G10 Central Banks Preparing For Their Easing Moves, By Brunello Rosa, 4 July 2019
MARKET VIEWS: Exploiting The Tactical Risk-On In The Liquid Space, While Keeping Focus On Capital Preservation, By Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi and Farah Aladsani, 1 July 2019
Fasten Your Seatbelts: Financial Markets’ Review and Outlook, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, Farah Aladsani, 14 June 2019
STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION And MARKET UPDATE: Maintain A Defensive Risk Profile, Focus On Capital Preservation, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, 29 March 2019
MARKET VIEWS: A “Fed Collar” Is Likely To Support The Markets In H1-2019, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, 27 February 2019
The Future of Banking: Small is the New Big, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Mert Yildiz, 24 January 2019
Global Outlook & Strategic Asset Allocation For 2019: Skating On Thinner Ice, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, 18 December 2018
MARKET VIEWS - Markets Buffeted By Tailwinds and Headwinds At Year-End, by Alex Waters, 7 December 2018
MARKET VIEWS - Oil Outlook 2019-20: Oil Prices’ Gradual Decline To Support Global Growth, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Francisco Quintana, 26 November 2018
MARKET VIEWS: Hedging The Risk of A Potential Emerging Markets Crisis, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Pablo Gallego Cuervo and Francisco Quintana, 2 November 2018
MARKET VIEWS: A Healthy and Expected Market Sell-Off, by Brunello Rosa, 15 October 2018
The Journey To the Next Recession and Financial Crisis in 2020 Has Already Begun, by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 9 October 2018
STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION And MARKET UPDATE: Emerging Markets Under Pressure: The Divergence Between The U.S. And Other Countries Is Still Increasing, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Francisco Quintana, 27 September 2018
STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION AND MARKET UPDATE: Rising Risks in Emerging Markets From Decline in Global Liquidity,by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi Francisco Quintana, 26 June 2018
MARKET VIEWS: Oil Prices in 2018-20: Unlikely To Hamper Global Growth Likely To Support Oil-Related Assets,by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Francisco Quintana, 3 May 2018
STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION And MARKET UPDATE: Cautious Risk Exposure With Defensive Positioning,by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Francisco Quintana, 29 March 2018
Monetary Policy in the Medium Term: Tighter Stance, Expanded Toolkit,by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Francisco Quintana, 23 February 2018
MARKET VIEWS: Volatility and Inflation Fears Likely to Continue Weighing on Markets,by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 14 February 2018
STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION 2018: Moderate Risk-Taking Within A Defensive Positioning,by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, 22 December 2017
2018 Global Economic Outlook: Smooth Sailing for Now, With Headwind Risks Rising, by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 21 December 2017
Will Fears From China Cause Another Global Risk-Off Episode?, by Nouriel Roubini, 24 November 2017
Are Inflation-Targeting Central Banks Moving The Goal Posts?, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 8 November 2017
THE MYSTERY OF THE MISSING INFLATION, by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 9 October 2017
Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets
De-Dollarisation and New Global Supply Chains: An Assessment, by Mirko Giordani, 16 February 2022
Democracy Eroding Fast in South East Asia, by Mirko Giordani, 8 April 2021
Emerging Markets Outlook: Economic Recovery In H2-2021, Liquidity To Support Financial Markets, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 28 January 2021
RCEP Shows Globalisation Is still Alive, by Mirko Giordani, 13 January 2021
China’s BRI to the Test of South-East Asia Developments and Biden’s Presidency, by Mirko Giordani, 30 November 2020
MACRO PICTURE – The Impact Of Trade Tensions, Easier Monetary Policy and FinTech On Small Open Economies: A Theoretical Framework, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Farah Aladsani and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 24 July 2019
MARKET VIEWS - EM Currencies: The Fed’s Pause Provides Short-Term Support, by Rémi Bourgeot, 13 March 2019
MARKET VIEWS: Hedging The Risk of A Potential Emerging Markets Crisis, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, Pablo Gallego Cuervo and Francisco Quintana, 2 November 2018
STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION And MARKET UPDATE: Emerging Markets Under Pressure: The Divergence Between The U.S. And Other Countries Is Still Increasing, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Francisco Quintana, 27 September 2018
MARKET VIEWS: EM Global Tremors: Central Banks’ Different Strategies to Defend Their Currencies,
by Remi Bourgeot, 4 September 2018
MACRO PICTURE: Emerging Markets Outlook: Rising Risks, Fragility Ahead, by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi and Francisco Quintana, 24 July 2018
STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION AND MARKET UPDATE: Rising Risks in Emerging Markets From Decline in Global Liquidity,by Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi Francisco Quintana, 26 June 2018
EM FX: Still Pressured, But More Resilient To Normalisation, by Remi Bourgeot, 6 December 2017
Federal Reserve
European Central Bank
European Central Bank
Review: The Fed Cut Rates In November, As the Market Awaits Trump, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 8 November 2024
Preview: Fed To Cut Rates by 25bps After The Presidential Election
by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 4 November 2024
Review: The Fed Starts Easing Cycle With 50bps Rate Cut, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 18 September 2024
Preview: Fed To Begin Its Easing Cycle In September, With a 25bps Rate Cut But It is a Close Call on 50bps, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 16 September 2024
Review: The Fed Remains on Hold in July, But Signals a Likely Cut in September, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 31 July 2024
Preview: Fed To Keep Rates on Hold in July, While Signaling Readiness For A September Cut, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 29 July 2024
Fed Review: FOMC on Hold, With Dot-Plot Showing Only One Rate Cut in 2024 (But 4 in 2025), by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 12 June 2024
Preview: Fed Continues To be On Hold, As The Economy Remains Strong, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 11 June 2024
FOMC Review: The Fed Pushes Back The Timing Of The First Rate Cut, But Confirms Its Easing Bias And Signals That Rate Hikes Are Unlikely, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze. 2 May 2024
Preview: Fed To Keep Rates on Hold and Push Back The Beginning Of The Easing Cycle, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 30 April 2024
Review: The Fed Upgrades Its Forecasts, But Still Sees 3 Rate Cuts in 2024, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 20 March 2024
Preview: Fed To Confirm A Delay in The Beginning of The Easing Cycle, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 19 March 2024
Flash Review: The Fed Eliminates the Hiking Bias But Pushes Back Against A Rate Cut In March, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 31 January 2024
Preview: Fed to Start Preparing The Ground For Rate Cuts, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 29 January 2024
Flash Review: The Fed Keeps Rates on Hold, But SEP signals Three cuts in 2024, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 13 December 2023
Preview: Fed to Stay on Hold, “High For Longer” May Be Less Long , by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 12 December 2023
Preview: “High For Longer” Is More Likely Than “Higher For Longer”, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 30 October 2023
Flash Review: The Fed “Skips” September, But Still Signals Another Hike in 2023, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 20 September 2023
Preview: Fed To Skip The September Hike, But May Hike Again This Year, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 19 September 2023
Flash Review: The Fed Hikes Rates in July And Will Decide About Future Moves At Each Meeting, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 26 July 2023
Preview: Fed To Hike in July But Not Decided If That Is The Last Hike, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 24 July 2023
Flash Review: The Fed “Skips” June, But Signals Two More Hikes To Come in 2023, With July Becoming a “Live” Meeting, By Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 14 June 2023
Preview: Fed To Deliver a Hawkish Pause in June , by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 12 June 2023
Review: The Fed Hikes Rates by 25bps And Signals The Beginning of A Pause, While Retaining a Hawkish Bias, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 3 May 2023
Preview: Fed To Increase Rates by 25bps in May and Signal a Hawkish Pause, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 1 May 2023
Review: The Fed Increases Rates, Signals Further Tightening Ahead and Dismisses Rate Cuts In 2023, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 22 March 2023
Preview: Fed Likely To Increase Rates by 25bps, In Spite of Financial Stability Risks, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 20 March 2023
Flash Review: Fed’s Powell Talks Tough But The Market Rallies, As It Sees The End of The Tightening Cycle In Sight, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 1 February 2023
Preview: Fed To Further Reduce Its Pace of Tightening in February but Signal Further Rate Hikes, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 30 January 2023
Flash Review: Fed Reduces The Pace of Rate Hikes, But Policy Is Yet “Not Restrictive Enough”, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 14 December 2022
Preview: Fed To Slow Down The Pace Of Rate Hikes But To Signal A Higher Peak, Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 12 December 2022
After Jumbo Hike, The Fed Signals A Higher Terminal Rate In Spite of A Slower Pace of Tightening, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 2 November 2022
Fed To Continue With Another Jumbo Hike While Signaling a Slowdown in the Pace of Rate Hikes, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 1 November 2022
Flash Review: Fed Raises Rates by 75bps, But Announces Slower Hiking Pace Ahead, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 21 September 2022
Flash Preview: Fed To Increase Rates by 75bps Also in September, But To Slow Down Rate Hikes for the Rest of 2022, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 20 September 2022
Flash Review: Fed Hikes Fed Funds by 75bps, But Ongoing Rate Increases Will be Data Dependent, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 27 July 2022
Preview: For Now The Fed to Continue Its Policy Tightening Undeterred by The Weakening Economy, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 25 July 2022
Flash Review: Fed Front-Loads Its Tightening Cycle With A 75bps Hike in June, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 15 June 2022
Flash Preview Change: Fed To Increase Rates by 75bps in June and July, by Nouriel Roubini, 14 June 2022
Flash Preview: FOMC to Increase Rates by 50bps In June and to Continue Hiking Rapidly Through Year End, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 13 June 2022
Flash Review: Federal Reserve Raises Rates, Begins QT, And Signals More Tightening Ahead, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 4 May 2022
Fed Preview: FOMC To Increase Rates by 50bps And Start QT In May, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 2 May 2022
Flash Review: Fed Raises Rates and Announces Imminent Beginning of QT, by Brunello Rosa, 16 March 2022
Flash Preview: US Fed To Begin Its Policy Rate Normalization Plan, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 14 March 2022
Flash Review: Fed Confirms First Hike in March and Mulls Balance Sheet Run-off, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 27 January 2022
Major G10 Central Banks Turn Hawkish As Inflation Rises and Omicron Spreads, by Brunello Rosa, 17 December 2021
Flash Review: Fed Gives Advance Notice of The Beginning of Tapering, Possibly As Early As In November, by Brunello Rosa, 22 September 2021
Flash Review: The Fed Acknowledges “Progress” Toward Meeting Its Goals, by Brunello Rosa, 28 July 2021
Flash Preview: Federal Reserve No Tapering Hints Yet, by Nouriel Roubini and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, 26 July 2021
Flash Preview – US Federal Reserve: Too Early to Think About Tapering, Changing First Hike Timing and Declaring Victory on AIT, by Nouriel Roubini and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 14 June 2021
Flash Review: Federal Reserve Keeps Stance Unchanged, But Signals Earlier Potential Rate Liftoff, by Brunello Rosa, 16 June 2021
Flash Review: Federal Reserve No Time Yet To Think About Tapering, by Brunello Rosa, 28 April 2021
Flash Preview: US Federal Reserve - Strong Economic Expansion Ahead, But No Tapering Talk Yet, by Nouriel Roubini and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, 26 April 2021
Flash Review: The Fed Defies Rising Yields by Pledging to Remain Highly Accommodative, by Brunello Rosa, 17 March 2021
Flash Preview: US Federal Reserve To Pledge Continued Accommodation To Push Back Against Inflation and Tantrum Scares and Excessively Rapid Rise In Yields, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, 15 March 2021
Flash Review: Federal Reserve Remains On Hold While Sounding Cautiously Upbeat, by Brunello Rosa, 27 January 2021
Preview: FOMC Looking Through the Soft Patch, by Nouriel Roubini and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, 25 January 2021
Flash Review: Fed Introduces Outcome-Based Forward Guidance on Asset Purchases, by Brunello Rosa, 16 December 2020
Flash Preview: Fed to Stay Mostly On Hold While Ready for Additional Steps on QE, by Nouriel Roubini and Fawaz Al Mughrabi, 14 December 2020
Flash Review: Fed Remains On Hold And Prepared To Add Stimulus If Needed, by Brunello Rosa, 5 November 2020
Preview: Federal Reserve's FOMC On Hold For Now, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 2 November 2020
Reviews: Fed, BoJ and BoE Leave Policy Stance Unchanged, But Add Important Twists To Language, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses , 17 September 2020
Flash Preview: US Federal Reserve Gradually Transitioning to a New Regime, by Nouriel Roubini and Farah Aladsani, 14 September 2020
Fed’s Strategy Review: Implications For Fed’s Policies and for the Other G10 Central Banks’ Policy Targets, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 28 August 2020
Fed’s QE Infinity Suppresses Rates Volatility, But May Not Revitalise The Economy And Inflation, by Peter Cecchini, 18 August 2020
Flash Review: Federal Reserve Stays Put And Links The Path of Economic Recovery To The Course Of Covid-19, by Brunello Rosa, 29 July 2020
Preview: FOMC on Hold While Concluding Its Strategic Review, by Nouriel Roubini and Farah Aladsani, 27 July 2020
Flash Review: Fed To Keep Its Current Pace of QE, While Mulling YCC, By Brunello Rosa, 10 June 2020
Flash Preview: FOMC To Stay on Hold While Mulling Next Steps of Unconventional Policies, By Nouriel Roubini and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 08 June 2020
Flash Review: Fed Believes Current Stance is “Appropriate”, But It’s Ready To Do More, By Brunello Rosa, 29 April 2020
Flash Preview: Fed To Maintain Its Very Easy Monetary and Credit Stance And Stand Ready To Do More, By Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 27 April 2020
Flash Review: Fed and Other Central Bank Easing Doesn’t Stop Market Rout, By Brunello Rosa, 16 March 2020
Flash Review: Fed’s Policy Stance Remains “Appropriate,” With A Dovish Touch, By Brunello Rosa, 29 January 2020
Flash Preview: Fed to Remain on Hold in January, By Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, 27 January 2020
Flash Review: Dovish Fed Pledges To Stay On Hold During 2020 Electoral Year, by Brunello Rosa, 12 December 2019
Fed Preview: Managing The Pause, by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 9 December 2019
Fed’s Policy Into 2020-21: Lower For Longer?, by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 15 November 2019
Review: Fed Cuts Rates And Signals A Pause, by Brunello Rosa, 30 October 2019
Fed Preview: A 25-bps Rate Cut, And a Likely Pause After, by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 28 October 2019
Fed Review: A Divided FOMC Cuts Rates, But Is Less Dovish Than Markets Expected, by Brunello Rosa, 18 September 2019
FED PREVIEW: A 25bps Cut In September, With the Door Open to More Cuts Later On, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Francesca Panelli, 16 September 2019
Fed Review: Fed Unwillingly Delivers A Relatively Hawkish Rate Cut, by Brunello Rosa, 31 July 2019
Preview: Fed to Cut Rates by 25bps in July and Signal Another 25bps Cut In September, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters, 29 July 2019
REVIEW: Fed Moves To Easing Bias As It Stands Ready To Cut Rates In H2, by Brunello Rosa, 19 June 2019
FED PREVIEW: Fed To Stay On Hold But Leave Wide Open the Option of Forthcoming Rate Cuts, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters, 17 June 2019
Review: Fed Remains Patiently Dovish, But No Rate Cuts In Sight, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 1 May 2019
Preview: Fed Still Patient, With Rate Cuts Considered Only If Outlook Worsens, by Nouriel Roubini and Alex Water, 29 April 2019
DISTRUPTIVE IDEAS - Changes In The Fed’s Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools And Communication Policy: Likely Move To Flexible Average Inflation Targeting, by Nouriel Roubini, 25 March 2019
Review: Fed Delivers Another Dovish Surprise, by Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters, 20 MArch 2019
Fed Preview: Extended Pause Highly Likely and Treasuries Runoff to End This Year, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters, 14 March 2019
REVIEW: The Fed Takes A Sharp Break In the Hiking Cycle and Moves to a Strongly Dovish Stance, by Brunello Rosa 30 January 2019
FED PREVIEW: Opening The Door To A Pause In The Hiking Cycle, by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa, 25 January 2019
Review: Fed Reduces Expected Number of Rate Hikes in 2019, by Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters, 19 December 2018
PREVIEW: Fed to Signal Slower Pace of Policy Normalization, by B. Rosa, A. Waters and Nouriel Roubini, 17 December 2018
REVIEW: Fed Hikes Rates and Drops “Accommodative” Stance, by Brunello Rosa, 27 September 2018
PREVIEW: Fed Continues to Normalize At a Steady Pace, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 24 September 2018
REVIEW: Fed Delivers A Hawkish Hike, by Brunello Rosa, 13 June 2018
PREVIEW: FED: Hike in June Done Deal, Four Hikes in 2018 Not Yet, by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 11 June 2018
REVIEW: Fed Delivers A Relatively Hawkish Hike,
by Brunello Rosa, 22 March 2018
PREVIEW: FED: A “Relatively Hawkish” Hike, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 19 March 2018
Q&A on FOMC Composition and Fed’s Policy Regime,
by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 13 February 2018
PREVIEW: FED: On Hold in January, Door Open in March, by Brunello Rosa, 26 January 2018
REVIEW: FED: Another Dovish Hike, Caution Ahead,
by Brunello Rosa, 13 December 2017
PREVIEW: FED: Cautious Tightening After The December Hike, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 11 December 2017
The Choice of the New Fed Chair, by Nouriel Roubini, 30 October 2017
REVIEW: FED: Dovish Tightening, Hawkish Signals,
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 20 September 2017
PREVIEW: FED: ‘Relatively Dovish’ Tightening Set To Continue, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 15 September 2017
European Central Bank
European Central Bank
European Central Bank
Review: ECB Cut Rates, As It “Starts Breaking the Neck of Inflation”, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 17 October 2024
Preview: ECB To Cut Rates in October and Possibly Back-to-Back Until March, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 11 October 2024
Review: ECB Cut Rates As Expected, And Keep The Door Open For Future Moves, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 12 September 2024
Preview: ECB To Cut The Deposit Rate by 25bps In September, And To Stick To Quarterly Easing, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze,10 September 2024
Review: ECB Keeps Rates on Hold In July, But the Door “Wide Open” for A September Cut, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 18 July 2024
Preview: ECB to Stay on Hold in July, While Preparing For a “Live” Meeting in September, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 15 July 2024
Review: ECB Cut Rates, But Doesn’t Commit To Any Pre-Determined Easing Path, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 6 June 2024
Preview: ECB To Begin Its Easing Cycle in June. The “Battle for July” Continues. by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 31 May 2024
Review: ECB Signals Its First Rate Cut in June, But Doesn’t Pre-Commit On The Easing Pace, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 11 April 2024
Preview: ECB To Remain on Hold in April, With The Discussion on A Cut Also in July Already Begun, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 8 April 2024
Review: The ECB Keeps Policy Unchanged But Signals June As Time For First Rate Cut, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 7 March 2024
Preview: ECB To Buy Time Before Cutting Rates, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 4 March 2024
Review: ECB Tries To Push Back Expected Time of First Rate Cut To The Summer, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 25 January 2024
Preview: ECB to Push Back Against Market Expectation of Early Rate Cuts, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 23 January 2024
Review: ECB on Hold on Rates, But Announces Tapering of PEPP Reinvestment, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 14 December 2023
Preview: ECB on Hold In December, With First Indications on PEPP Reinvestment, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 13 December 2023
Review: ECB is “On Hold” But It Does Not Rule Out Further Rate Hikes, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 26 October 2023
Preview: ECB to Stay on Hold In October, The Battle Will Be On The Length of The “Pause”, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 24 October 2023
Review: ECB Hikes Rates and Hints at the Peak of The Tightening Cycle, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 14 September 2023
Preview: ECB To “Skip” the Hike in September, In a Finely Balanced Decision, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 11 September 2023
Review: ECB Hikes Rates and Moves to Fully Data-Dependent Mode, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 27 July 2023
Preview: ECB To Hike Rates in July and Signal Possible Further Tightening Ahead While Remaining Data Dependent, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 24 July 2023
Review: ECB Increases Rates in June, And Hints At July’s, And Possibly Further, Hikes, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 15 June 2023
Preview: ECB To Slot In Another 25bps Hike In June, Opening The Discussion on July, By Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 12 June 2023
Review: “Non-Pausing” ECB Increases Rates, Signals Further Hikes and Will Stop APP Re-investment in July, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 4 May 2023
Preview: ECB To Increase Rates By 25bps in May and Remain Hawkish, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 2 May 2023
Review: ECB Increases Rates and Confirms to Be Data Dependent, But Reiterates That “There’s More Ground To Cover”, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze. 16 March 2023
ECB Preview Update: Uncertainty On ECB Decision Increases, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 14 March 2023
Preview: ECB To Increase Rates But Condition Timing and Size of Further Rate Hikes on Financial Conditions, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 13 March 2023
Review: ECB Hikes Rates In February and Signals a 50bps Increase in March, But The Market Rallies As It Perceives the Peak In Sight, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 2 February 2023
Preview: ECB To Enter Into Persistent Tightening Territory in February, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 30 January 2023
Review: ECB Reduces The Pace of Rate Increases, But Announces Early Beginning of QT, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 15 December 2022
Preview: ECB To Complete Policy Normalization and Enter The New Phase of its Tightening Cycle, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 13 December 2022
Review: ECB Delivers Another Jumbo Rate Hike, And Promises More Tightening Ahead, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 27 October 2022
ECB Preview: Another Jumbo Rate Hike Is On The Table for October, Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 24 October 2022
Flash Review: ECB Increases Its Policy Rates by 75bps And Aims at “Neutral Rate”, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 8 September 2022
Flash Preview: ECB to Increase Rates by At Least 50bps in September, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 6 September 2022
Flash Review: The ECB Hikes More Than Expected Thanks To Its New Transmission Protection Instrument, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 21 July 2022
Flash Preview: ECB To Start Its Policy Rate Normalisation and Launch Its Anti-Fragmentation Facility in July, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 15 July 2022
Flash Review: The ECB Signals The Beginning of Rate Normalisation in July, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 9 June 2022
Flash Preview: ECB Prepares The Ground For The Rates Liftoff , by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 2 June 2022
Review: ECB Sees Higher Chance of Net Asset Purchases Ending in Q3, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 14 April 2022
Flash Preview: ECB Preparing The Ground For Policy Decisions In June, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 11 April 2022
Flash Review: ECB Remains Hawkish To Counter The Inflationary Impact of The War in Ukraine, by Brunello Rosa, 10 March 2022
Flash Review: ECB Signals A Policy Shift To Occur In March, by Brunello Rosa, 3 February 2022
Flash Preview: ECB To Further Clarify Its Policy Stance After March, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 28 January 2022
Major G10 Central Banks Turn Hawkish As Inflation Rises and Omicron Spreads, by Brunello Rosa, 17 December 2021
ECB Flash Preview: Amid Higher Inflation, The Debate On QE Tapering Begins, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 3 September 2021
Flash Preview: ECB Starts Implementing Its New Policy Strategy, by Brunello Rosa, 22 July 2021
Flash Preview: ECB Starts Implementing Its New Policy Strategy, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 16 July 2021
Flash Review: ECB Upgrades the Economic Outlook, But Keeps the Higher Pace of PEPP Purchases, by Brunello Rosa, 10 June 2021
Flash Preview – ECB Likely to Keep its Current Pace of PEPP Purchases, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Karmen Meneses, 7 June 2021
Flash Review: ECB Maintains Higher Pace of PEPP Purchases, by Brunello Rosa, 22 April 2021
Flash Preview: ECB To Stay Put Amid Continued Economic Weakness, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 16 April 2021
Flash Review: ECB To Significantly Increase PEPP Pace To Maintain “Favourable Financing Conditions”, by Brunello Rosa, 11 March 2021
ECB To Continue Focusing on Maintaining Favourable Market Conditions, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, 5 March 2021
Flash Review: ECB Starts Focusing On “Favourable Financing Conditions”, by Brunello Rosa, 21 January 2021
ECB Flash Preview: Assessing The Impact of December’s Stimulus, by Brunello Rosa, 15 January 2021
ECB Extends and Expands Its Easing Programs, But Underwhelms The Market, by Brunello Rosa, 10 December 2020
Preview: ECB To Launch Comprehensive Stimulus Package, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 4 December 2020
Flash Review: ECB To “Recalibrate” All Its Instruments In December, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 29 October 2020
ECB Preview: ECB To Mull Further PEPP Extension and Expansion, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Karmen Meneses, 23 October 2020
Flash Review: ECB Warns About Strong Euro, But Leaves Policy Stance Unchanged, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Al Mughrabi, 10 September 2020
Flash Preview – ECB To Remain Highly Accommodating In Response to the Fed’s Strategy Review, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 4 September 2020
Flash Reviews: ECB Takes Stock Of The Stimulus Provided Since March, by Brunello Rosa and Farah Aladsani, 16 July 2020
Flash Previews: ECB, BOJ and BOC to Remain on Hold but Alert in July, By Brunello Rosa, Farah Aladsani, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses, 10 July 2020
Flash Review: ECB Considerably Expands and Extends PEPP, By Brunello Rosa, 04 June 2020
Flash Preview: ECB Set To Increase PEPP In June, By Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Farah Aladsani, 1 June 2020
Flash Review: ECB Eases Further Credit Conditions And Opens To Wider And Larger PEPP, By Brunello Rosa, 30 April 2020
Flash Preview: ECB To Expand The Scope (And Possibly The Size) of PEPP in April, By Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 28 April 2020
Flash ECB, BOE and SNB Reviews: Central Banks Step Up Their Monetary Stimulus, By Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 19 March 2020
Flash Review: ECB Delivers Initial Easing Package Amid Market Rout, by Brunello Rosa, 12 March 2020
ECB To Deliver An Easing Package To Counter COVID-19 Shock, By Brunello Rosa and Farah Aladsani, 9 March 2020
Flash Review: ECB Marginally Raises The (Negative) Balance of Risks And Launches Its Strategy Review, by Brunello Rosa, 23 January 2020
Flash Preview: ECB On Hold As Downside Risks Modestly Fade, While Launching The Strategic Review, By Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 20 January 2020
Flash Review: “Owl-ish” Lagarde Plays It Safe At First ECB Presser, by Brunello Rosa, 12 December 2019
ECB PREVIEW: All Attention Will Be On Lagarde’s First Press Conference, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 6 December 2019
ECB Review: Draghi Downplays Governing Council Infighting At Farewell Presser, by Brunello Rosa, 24 October 2019
ECB PREVIEW: Acknowledging Dissent During Draghi’s Farewell Council Meeting, by Brunello Rosa, 22 October 2019
ECB REVIEW: ECB Delivers A Low-Intensity, Open-Ended Easing Program, by Brunello Rosa, 12 September 2019
ECB PREVIEW: ECB’s Easing Package May Be Smaller Than Expected, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 6 September 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: ECB Prepares To Deliver Fresh Stimulus Package In September, by Brunello Rosa, 25 July 2019
ECB PREVIEW: Getting Ready To Deliver More Easing In September, by Brunello Rosa, Alex Waters and Francesca Panelli, 19 July 2019
Review: ECB Is Not As Dovish As The Market Expected, But Is Ready To Ease, by Brunello Rosa, 6 June 2019
ECB Preview: Don’t Expect Too Much Substance, But Still a Dovish Tone, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 3 June 2019
ECB Review: Assessing The Policy Stance, Ahead Of Further Possible Action, by Brunello Rosa, 10 April 2019
ECB Is Mulling Reserve Tiering, But It Has Not Made Up Its Mind Yet, by Brunello Rosa, 8 April 2019
ECB PREVIEW: Policy on Hold. No Tiering Yet and TLTRO Details to Be Decided Over Time, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 8 April 2019
REVIEW: ECB Adds Monetary Accommodation, by Brunello Rosa, 7 March 2019
ECB PREVIEW: Change In Forward Guidance and New (T)LTRO Coming, Given Downside Risks, by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 21 February 2019
Review: ECB Twists Risks To The Growth Outlook To The Downside by Brunello Rosa, 24 January 2019
ECB REVIEW: ECB Confirms Its Policy Stance (With Few Details on Reinvestment), by Brunello Rosa, 13 December 2018
ECB PREVIEW: We Do Not Expect A Radical Shift In Policy in December, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 30 November 2018
ECB Review: Rendez-Vous in December for All Decisions,
by Brunello Rosa, 25 October 2018
PREVIEW: ECB Likely To Buy More Time Before Committing, by Brunello Rosa, 22 Octtober 2018
REVIEW: ECB Buys Time (Again) On Re-Investment Policy, by Brunello Rosa, 13 September 2018
PREVIEW: ECB: Still Waiting For Re-Investment Policy Details,
by Brunello Rosa, 11 September 2018
REVIEW: ECB: Details On Reinvestment Policy to Come After the Summer Break, by Brunello Rosa, 26 July 2018
PREVIEW: ECB: Focus On Re-Investment Policy, by Brunello Rosa, 20 July 2018
REVIEW: ECB Indicates End of QE and Beginning of Rates Guidance, by Brunello Rosa, 14 June 2018
PREVIEW: ECB: Discussion on QE Extension to Begin in June, But No Rush to Decide, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 8 June 2018
ECB to Gradually Exit QE by Year-end, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 17 April 2018
REVIEW: ECB Drops Easing Bias, Amid Dovish Press Conference,
by Brunello Rosa, 8 March 2018
PREVIEW: ECB: Euro Strength vs Removing the Easing Bias,
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 2 March 2018
REVIEW: ECB: Strong Euro at the Forefront of ECB’s Attention,
by Brunello Rosa, 25 January 2018
PREVIEW: ECB: Tacking Stock of the Strong Euro, by Brunello Rosa, 22 January 2018
PREVIEW: ECB: Nuances On Forward Guidance, by Brunello Rosa, 7 December 2017
REVIEW: ECB Cautiously Reduces The Pace Of QE, by Brunello Rosa, 26 October 2017
PREVIEW: ECB To Cautiously Reduce The Pace Of QE, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 16 October 2017
ECB REVIEW: Draghi Said More than Most People Think, by Brunello Rosa, 7 September 2017
ECB View Update: A Larger Stimulus Package For a More Severe Economic Slowdown, By Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Francesca Panelli, 23 August 2019
Bank of England
Bank of England
Bank of England
Review: Bank of England Cuts Rates In November, Reiterating Its “Gradual Approach”, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 7 November 2024
Preview: BOE To Cut Rates Again In November, After The Fiscally Tighter Budget, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 4 November 2024
Review: Bank of England Leaves Rates Unchanged and Confirms The Same Pace of QT, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 19 September 2024
Preview: BOE To Keep Rates Unchanged and Announce Around £100bn of QT In 2024-25, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 13 September 2024
Review: Bank of England Cuts Rates, With a Razor-Thin Majority, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 1 August 2024
BoE Preview: A Narrow Majority for a Rate Cut, With a High Risk Of a Delay Till September, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini And Nato Balavadze, 30 July 2024
Review: Bank of England Left Rates Unchanged and Pushes Any Decision To August, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 20 June 2024
Preview: BOE Likely On Hold In June, But Preparing the Ground For a Rate Cut in August, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 17 June 2024
Review: Bank of England Opens The Door to a Cut In June (But It’s Not A Done Deal Yet!), by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 9 May 2024
Preview: BOE To Remain on Hold in May, While Providing Signals About Upcoming Cuts, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 6 May 2024
Review: BOE Gets Closer To The Beginning of its Easing Cycle, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 21 March 2024
Preview: MPC Still Split in March, but With an Eye On The Beginning of the Easing Cycle, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 15 March 2024
Review: BOE Drops The Hiking Bias and Starts Moving Towards Policy Easing, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 1 February 2024
Flash Preview: BoE To Start Signalling A Shift In Its Policy Stance in January, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 26 January 2024
Review: BOE Keeps Rates on Holds But Pushed Back on Immediate Rate Cuts, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 14 December 2023
by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze
11 December 2023
Review: BOE Remains On Hold Also In November, But Could Raise Rates Further, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 2 November 2023
Flash Preview: BoE To Stay On Hold Also in November, as the “Table Mountain” Becomes More Likely, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 31 October 2023
Review: In a Split Decision, The BOE Pauses After the Lower Inflation Data, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 21 September 2023
Flash Review: The Fed “Skips” September, But Still Signals Another Hike in 2023, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 20 September 2023
Review: BOE Hikes Again As It Sees First Signs of “Persistent” Inflation Crystallising, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 3 August 2023
Flash Preview: BoE To Continue Its Tightening Policy In July, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 28 July 2023
Review: BOE Increases Rates More Than Expected After The Inflation Surprise, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 22 June 2023
Flash Preview: BoE To Increase Rates In June and Suggest That the Tightening Cycle is Not Over Yet, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 16 June 2023
Flash Review: BOE Hikes Rates by 25bps and Maintains a Hawkish Bias, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 11 May 2023
Flash Preview: BoE To Increase Rates In May And Signal that Further Hikes May be Needed To Tame Inflation, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 5 May 2023
Flash Review: BOE Increases Rates In Spite of Ongoing Banking Crises, Given Stubborn Inflation, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 23 March 2023
Preview: In a Finely Balanced Decision, We Expect The BoE To Raise Rates In March, Financial Instability Permitting, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 17 March 2023
Flash Review: BOE Increase Rates Again, But Signal A Potential End To Its Tightening Cycle, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 2 February 2023
Flash Preview: BoE To Deliver a 50bps Rate Increase in February, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 27 January 2023
Flash Review: The BOE Increase Bank Rate by 50bps, With A Dovish Three-Way MPC Split, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 15 December 2022
Preview: BoE To Continue Increasing Rates In Spite Of The Incipient Recession, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 12 December 2022
Flash Review: BOE Increases Rates While Forecasting A Prolonged Recession in the UK, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 3 November 2022
Flash Preview: BoE To Increase Rates by (At Least) 75bps in November, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 2 November 2022
Flash Review: BOE Raises Rates But Does Not Join The “75bps Hikes” Group on Weakening Economic Activity , by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 22 September 2022
Flash Preview: BoE to Increase Rates by 50bps Again In September, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 9 September 2022
Flash Review: BOE Raise Rates, but Now Needs to Strike a Balance Between Rising Inflation and Upcoming Recession, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 4 August 2022
Flash Preview: BoE To Increase Bank Rate by 50bps in August, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 29 July 2022
Flash Review: Bank of England Increases Rates by 25bps in June, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 16 June 2022
Flash Preview: Yet Another Rate Hike From the BoE In June, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 10 June 2022
Flash Review: BOE Raises Rates and Begins The Process Of Asset Sales, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 5 May 2022
Flash Preview: BOE To Increase Rates for The Fourth Time in A Row To Respond To Surging Inflation, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 29 April 2022
Flash Review: A Less “Hawkish” BOE Continues Its Policy Normalisation Process, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 17 March 2022
Flash Preview: Bank Of England To Increase Rates For the Third Time Running in March, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 14 March 2022
Flash Review: BoE Delivers Back-to-Back Hike And Signals More Rate Rises, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 3 February 2022
Flash Preview: BoE To Increase Rates Again To Keep Up With Inflation Surge, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 28 January 2022
Major G10 Central Banks Turn Hawkish As Inflation Rises and Omicron Spreads, by Brunello Rosa, 17 December 2021
Flash Preview: Bank Of England To Stay On Hold While Inflation Soars, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 16 September 2021
Flash Review: BOE Adds Negative Rates To Its Toolkit and Modifies Its Policy Mix For The Exit Sequence, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 5 August 2021
Flash Preview: BoE On Hold, With A Discussion On Negative Rates And (Possibly) Exit Sequencing, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 30 July 2021
Flash Review: BOE Pushes Back Against Speculation On Premature Policy Tightening, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 24 June 2021
Flash Preview: Bank Of England To Leave Policy Stance Unchanged, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 18 June 2021
Flash Review: Bank of England Stays Put But Rises Its Short-Term Growth and Inflation Forecasts, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 6 May 2021
Flash Preview: BOE on Hold While Reflecting Successful Vaccination Campaign in Growth Forecasts, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 30 April 2021
Flash Review: Bank of England Stays Put in March, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 18 March 2021
Flash Preview: Bank of England To Stay Put After Budget and New Remit, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 12 March 2021
Flash Review – Bank of England Confirms Negative Policy Rates Are Feasible But Not Imminent, by Brunello Rosa and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, 04 February 2021
Flash Preview: BoE To Remain on Hold and Signal That Negative Policy Rates Are Feasible, But Not Imminent, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 1 February 2021
Flash Reviews: BOE, Norges Bank and SNB on Hold, With Different Twists, by Brunello Rosa, Fawaz Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses, 17 December 2020
Flash Previews: BOJ, BOE and Norges Bank To Stay Put In December, But With An Easing Bias, by Brunello Rosa, Fawaz Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses, 11 December 2020
Flash Review: Bank of England Expands QE When The Chancellor Announces New Fiscal Stimulus, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Al Mughrabi, 5 November 2020
Flash Preview: Bank Of England To Increase The Size Of QE In November, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 30 October 2020
Reviews: Fed, BoJ and BoE Leave Policy Stance Unchanged, But Add Important Twists To Language, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses , 17 September 2020
Flash Previews: While Remaining on Hold In September, The BOE Is Likely To Mull Further Stimulus and The BOJ To Sound More Upbeat, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 11 September 2020
Flash Review: BOE Remains On Holds and Discards Negative Rates (for Now), by Brunello Rosa and Farah Aladsani, 6 August 2020
Flash Previews: BOE and RBA To Remain Cautiously On Hold In August, by Brunello Rosa, Farah Aladsani and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 31 July 2020
Flash Reviews: BOE Increases The Size Of QE, While SNB Could Scale Up FX Intervention if Needed, By Brunello Rosa, Farah Aladsani and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 18 June 2020
Flash Previews: BOE Likely To Expand QE, While SNB and BOJ Remain On Hold, By Brunello Rosa, Farah Aladsani, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, Karmen Meneses and Luca Bandello, 12 June 2020
Flash Reviews: Norges Bank Cuts Rates While BOE Remains On Hold In May, By Brunello Rosa, Fawaz Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses, 7 May 2020
Flash Previews: BOE, RBA And Norges Bank Likely To Keep Their Interest Rates Unchanged, While Re-Assessing Their Overall Policy Stance, By Brunello Rosa, Fawaz Al Mughrabi, Farah Aladsani and Karmen Meneses, 1 May 2020
Flash ECB, BOE and SNB Reviews: Central Banks Step Up Their Monetary Stimulus, By Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 19 March 2020
Bank of England Flash Review: “So Far Good Enough,” But A Rate Cut Remains On The Table, By Brunello Rosa, 30 January 2020
Flash Preview: BoE To Remain On Hold (But With The High Risk Of a Cut) In January, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi, 24 January 2020
Bank of England Moving Closer To Cutting Rates, By Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 16 January 2020
Central Bank Reviews: BoJ, BoE and Norges Bank Stay On Hold In December And Signal Caution Ahead, by Brunello Rosa, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi and Farah Aladsani, 19 December 2019
UK Election, Brexit and BoE Update: Johnson’s Landslide Victory Opens The Gates To Brexit, By Brunello Rosa, 13 December 2019
Flash Review: MPC Splits But Remains On Hold, While Signalling Possible Cuts Ahead, By Brunello Rosa, 7 November 2019
BoE To Remain in Wait–And–See Mode Before The General Election, By Brunello Rosa, 1 November 2019
Flash Review: BOE Leaves Policy Stance Unchanged And Awaits Brexit Outcome, By Brunello Rosa, 1 August 2019
MACRO PICTURE: UK - Brexit and BoE Update: Brace For Political Turmoil In Coming Months, By Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 12 July 2019
REVIEW: BOE Ends Up Delivering a Hawkish Hike,
by Brunello Rosa, 2 August 2018
PREVIEW: BOE Finds A Window To Slot In a Rate Hike,
by Brunello Rosa, 27 July 2018
BOE After June MPC and Mansion House Speech,
by Brunello Rosa, 22 June 2018
REVIEW: BOE Stays on Hold and Remains Data Dependent, by Brunello Rosa, 10 May 2018
PREVIEW: BOE To Remain on Hold in May (And Even a Hike in August Is Not A Done Deal), by Brunello Rosa, 4 May 2018
TRAVEL NOTES: BoE Mulling Rate Hike Amid Brexit Uncertainties, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 20 April 2018
BoE Delivers Hawkish Inflation Report, by Brunello Rosa, 8 February 2018
PREVIEW: BOE: On Hold, But Alert, by Brunello Rosa, 2 February 2018
REVIEW: BoE Tightening: Unwillingly Dovish, by Brunello Rosa, 2 November 2017
BOE to Reduce Accommodation Despite Rising Political Turmoil, by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 13 October 2017
Riksbank
Bank of England
Bank of England
Flash Review: The Riksbank Narrowly Keeps Its Policy Stance Unchanged in February, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 10 February 2022
Flash Review: The Riksbank Confirms Its Policy Stance And Remains Dovish, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 1 July 2021
Flash Preview: Riksbank To Reassure Markets There Won’t Be Any Premature Policy Tightening, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 28 June 2021
Flash Review: The Riksbank Remains Firmly On Hold, With A Dovish Twist, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 10 February 2021
Flash Preview: Riksbank To Stage A “Dovish Hold” in February, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 5 February 2021
Flash Review: Riksbank Expands And Extends QE, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 26 November 2020
Flash Preview: Riksbank Likely To Expand QE In November, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 20 November 2020
Flash Review: Riksbank Remains On Hold And Pledges The Policy Rate To Be At Zero (or Lower) In Coming Years, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 22 September 2020
Flash Review – The Riksbank Increases Its Monetary Stimulus in July, by Brunello Rosa, Farah Aladsani and Karmen Meneses, 1 July 2020
Flash Preview – Riksbank To Weigh QE Expansion In July, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 26 June 2020
Flash Reviews: BOJ And Riksbank Remain Very Accommodative Facing An Uncertain Economic Outlook, By Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Al Mughrabi, 28 April 2020
Flash Preview: BoJ and Riksbank Remaining Alert To Covid-Crisis, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini, Fawaz Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses, 24 April 2020
Flash Review: Riksbank On Hold, With A Dovish Twist In The Statement, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 12 February 2020
Flash Preview: Riksbank on Hold, With An Eye On The Global Economy, While Considering the Introduction of an E-krona, By Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 7 February 2020
Flash Review: Riksbank Brings The Repo Rate Back To Zero, And Signals A Long Pause, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 19 December 2019
Flash Preview: Riksbank To Normalise Rates Before A Long Pause, by Brunello Rosa, 13 December 2019
Flash Review: The Riksbank Signals A Long Pause After The December “Probable” Hike, by Brunello Rosa , 24 October 2019
Preview: Riksbank Remains On Hold, While Keeping Its Hiking Bias, By Brunello Rosa, 21 October 2019
BOC, RBA and Riksbank Preview: On Hold, With A Dovish Bias, by Francesca Panelli and Brunello Rosa, 30 August 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Flash Review: Riksbank Remains Cautious And Leaves Outlook Unchanged, by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa, 3 July 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS – Preview: Riksbank To Remain Prudently Dovish, By Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters, 28 June 2019
Flash Review: Ultra-Dovish Riksbank Lowers Its Repo Rate Path And Extends QE to End-2020, by Brunello Rosa, 25 April 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS - Review: Riksbank Hikes its Policy Rate by 25bps, by Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters, 20 December 2018
PREVIEW: Riksbank Likely To Wait Longer Before Lift-Off, by Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters, 14 December 2018
Riksbank Pushes Back The Timing of First Rate Hike,
by Brunello Rosa, 26 April 2018
Time to Push Back the Repo Rate Path, by Brunello Rosa, 23 April 2018
REVIEW: RIKSBANK: On Hold, With a Dovish Tilt,
by Brunello Rosa, 14 February 2018
PREVIEW: RIKSBANK: On Hold, With a Dovish Bias,
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 12 February 2018
REVIEW: Riksbank Brings Forward Reinvestment Plans, by Brunello Rosa, 20 December 2017
Riksbank Hints At More Qe, by Brunello Rosa, 26 October 2017
How The Market Is Mis-Reading The Riksbank,
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 19 October 2017
Bank of Canada
Bank of Canada
Bank of Canada
Flash Review: Hawkish BOC Flags Upcoming Rate Normalisation, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 27 January 2022
Flash Review – Bank Of Canada Reduces Further The Pace Of Its Asset Purchases, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 14 July 2021
Flash Preview – Bank of Canada To Further Taper its Asset Purchases, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 9 July 2021
Flash Review: Bank of Canada Keeps Policy Stance and Rhetoric Unchanged in June, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 9 June 2021
Flash Preview: Bank Of Canada On Hold, With Markets Awaiting Signals From the Bank, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 4 June 2021
Flash Review: BoC Reduces QE and Shortens The Time Before A Possible First Rate Increase, by Brunello Rosa, 21 April 2021
Flash Preview: BOC Set For Another QE Taper and Maturity Extension, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 16 April 21
Flash Review: BoC Remains on Hold With A Slightly Hawkish Undertone, by Brunello Rosa, 20 January 2021
Flash Preview: Bank Of Canada To Wait and See In January, by Brunello Rosa, 15 January 2021
Flash Review: Bank of Canada Stands Pat in December, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 9 December 2020
Flash Preview: Bank Of Canada To Stay Put in December, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 4 December 2020
Flash Review: BOC Specifies Its Forward Guidance and Recalibrates QE To Focus On Longer-Term Bonds, by Brunello Rosa, 28 October 2020
Flash Preview - Bank of Canada To Remain On Hold But Highly Accommodative, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 23 October 2020
Flash Review: Bank of Canada Keeps The Tap of Monetary Easing Running, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Al Mughrabi, 9 September 2020
Flash Preview – Bank of Canada To Remain on Hold, With A Dovish Twist In September, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 4 September 2020
Flash Review: BOC Remains On Hold But Introduces Forward Guidance, by Brunello Rosa, 15 July 2020
Flash Previews: ECB, BOJ and BOC to Remain on Hold but Alert in July, By Brunello Rosa, Farah Aladsani, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses, 10 July 2020
Flash Review: BOC Remains On Hold And Scales Back Some Market Operations, By Brunello Rosa and Luca Bandello, 03 June 2020
Central Bank Previews: Reserve Bank of Australia and Bank of Canada Likely To Take A Breather in June, By Brunello Rosa, Fawaz Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses, 29 May 2020
Flash Review: Dovish Bank of Canada Leaves Rates Unchanged and Unveils New Market Operations, By Brunello Rosa, 15 April 2020
Flash Preview: Bank of Canada To Remain Dovish After The Emergency Stimulus Provided in March, By Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 9 April 2020
BoC Follows The Fed (And Cuts Rates By 50bps) And Anticipates Other G10 Central Banks, By Brunello Rosa, 4 March 2020
Flash Previews: BOC and RBA To Remain on Hold In March, While Sounding Dovish, By Brunello Rosa, 28 February 2020
Flash Review: Bank of Canada Hints Again At Possible Easing Ahead, By Brunello Rosa, 22 January 2020
Flash Preview: As The Economy Stabilises, Bank of Canada Remains on Hold, By Brunello Rosa and Farah Aladsani, 17 January 2020
Flash Review: Bank of Canada Remains On Hold, With No Particular Bias, by Brunello Rosa, 4 December 2019
Flash Preview: BoC To Remain On Hold, With Some Risk of Easing, by Brunello Rosa, 29 November 2019
Flash Review: BoC Remains On Hold, But With A Clear Easing Bias, by Brunello Rosa, 30 October 2019
Resilient Economy And Expected Easier Fiscal Stance Give BoC Time To Weigh Its Options, By Brunello Rosa and Joseph Shupac, 25 October 2019
BOC, RBA and Riksbank Preview: On Hold, With A Dovish Bias, by Francesca Panelli and Brunello Rosa, 30 August 2019
Flash Review: Bank of Canada Now On Hold, Ready To Go Either Way, by Brunello Rosa, 10 July 2019
BoC Preview: Balancing Global Headwinds with Domestic Resilience, by Francesca Panelli and Brunello Rosa, 5 July 2019
Review: Bank Of Canada Removes Its Tightening Bias, by Brunello Rosa, 24 April 2019
Bank of Canada Preview: On Hold, For Now, by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa, 19 April 2019
REVIEW: Dovish BOC Signals A Long Pause, by Brunello Rosa, 6 March 2019
PREVIEW: BOC Likely To Pause For Longer, by Alex Waters, Joseph Shupac and Brunello Rosa, 4 March 2019
REVIEW: BOC Remains On Hold, With Hawkish Undertones, by Brunello Rosa, Alex Waters and Joseph Shupac, 9 January 2019
PREVIEW: BOC Likely To Remain on Hold, While Sounding Upbeat, by Alex Waters and Joseph Shupac, 7 January 2019
BOC Review: Trade Relief Ensures An Autumn Hike and Hawkish Tones, by Joseph Shupac and Brunello Rosa, 24 October 2018
REVIEW: BOC: Hike Now, and on a Half-Year Basis,
by Joseph Shupac and Brunello Rosa, 12 July 2018
PREVIEW: BOC Set to Raise Rates, But No Longer Certain to Signal Further Hikes, by Joseph Shupac and Brunello Rosa, 6 July 2018
PREVIEW: Cautious BOC To Stay on Hold In April,
by Joseph Shupac and Brunello Rosa, 13 April 2018
PREVIEW: BOC: On Hold Given Negative Economic Surprises, by Joseph Shupac and Brunello Rosa, 6 March 2018
Bank of Japan
Bank of Canada
Bank of Canada
Review: BOJ on Hold in October, While Keeping the Door Open For a December Hike, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 31 October 2024
Preview: BOJ On Hold Till Q1 2025, By Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 29 October 2024
Review: BOJ Keeps Rates Unchanged, But May Hike More If Its Outlook Materialises, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 20 September 2024
Preview: BOJ To Stay on Hold in September. Another Hike In a Few Months, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 19 September 2024
Review: BOJ Raises Rates And Announces the Parameters of QT, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 31 July 2024
Preview: BOJ Likely to Increase Rates in July, But It Is a Close Call, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa And Nato Balavadze, 30 July 2024
Review: BOJ Remains On Hold in June, But Announces A Reduction in Bond Purchases in July, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 14 June 2024
Preview: BOJ To Keep Rates on Hold, But a July Hike Is More Likely, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 12 June 2024
Review: BOJ Keeps Rates Steady But Causes Further Yen Weakness, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze
26 April 2024
Preview: BOJ on Hold For The Time Being, by Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 24 April 2024
Review: BOJ Rises Rates and Removes YCC In Historic Move, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 19 March 2024
Preview: For the BOJ The Time for Policy Change Is Nearing, As Soon As March, by Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 18 March 2024
Review: BOJ Suggests The End of Extra Easing Is On The Cards, But The Timing Remains Uncertain , by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 23 January 2024
Preview: BOJ To Keep Its Policy Stance Unchanged Post Earthquake, by Nouriel Roubini and Nato Balavadze, 22 January 2024
Review: BOJ Keeps Its Stance Unchanged and Remains Cautious Regarding Future Tightening, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 19 December 2023
Preview: BOJ To Stay On Hold In December, With the Beginning of Rate Normalization in Sight, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 18 December 2023
Review: BOJ Keeps Its Stance Unchanged and Remains Cautious Regarding Future Tightening, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 19 December 2023
Review: BOJ To Conduct Yield Curve Control With Greater Flexibility, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 28 July 2023
Major G10 Central Banks Turn Hawkish As Inflation Rises and Omicron Spreads, by Brunello Rosa, 17 December 2021
Flash Review: The BoJ Reveals the Details Of Its Green Lending Program, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 22 September 2021
Flash Preview: Bank Of Japan To Delay Scaling Back Its Covid-Related Emergency Measures, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 16 September 2021
Flash Review: BoJ Unveils Details Of Its New “Green” Lending Scheme, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 16 July 2021
Flash Preview: BOJ To Unveil Details of its New “Green” Lending Scheme, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 9 July 2021
Flash Review: Bank of Japan Extends The Covid-Relief Programs And Engages On Climate Change, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 16 June 2021
Flash Preview – Bank of Japan To Further Extend Its Pandemic-Relief Programs, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 11 June 2021
Flash Review: Bank of Japan Stands Pat in April And Confirms Its Easing Bias, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 27 April 2021
Flash Preview: Bank Of Japan On Hold After The Policy Strategy Review In March, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 23 March 2021
Flash Review: BOJ Remains Highly Accommodative While Tweaking Its Policy Strategy, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 19 March 2021
Flash Preview: Bank Of Japan To Remain Highly Accommodative After Its Strategy Review, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 12 March 2021
Flash Review – Bank Of Japan Stands Pat But Eyes the March Policy Review, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 21 January 2021
Flash Preview: BoJ To Stay Put Ahead of March Policy Review, by Brunello Rosa, 15 January 2021
Flash Review: Bank of Japan Extends Its Credit Easing Facilities and Launches A Policy Review, by Brunello Rosa, 18 December 2020
Flash Previews: BOJ, BOE and Norges Bank To Stay Put In December, But With An Easing Bias, by Brunello Rosa, Fawaz Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses, 11 December 2020
Flash Review: BOJ Stands Ready To Ease More if Needed, But Is Not In The Rush To Act, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Al Mughrabi, 29 October 2020
Flash Preview: BOJ Likely To Remain On Hold While Reiterating Its Readiness To Ease More If Needed, by Nouriel Roubini Karmen Meneses, 23 October 2020
Reviews: Fed, BoJ and BoE Leave Policy Stance Unchanged, But Add Important Twists To Language, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses , 17 September 2020
Flash Previews: While Remaining on Hold In September, The BOE Is Likely To Mull Further Stimulus and The BOJ To Sound More Upbeat, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 11 September 2020
Flash Review: BOJ Remains On Hold But Ready to Act, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 15 July 2020
Flash Previews: ECB, BOJ and BOC to Remain on Hold but Alert in July, By Brunello Rosa, Farah Aladsani, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses, 10 July 2020
Flash Review: BOJ Expands Lending Programs And Is Ready to Do More, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 16 June 2020
Flash Previews: BOE Likely To Expand QE, While SNB and BOJ Remain On Hold, By Brunello Rosa, Farah Aladsani, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, Karmen Meneses and Luca Bandello, 12 June 2020
Flash Reviews: BOJ And Riksbank Remain Very Accommodative Facing An Uncertain Economic Outlook, By Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Al Mughrabi, 28 April 2020
Flash Preview: BoJ and Riksbank Remaining Alert To Covid-Crisis, by Brunello Rosa, Nouriel Roubini, Fawaz Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses, 24 April 2020
Flash Review: BOJ Leaves Rates Unchanged But Increases Private Sector Asset Purchases, By Brunello Rosa, 16 March 2020
Flash Preview: BOJ To Follow Global Central Banks And Ease Its Policy Stance, By Brunello Rosa, Farah Aladsani and Nouriel Roubini, 13 March 2020
Flash Review: BoJ Remains on Hold With An Easing Bias, While Revising Down Its Inflation Outlook, and Up Its Growth Outlook, By Brunello Rosa and Farah Aladsani, 21 January 2020
Flash Preview: Bank of Japan To Keep Its Cool And Let Fiscal Policy Do The Heavy-Lifting, By Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 17 January 2020
Central Bank Reviews: BoJ, BoE and Norges Bank Stay On Hold In December And Signal Caution Ahead, by Brunello Rosa, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi and Farah Aladsani, 19 December 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS: BOJ PREVIEW - Bank of Japan to Stay on Hold, as Global Headwinds Are Lessened, by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 16 December 2019
Review: BoJ Remains On Hold, But Changes Forward Guidance To Signal Increased Readiness To Ease Policy, by Brunello Rosa, 31 October 2019
Preview: BoJ Mulls Policy Stimulus In October, by Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa, 25 October 2019
Flash Review: BoJ On Hold, Getting Ready To Ease Policy In October, by Brunello Rosa, 19 September 2019
BOJ PREVIEW: Keeping the Powder (Mostly) Dry, by Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Francesca Panelli, 17 September 2019
Review: A Cautious BOJ Stays Put, But Signals Readiness To Ease If Economic Conditions Worsen, By Brunello Rosa and Francesca Panelli, 30 July 2019
BOJ Preview: Incremental Steps Before September’s Decisions, By Alex Waters, Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 26 July 2019
Review: The BoJ Re-Commits to Its Current Policy Framework by Updating Its Forward Guidance, by Alex Waters, 25 April 2019
Bank of Japan Preview: BoJ In Wait-And-See Mode as Global Headwinds May Fade, by Alex Waters and Nouriel Roubini, 19 APril 2019
REVIEW: BOJ Lowers Inflation Projections And Remains on Auto-Pilot, by Alex Waters, 23January 2019
BoJ PREVIEW: A Stronger Yen May Cause Some Discomfort, by Alex Waters, 17 January 2019
by Nouriel Roubini, 8 November 2018
BOJ Policy Tweaks Fail To Impress Markets,
by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 21 August 2018
PREVIEW: BoJ Unlikely To Change Its Policy Regime Apart From Minor Tweaks, by Nouriel Roubini, 27 July 20
Norges Bank
Swiss National Bank
Swiss National Bank
Photo: Esten Borgos (from Norges Bank’s website)
Review: Norges Bank and SNB Are Approaching The End of Their Tightening Cycles, by Brunello Rosa, 15 December 2022
Review: Norges Bank and SNB Are Approaching The End of Their Tightening Cycles, By Brunello Rosa, 15 December 2022
Major G10 Central Banks Turn Hawkish As Inflation Rises and Omicron Spreads, by Brunello Rosa, 17 December 2021
Flash Review: Norges Bank Set To Be The First G10 Central Bank To Hike in This Cycle, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 17 June 2021
Flash Reviews: BOE, Norges Bank and SNB on Hold, With Different Twists, by Brunello Rosa, Fawaz Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses, 17 December 2020
Flash Previews: BOJ, BOE and Norges Bank To Stay Put In December, But With An Easing Bias, by Brunello Rosa, Fawaz Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses, 11 December 2020
Flash Review: Norges Bank Remains On Hold, And Cautiously Optimistic, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Al Mughrabi, 20 August 2020
Flash Preview: Norges Bank To Remain On Hold In August, With A Hawkish Undertone, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Al Mughrabi, 14 August 2020
Flash Reviews: Norges Bank Cuts Rates While BOE Remains On Hold In May, By Brunello Rosa, Fawaz Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses, 7 May 2020
Flash Previews: BOE, RBA And Norges Bank Likely To Keep Their Interest Rates Unchanged, While Re-Assessing Their Overall Policy Stance, By Brunello Rosa, Fawaz Al Mughrabi, Farah Aladsani and Karmen Meneses, 1 May 2020
Flash Review: Fed and Other Central Bank Easing Doesn’t Stop Market Rout, By Brunello Rosa, 16 March 2020
Flash Review: Norges Bank Remains On Hold But Sends First Timid Signals Of Reduced Hawkishness, By Brunello Rosa and Farah Aladsani, 23 January 2020
Flash Preview: Norges Bank To Remain On Hold In January, While Keeping Its Modest Hiking Bias, By Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini, 17 January 2020
Central Bank Reviews: BoJ, BoE and Norges Bank Stay On Hold In December And Signal Caution Ahead, by Brunello Rosa, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi and Farah Aladsani, 19 December 2019
Flash Preview: Norges Bank To Remain on Pause In December, And For Some Time, by Brunello Rosa, 13 December 2019
Flash Review: Norges Bank Remains On Pause and Mildly Hawkish, by Brunello Rosa, 24 October 2019
Flash Preview: Norges Bank To Stay On Hold With No Hiking Bias, By Brunello Rosa, 18 October 2019
Flash Review: Norges Bank Raises Rates Once More Before A Pause, by Brunello Rosa, 19 September 2019
Flash Preview: Norges Bank To Weigh Its Options In September, by Brunello Rosa and Francesca Panelli, 13 September 2019
Flash Preview: Norges Bank To Remain On Hold, But Still Open To Future Hikes, by Brunello Rosa, 9 August 2019
Flash Review: Norges Bank Raises Rates and Hints At More Hikes in 2019, by Brunello Rosa, 20 June 2019
Preview: Norges Bank Set To Increase Rates In Spite Of Dovish Fed and ECB, By Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa, 14 June 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS – Flash Review: Norges Bank Surprises Markets And Signals A Rate Hike In June, by Brunello Rosa, 9 May 2019
Review: Hawkish Norges Bank Raises Rates and Signals Another Hike Within Six Months, by Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters, 21 March 2019
Preview: Norges Bank To Hike In March and Signal Another Hike in 2019, by Alex Waters, 15 MArch 2019
Norges Bank Preview: Waiting For March to Hike,
by Alex Waters, 18 January 2019
Norges Bank Begins Its Well-Telegraphed Tightening Cycle,
by Brunello Rosa, 20 September 2018
Swiss National Bank
Swiss National Bank
Swiss National Bank
Review: Norges Bank and SNB Are Approaching The End of Their Tightening Cycles, by Brunello Rosa, 15 December 2022
Review: Norges Bank and SNB Are Approaching The End of Their Tightening Cycles, By Brunello Rosa, 15 December 2022
Major G10 Central Banks Turn Hawkish As Inflation Rises and Omicron Spreads, by Brunello Rosa, 17 December 2021
Flash Reviews: BOE, Norges Bank and SNB on Hold, With Different Twists, by Brunello Rosa, Fawaz Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses, 17 December 2020
Flash Reviews: BOE Increases The Size Of QE, While SNB Could Scale Up FX Intervention if Needed, By Brunello Rosa, Farah Aladsani and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 18 June 2020
Flash Previews: BOE Likely To Expand QE, While SNB and BOJ Remain On Hold, By Brunello Rosa, Farah Aladsani, Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, Karmen Meneses and Luca Bandello, 12 June 2020
Flash ECB, BOE and SNB Reviews: Central Banks Step Up Their Monetary Stimulus, By Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 19 March 2020
SNB Flash Preview: Markets Expect No Change, But SNB Will Likely Provide Monetary Stimulus, By Brunello Rosa, 16 March 2020
Flash Review: SNB On Hold, With An Easing Bias, by Brunello Rosa, 12 December 2019
SNB Likely To Hold Off, For Now, by Brunello Rosa, Farah Aladsani and Fawaz Al Mughrabi, 10 December 2019
Flash Review: SNB Reviews Negative Rates Regime And Moves Closer To An Easier Policy Stance, by Brunello Rosa, 19 September 2019
Flash Preview: SNB Getting Ready To Follow The ECB With Lower Rates, by Brunello Rosa and Francesca Panelli, 13 September 2019
Flash Review: The SNB Introduces A New Policy Rate (and Claims To Have Space To Ease), by Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters, 13 June 2019
MONETARY AFFAIRS - SNB: Rising Global and Domestic Risks To Fight With Little Policy Ammunition, by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa, 20 February 2019
RBA and RBNZ
Danish National Bank
Danish National Bank
Flash Review: Hawkish RBNZ Rises Rates and Announces Further Future Hikes, by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze, 23 February 2022
Flash Review: RBNZ Raises Interest Rates, Second G10 Central Bank In This Cycle, by Brunello Rosa, 6 October 2021
Flash Review: RBNZ Postpones Its Rate Hike After The Government Suddenly Imposes A New Lockdown, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Al Mughrabi, 19 August 2021
Flash Preview: RBNZ Likely to Raise Rates in August, First Among G10 Central Banks, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 13 August 2021
Flash Review: RBA Moves To Open-Ended QE, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 6 July 2021
Flash Preview: RBA To Tweak QE Following New Lockdowns, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 2 July 2021
RBA Ready To Increase QE to Combat Rising Yields, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 2 March 2021
Flash Preview: RBA To Stand Pat While Fighting Rises in Market Rates, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 25 February 2021
Flash Review: RBNZ On Hold, But Ready to Deploy Negative Rates If Necessary, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 24 February 2021
Flash Preview – Reserve Bank of New Zealand To Keep Its Policy Stance Unchanged, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 19 February 2021
Flash Review: RBA Remains on Hold In December, But Ready To Do More If Needed, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 1 December 2020
Flash Preview: RBA To take a Breather In December, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 27 November 2020
Flash Review: RBNZ Provides More Stimulus With A Funding For Lending Program, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 11 November 2020
Flash Preview: RBNZ Set To Introduce A Funding For Lending Programme In November, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 6 November 2020
Flash Reviews: RBA Delivers A Large and Comprehensive Stimulus Package And Is Prepared to Do More, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 3 November 2020
Flash Preview: RBA To Deploy A Comprehensive Stimulus Package, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 30 October 2020
Flash Review – RBA Ratchets Up Its Rhetoric Ahead of More Easing, Likely In November, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Al Mughrabi, 6 October 2020
Flash Preview: RBA To Remain On Hold In October, While Reiterating Its Further Easing Options, by Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 2 October 2020
Flash Review: RBNZ Steps Up Preparations For More Easing (And What This Means For The BoE), by Brunello Rosa, 23 September 2020
Flash Review – RBA Boosts Credit Easing and Keeps The Door Open To More Monetary Accommodation, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Al Mughrabi, 1 September 2020
Flash Preview: RBA To Mull (And Possibly Implement) A Response To The Fed’s Strategy Review, by Brunello Rosa and Carmen Meneses, 28 August 2020
Flash Review: RBNZ Increases The Size of QE and Signals Further Easing Ahead, by Brunello Rosa and Farah Aladsani, 12 August 2020
Flash Review: RBA Remains On Hold But Re-Starts QE, Given The New Lockdown, by Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Al Mughrabi, 4 August 2020
Flash Previews: BOE and RBA To Remain Cautiously On Hold In August, by Brunello Rosa, Farah Aladsani and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 31 July 2020
Flash Review: RBA Remains On Hold, But Is Wary Of Uncertainty Ahead, by Brunello Rosa and Farah Aladsani, 7 July 2020
Flash Preview – Reserve Bank of Australia to Stay On Course In July, by Brunello Rosa and Farah Aladsani, 3 July 2020
Flash Review: RBNZ Remains On Hold and Is Ready To Provide Further Signals In August, By Brunello Rosa and Farah Aladsani, 24 June 2020
Flash Preview: RBNZ To Take Stock Of Previous Easing In June, By Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 19 June 2020
Flash Reviews: RBA Remains On Hold As Downturn Might Prove Shallower Than Expected, By Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 2 June 2020
Central Bank Previews: Reserve Bank of Australia and Bank of Canada Likely To Take A Breather in June, By Brunello Rosa, Fawaz Al Mughrabi and Karmen Meneses, 29 May 2020
Flash Reviews: RBNZ Doubles QE and Eases Its OCR Forward Guidance, by Brunello Rosa and Farah Aladsani, 13 May 2020
Flash Preview: RBNZ to Provide More Accommodation In May, By Brunello Rosa and Farah Aladsani, 8 May 2020
Flash Review: RBA Faces Uncertainty But Scales Back Size And Frequency of Asset Purchases, By Brunello Rosa and Farah Aladsani, 5 May 2020
Flash Previews: BOE, RBA And Norges Bank Likely To Keep Their Interest Rates Unchanged, While Re-Assessing Their Overall Policy Stance, By Brunello Rosa, Fawaz Al Mughrabi, Farah Aladsani and Karmen Meneses, 1 May 2020
Flash Preview: After Beginning QE With YCC, RBA To Stay Put In April, by Brunello Rosa and Farah Aladsani, 6 April 2020
Flash Review: Fed and Other Central Bank Easing Doesn’t Stop Market Rout, By Brunello Rosa, 16 March 2020
Flash Review: RBA Kicks Off The New Round Of Monetary Easing In G10, By Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 3 March 2020
Flash Previews: BOC and RBA To Remain on Hold In March, While Sounding Dovish, By Brunello Rosa, 28 February 2020
Flash Review: RBNZ Remains Hawkish Despite Coronavirus Risk, By Brunello Rosa and Farah Aladsani, 12 February 2020
Flash Preview: RBNZ to Deliver A “Dovish Hold”, By Brunello Rosa and Farah Aladsani, 7 February 2020
Flash Review: A “Hawkish Hold” for RBA, But Rate Cuts Remain On The Table, By Brunello Rosa and Fawaz Sulaiman Al Mughrabi, 4 February 2020
Flash Preview: RBA To Hold Off Providing Further Easing (For Now), By Brunello Rosa and Karmen Meneses, 31 January 2020
Flash Review: RBA Remains on Hold, With A Clear Easing Bias, by Brunello Rosa, 3 December 2019
Flash Preview: RBA To Remain On Hold In December, While Remaining Dovish, by Brunello Rosa, 29 November 2019
Flash Review: RBNZ Remains On Hold, But Is Prepared to Ease More If Needed, by Brunello Rosa, 13 November 2019
Flash Preview: We Expect The RBNZ To Cut Rates in November, by Brunello Rosa, 8 November 2019
Flash Review: RBA Leaves Rates Unchanged, Reiterates Its Forward Guidance And Is Prepared To Ease More, by Brunello Rosa, 5 November 2019
Flash Preview: RBA to Stay On Hold In November, by Brunello Rosa, 1 November 2019
Flash Review: RBA Cuts Rates And Signals Further Easing Ahead, by Brunello Rosa, 1 October 2019
Preview: RBA Ready To Cut Rates Again, by Brunello Rosa and Francesca Panelli, 27 September 2019
BOC, RBA and Riksbank Preview: On Hold, With A Dovish Bias, by Francesca Panelli and Brunello Rosa, 30 August 2019
Flash Review: RBNZ Cuts Rates More Than Expected And Signals Further Easing, by Brunello Rosa, 7 August 2019
Flash Preview: RBNZ to Cut Rates in August, by Brunello Rosa and Francesca Panelli, 2 August 2019
Review: RBA Cuts Rates for a Second Month in a Row, With The Possibility Of More Easing Ahead, by Brunello Rosa and Alex Waters, 2 July 2019
Preview: RBA Ready To Cut Rates Again, by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa, 28 June 2019
Review: RBA Cuts Its Cash Rate Due to Uncertainty On The Global Outlook, By Alex Waters, 4 June 2019
Review: RBNZ Is The First G10 Central Bank to Cut Rates In This Cycle, by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa, 8 May 2019
RBA Review: Cash Rate Held Steady, Labour Market Key to Rate Outlook, by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa, 7 May 2019
Flash Preview: RBNZ Seen Cutting Rates in May, by Brunello Rosa, 3 May 2019
RBA PREVIEW: A Rate Cut Is On The Table, by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa, 3 May 2019
Review: RBNZ Prepares For a Rate Cut (And Puts Pressure On RBA To Shift The Balance Of Risks To the Downside), by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa, 28 March 2019
RBA Jumps on The Dovish Bandwagon, While RBNZ Still Sits On The Fence, by Alex Waters, 19 February 2019
Danish National Bank
Danish National Bank
Danish National Bank
Reviewing DNB’s Reaction Function To Defend The Currency Peg, by Alex Waters and Brunello Rosa, 5 March 2019